Once again an above-average number of Overtime games occurred Monday night. 4 out of the 9 games on the schedule. Yet I don't seem to be able to pick that. With odds usually offered at +300 or higher for the Overtime prop bet, on a night like tonight a bettor could just play it for an equal amount on every game on the nightly card for a profit.
Let's assume 4x +300 at one-unit each: Winners for +12 units.
Also count 5x losers on the Overtime bet: Lose -5 units.
Profit +7 units on Overtime without any thought required tonight.
And it seems to happen enough that it would be profitable to bet Overtime every game, every night.
Monday Nov.25: 4 of 9 games went to OT = +7 units profit
Sunday Nov.24: 1 of 3 games went to OT = +1 unit profit
Saturday Nov.23: 5 of 14 games went to OT = +6 units profit
Friday Nov.22: 0 of 2 games went to OT = -2 units lost
Thurs. Nov.21: 3 of 13 games went to OT = -1 units lost
Wed. Nov.20: 1 of 2 games went to OT = +2 units profit
Tue. Nov.19: 1 of 13 games went to OT = -9 units lost
Mon. Nov.18: 0 of 2 games went to OT = -2 units lost
Sun. Nov.17: 0 of 2 games went to OT = -2 units lost
Sat. Nov.16: 7 of 15 games went to OT = +13 units profit
Fri. Nov.15: 1 of 5 games went to OT = -2 units lost
Thurs. Nov.14: 2 of 8 games went to OT = 0 units net
Wed. Nov.13: 1 of 5 games went to OT = -2 units lost
Tue. Nov.12: 5 of 9 games went to OT = +11 units profit
Mon. Nov.11: 1 of 2 games went to OT = +2 units profit
Sun. Nov.10: 3 of 7 games went to OT = +5 units profit
Sat. Nov.9: 4 of 11 games went to OT = +5 units profit
Fri. Nov.8: 0 of 4 games went to OT = -4 units lost
Thurs. Nov.7: 5 of 11 games went to OT = +9 units profit
Wed. Nov.6: 0 of 2 games went to OT = -2 units lost
Tue. Nov.5: 3 of 11 games went to OT = +1 unit profit
Mon. Nov.4: 1 of 4 games went to OT = 0 units net
Sun. Nov.3: 1 of 2 games went to OT = +2 units profit
Sat. Nov.2: 5 of 14 games went to OT = +6 units profit
Fri. Nov.1: 3 of 8 games went to OT = +4 units profit
If I totaled those up right, that was +48 units profit for the whole month of November by playing the Overtime prop every game.
14 nights were profitable, 9 were losing nights, and 2 went even money if you played this strategy form Nov.1 to Nov.25
If you started on Nov.17 thru Nov.25, it has resulted in 0 net gain/loss during that recent stretch.
Again that assumes +300 for each winner. The actual Overtime prop odds offered differ for each game, so I think this is a conservative multiplier to use, and in reality the profit is even higher.
Sometimes streaky, but this is where the league is at.
Let's assume 4x +300 at one-unit each: Winners for +12 units.
Also count 5x losers on the Overtime bet: Lose -5 units.
Profit +7 units on Overtime without any thought required tonight.
And it seems to happen enough that it would be profitable to bet Overtime every game, every night.
Monday Nov.25: 4 of 9 games went to OT = +7 units profit
Sunday Nov.24: 1 of 3 games went to OT = +1 unit profit
Saturday Nov.23: 5 of 14 games went to OT = +6 units profit
Friday Nov.22: 0 of 2 games went to OT = -2 units lost
Thurs. Nov.21: 3 of 13 games went to OT = -1 units lost
Wed. Nov.20: 1 of 2 games went to OT = +2 units profit
Tue. Nov.19: 1 of 13 games went to OT = -9 units lost
Mon. Nov.18: 0 of 2 games went to OT = -2 units lost
Sun. Nov.17: 0 of 2 games went to OT = -2 units lost
Sat. Nov.16: 7 of 15 games went to OT = +13 units profit
Fri. Nov.15: 1 of 5 games went to OT = -2 units lost
Thurs. Nov.14: 2 of 8 games went to OT = 0 units net
Wed. Nov.13: 1 of 5 games went to OT = -2 units lost
Tue. Nov.12: 5 of 9 games went to OT = +11 units profit
Mon. Nov.11: 1 of 2 games went to OT = +2 units profit
Sun. Nov.10: 3 of 7 games went to OT = +5 units profit
Sat. Nov.9: 4 of 11 games went to OT = +5 units profit
Fri. Nov.8: 0 of 4 games went to OT = -4 units lost
Thurs. Nov.7: 5 of 11 games went to OT = +9 units profit
Wed. Nov.6: 0 of 2 games went to OT = -2 units lost
Tue. Nov.5: 3 of 11 games went to OT = +1 unit profit
Mon. Nov.4: 1 of 4 games went to OT = 0 units net
Sun. Nov.3: 1 of 2 games went to OT = +2 units profit
Sat. Nov.2: 5 of 14 games went to OT = +6 units profit
Fri. Nov.1: 3 of 8 games went to OT = +4 units profit
If I totaled those up right, that was +48 units profit for the whole month of November by playing the Overtime prop every game.
14 nights were profitable, 9 were losing nights, and 2 went even money if you played this strategy form Nov.1 to Nov.25
If you started on Nov.17 thru Nov.25, it has resulted in 0 net gain/loss during that recent stretch.
Again that assumes +300 for each winner. The actual Overtime prop odds offered differ for each game, so I think this is a conservative multiplier to use, and in reality the profit is even higher.
Sometimes streaky, but this is where the league is at.