Mr October season long thread

[Mr0ctober]

Recap August 18th:
Knights -1.5 (+135) (0.5u)❌
Knights Team total over 3.5 (0.5u)✅
Stars -124 (0.5u)✅

August 18 2-1 +0.5u✅

NHL year to date 20-14 +3.145u✅

[Mr0ctober]

August 19th:
Avs -1.5 +117 (0.5u)
Money line parlay Avs/clippers +115 (0.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

August 19th RECAP:
Avs -1.5 +117 (0.5u)✅
Money line parlay Avs/clippers +115 (0.5u)❌
Bruins series -150 (1u)✅

NHL year to date 22-15 +4.23u✅


Still pending:
Parlay: Avs game 2/Flyers Series (-125) (0.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

Update
Parlay: Avs game 2/Flyers Series (-125) (0.5u) +0.5u

NHL year to date 23-15 +4.73u✅

[Mr0ctober]

August 25th play:
Tampa -104 (1u)
Knights in regulation -135 (1u)

Good luck

[Mr0ctober]

Adding 2 plays:
Knights/Canucks over 5.5 (-130) (1u)
Knights/Canucks over 1.5 goals (-125) (0.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

August 25th recap

Tampa -104 (1u)✅ +1u
Knights in regulation -135 (1u)❌ -1.35u
Knights/Canucks over 5.5 (-130) (1u)✅ +1u
Knights/Canucks over 1.5 goals (-125) (0.5u) ✅ +0.5u

3-1 +1.15u✅

NHL year to date 26-16 +5.88u✅

[Mr0ctober]

August 26th
Avs -145 (0.5u)
Avs regulation +104 (0.5u)
Avs/stars over 5.5 -110 (1u)

[mjsuax13]

Bang. Bang. Bang.

[Mr0ctober]

August 26th RECAP

Avs -145 (0.5u)✅ +0.5u
Avs regulation +104 (0.5u)✅ +0.52u
Avs/stars over 5.5 -110 (1u)✅ +1u


NHL year to date 29-16 +7.9u✅

[Mr0ctober]

August 31
Colorado Avs -130 (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

Avs! ✅ +1u

NHL year to date 30-16 +8.9u✅

[Mr0ctober]

St Louis Blues to win Central +120 (5u)✅ +6u
Tampa to win Atlantic +350 (2u)❌ -2u
Knights to win Pacific +250 (2u)✅ +5u

also took a shot at triple parlay of
knights/blues/capitals to all win there divisions +780 (1u)✅ +7.8u

season futures 3-1 +16.8u✅
NHL year to date 30-16 +8.9u✅

overall last season +25.7u✅

just going to use this thread for this year as well no reason to create a new thread. Will have season long stuff up here within the hour. Best of luck this year hockey fans!

[Mr0ctober]

Welcome 2021 NHL going to be an abnormal year in terms of divisions, lack of fans, and game play but none the less should be interesting and fun. Just an FYI for all you new people hockey betting is much like MLB betting. We aren’t betting spreads at and trying to beat a break even point. We are finding value in money lines and backing teams that will win more than there suggested price. All the while capping matchups and goal tenders etc. but going into a game thinking I want to bet this team bc I think they win tonight is not what I’m doing here. The line will determine who to bet.. example I have Pittsburgh -105 tonight vs the flyers . Therefore if the line is Pittsburgh +110 I’m going to back the Penguins. But if I see the line is Pittsburgh -135 I would be much inclined to take the other side and bet the flyers at a nice underdog price.

Hockey is a tough sport to beat. There is extremely high variance especially when only accounting for small sample sizes.. therefore you could cap a season really well and it not end well. Long story short bad bettors could win for an entire season and Vice versa. I guess what I’m getting at is one hockey season really isn’t much in terms of sample size. Also with that being said bankroll management is very important as well. Don’t freak out after a bad week or month. And also don’t over adjust what you know right away. Example if you think I really like the Capitals this year but then they start 0-8 don’t adjust your stance on them and say I was wrong they are horrible without looking why they are 0-8. Are they having bad luck? Are they running into hot goal tenders. Or maybe you were wrong but double check.

All the variance in hockey and MLB is why you see me betting more on season long stuff rather than game by game. Longer sample size... the less variance should show.

