NHL Trend -- 10-1 This Month

[Notorious_Donk]

3 picks for today based on a trend I discovered. Teams at home after a road loss and 2 days of rest are 65% since 2016, 64% in 2017, and 10-1 this month. I will be making small wagers on these plays, nothing extravagant, so tail at your own risk. BOL

Panthers +100
Islanders -150
Kings -135

[PeterJohnson]

Just curious whats the avg line for that cant see it being less then -130 ish. Gl tonight

3 picks for today based on a trend I discovered. Teams at home after a road loss and 2 days of rest are 65% since 2016, 64% in 2017, and 10-1 this month. I will be making small wagers on these plays, nothing extravagant, so tail at your own risk. BOL

Panthers +100
Islanders -150
Kings -135

[Notorious_Donk]

Just curious whats the avg line for that cant see it being less then -130 ish. Gl tonight

Since 2016 average line is -138.6 with almost 15% ROI.

[PeterJohnson]

Since 2016 average line is -138.6 with almost 15% ROI.

[Notorious_Donk]

2-1 Last night!

[Mike Huntertz]

Interesting angle.
GL

[Notorious_Donk]

Canadiens are a trend play tomorrow. Waiting to see the line

[Notorious_Donk]

Canadiens -195

BOL on your wagers

[Notorious_Donk]

Winner

[Notorious_Donk]

In the month of November, this trend is 13-2 with 47.6% ROI

Sabres are a play tomorrow night!

[doubledime]

Interesting indeed

Good luck Donk

[Notorious_Donk]

Interesting indeed

Good luck Donk

Thanks DD. To you as well

[JAKEPEAVY21]

worth keeping tabs on

gl Donk

[HockKid11]

Nice Donk, love when people actually back-test theories, what my entire plays are based on.

[Notorious_Donk]

worth keeping tabs on

gl Donk

Nice Donk, love when people actually back-test theories, what my entire plays are based on.

Thanks fellas

I'm currently working on some other angles too so I'll post if any of the results are worthy. BOL on your wagers

[GzaTheGenius]

Good stuff donk, will definitely be keeping tabs here

https://www.nhl.com/news/nhl-bye-weeks-for-2017-18-season/c-290159620

We got bye weeks coming Jan 7th, NHL switched up their style with byes this year so we won't have so many teams coming off byes playing against teams that aren't(as they will be playing vs each other) but when they are we will have something to look for, made a lot of money on this one last year

[Notorious_Donk]

Good stuff donk, will definitely be keeping tabs here

https://www.nhl.com/news/nhl-bye-weeks-for-2017-18-season/c-290159620

We got bye weeks coming Jan 7th, NHL switched up their style with byes this year so we won't have so many teams coming off byes playing against teams that aren't(as they will be playing vs each other) but when they are we will have something to look for, made a lot of money on this one last year

Awesome info G. Will definitely have to revisit this once we get closer to January!

[Notorious_Donk]

Sabres +150

I'm interested to see how this one ends up. This is by far the biggest underdog play we have had this season so tail with caution. However, last year we had two plays over +130 and both won so who knows! BOL on your wagers

[Notorious_Donk]

We had a loser last night, but the trend still continues to be profitable. Here are the numbers up to this point...

2017 Season = 19-11 (63.3%) with 14.4% ROI

Since Nov 2017 = 13-3 (81.2%) with 41.4% ROI

[darkghost]

How'd I miss this thread? Great stuff again from Donk!

[Notorious_Donk]

How'd I miss this thread? Great stuff again from Donk!

Thanks darkghost. Glad you're here

[Notorious_Donk]

11/30/2017

Another system play tonight. Need to bounce back after the loss two nights ago!

Wild -160

[Notorious_Donk]

Another winner last night. Caps off a "Wild" November with a record of 14-3 (82.4%) and +42.7% ROI!

One system play tomorrow!

[Notorious_Donk]

Wasn't able to post over the weekend but we had another winner on Saturday with Lightning winning 5-2 over Sharks. That brings us to a total record of 21-11 and 15-3 since the beginning of November.

Two more plays tomorrow... Blue Jackets and Red Wings!

[Notorious_Donk]

12/5/2017

Blue Jackets -190
Red Wings +115

[Notorious_Donk]

Plays from other systems posted on my twiter as well

[Notorious_Donk]

No system plays tonight

[Dynasty3669]

Hey Donk, in your research, did you look at teams coming off a road loss with 2 days or MORE of rest? I took the Maple Leafs last night based on that data and they won. Just curious if an extra day off (or more) made a difference.

[Notorious_Donk]

Hey Donk, in your research, did you look at teams coming off a road loss with 2 days or MORE of rest? I took the Maple Leafs last night based on that data and they won. Just curious if an extra day off (or more) made a difference.

When a team has 2 days or more of rest, the numbers actually go down.

2 days of rest
Since 2016, 65.2% with +15% ROI

2 days OR MORE of rest
Since 2016, 61.7% with +7.9% ROI

You could definitely play some of these, however, I personally would pick and choose some of the plays. Bring in some other factors to pinpoint the best plays. But hey, in the end both are still profitable.

Good thought Dynasty!

[Dynasty3669]

Interesting that the ROI goes down with additional rest. Choose wisely I guess. I’m looking forward to tonight’s plays.

[Notorious_Donk]

12/7/2017 System Plays

Bruins -210
Sharks -125

[Notorious_Donk]

2-0 last night! We're now at 24-12 on the season, and 18-4 since the start of November

[robert1d]

Thank you for two winners!

[Notorious_Donk]

Thank you for two winners!

No problem. Glad you tailed

[Notorious_Donk]

No plays tonight