Alright enough rambling about hockey betting and approach. I’ll try to write up some this year but usually don’t have the time as I have children and work full time.

hockey 2021 season long plays:

To make the Playoffs:
Pittsburgh Penguins -YES- (-160) (to win 3 units)
Carolina Hurricanes -YES- (-270) (to win 5 units)
Tampa Lightning-YES- (-450) (to win 5 units)
Dallas Stars -NO- (+135) (risking 2 units)

season long point totals:
Pittsburgh Penguins OVER 64.5 pts -118 (to win 2u)
Detroit Redwings OVER 41.5 pts (-120) (to win 2u)
San Jose Sharks UNDER 55.5 pts (-121) (to win 2u)
Vancouver Canucks UNDER 63.5 pts (-110) (to win 2u)
Ottawa Senators UNDER 52.5 (-140) (to win 2u)

[Mr0ctober]

1/14:

capitals -130 (to win 0.5u)
flames -120 (to win 0.5u)
ducks +200 (risk 0.5u)

[beavis13]

Good luck this year MrOctober.

[Mr0ctober]

1/14:

capitals -130 (to win 0.5u)✅ +0.5u
flames -120 (to win 0.5u) ❌ -0.6u
ducks +200 (risk 0.5u)❌ -0.5u

NHL season: 1-2 -0.6u❌

1/15
Penguins -105 (to win 0.7u)
Blues +127 (risk 0.6u)

[Mr0ctober]

1/15
Penguins -105 (to win 0.7u) ❌ -0.735u
Blues +127 (risk 0.6u)❌ -0.6u

NHL season: 1-4 -1.935u❌

Jan 16:
Canadians -102 (to win 1u)
Islanders -118 (to win 1u)

[Mr0ctober]

Jan 16:
Canadians -102 (to win 1u)✅ +1u
Islanders -118 (to win 1u)❌ -1.18u

NHL season: 2-5 -2.115u❌

Jan 17th
Penguins -115 (to win 1.2u)

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Nice hit on the Pens.

Missed out on them today after having them in their 2 previous games.

[Mr0ctober]

Nice hit on the Pens.

Missed out on them today after having them in their 2 previous games.

thanks man. Hockey is a long season! Let’s try to make some money best of luck mighty ducks!

[Mr0ctober]

Jan 17th
Penguins -115 (to win 1.2u)✅ +1.2u

NHL season: 3-5 -0.915u❌

[Mr0ctober]

1/18
redwings +160 (risk 0.7u)
Bruins -130 ( to win 0.7u)
Sabres +140 (risk 0.7u)
Hurricanes -120 (to win 0.7u)
Canadians -104 (to win 0.7u)
Coyotes +170 (risk 0.7u)

[Mr0ctober]

1/18
redwings +160 (risk 0.7u)❌ -0.7u
Bruins -130 ( to win 0.7u)❌ -0.91u
Sabres +140 (risk 0.7u)✅ +0.98u
Hurricanes -120 (to win 0.7u)✅ +0.7u
Canadians -104 (to win 0.7u)✅ +0.7u
Coyotes +170 (risk 0.7u)❌ -0.7u

3-3 +0.07u✅

NHL season: 6-8 -0.845u❌

[Mr0ctober]

Hate to post stuff saying I may buy off of it but I’m going to do it.

AFC/NFC championship weekend
Bills +3 (1u)
Bills under 54 (1u)

wrong thread

[Mr0ctober]

1/19

redwings +155 (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

1/19

redwings +155 (1u)✅ +1.55u

in regards to the Redwings I have them marked as a team to play on early in the season.. I think this team is getting priced based on last years team/results. The team wasn’t as bad as they looked and should be improved. Jimmy Howard made them much worse than they were last year

NHL season: 7-8 +0.705✅

[Mr0ctober]

1/20:

oilers +135 (risk 0.8u)
coyotes +170 (risk 0.8u)
canadians -120 (to win 1u)

[Mr0ctober]

1/20:

oilers +135 (risk 0.8u)✅ +1.08u
coyotes +170 (risk 0.8u)❌ -0.8u
canadians -120 (to win 1u)❌ -1.2u
1-2 -0.92u

NHL season: 8-10 -0.215u

[Mr0ctober]

1/21

Ottawa Sens +111 (risk 1u)
LA Kings +210 (risk 0.7u)

[Mr0ctober]

1/21

Ottawa Sens +111 (risk 1u)❌ -1u
LA Kings +210 (risk 0.7u)+1.47u

NHL season: 9-11 -0.255✅

[Mr0ctober]

1/22:

buffalo -111 (to win 1u)
redwings +118 (risk 1u)

best of luck

[Mr0ctober]

1/22:

buffalo -111 (to win 1u)❌ -1.11u
redwings +118 (risk 1u)❌ -1u

NHL season: 9-13 -1.885u❌

[Mr0ctober]

1/24
calgary flames +108 (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

1/24
calgary flames +108 (1u)❌ -1u

NHL season: 9-14 -2.885u❌