NHL doesn't kick season off till next Wednesday but starting thread early. Rules are pretty league trendy and hover about the same win rate as MLB league trends which is about {58%} that is home favorites only. Going with 3 plays everyday unless its a light card then maybe 1 play or none. On one play days risk size is 1u. ON 3 play days 4u equally portioned or [1.33u] per play. This is the main focus is the 3 home favs a day. I will have dogs either road or home and also total plays if I see value but equally those plays will be [.25u] only plays. When picking home favorites I will not lay more than -175 so if a card is filled with say 7 favorites and only two of those lines are at -175 or under will rate it and probably be just a one play day. Going to use last years season stats ,and other ranking factors for first few weeks of season. Will keep track of units carefully and post them next to each pick to ensure no confusion on how this works. BOL cant wait for this new season
-
-
Okay first plays of season. Not waiting around for reduced lines ,their are going to be so many wagers coming even if posted 25 bets for day with bad lines it would not matter. Lets get right to it
----------------
Winnipeg/-130/1u
Calgary/+140/0.25u
That's all she wrote for day1 BOL HAPPY SEASONComment -
Winnipeg was got @ +100 /-130 was typoComment -
10/4--0W-2L
ytd/0-2/(-1.25u)
10/5
Nashville/+105/0.25u
Philadelphia/+150/0.25u
Anaheim/1u/ WHEN lines comes AND IF line is @ -175 or lower or it does not qualify for a playComment -
Anaheim/1u/ WHEN lines comes AND IF line is @ -175 or lower or it does not qualify for a play
Looks like a play picked it up @-170Comment -
FUKK am I gonna str8n this out. Waiting a few days before adding totals.
day/1-2/+0.09
ytd/1W-4L/(-1.16u)
10/6
NY islanders/+120/0.25u
FL panthers/+155/0.25u
LV golden/+200/0.25uComment -
day/1W-2W/0.00u
YTD/2W-6L/(-1.16U)
10/7
Colorado/+130/0.25u
ny rangers/+120/0.25u
Minnesota+100/0.25u
Waiting on lines but I have 2 possible other dogs. If line is +100 its a fire Tampa bay, and Vegas. AS far as home teams go waiting on lines will update laterComment -
10/7 adds because of late lines
Vegas/+158/0.25u
home teams/ The first qualified home play day
Ottawa/-135/1.33u
saint louis/-135/1.33u
Anaheim/-120/1.33u
-------
that's 7 plays /BOLComment -
day/2W-5L/-2.04u
YTD/4W-11L/(-3.20U)
10/8
PASSComment -
YTD/4W-11L/(-3.20U)
10/9
saint louis/+100/0.25u
Chicago/+115/0.25u
Edmonton/-155/1uComment -
day
1W-2L(-1.00U0
--------
YTD/5W-13L/(-4.20U)
I feel if I continue @ this rate its gonna be a half season battle lol, GOT a little exited I suspect to the start of a new season. Nothing wrong with the system its just to early ,going to wait for some more games to be played to get an edge on stats I can find useful. Prolly pick thread back up Saturday BOLComment -
Changing betting structure a little ,favorite ceiling is lifted to -195 maximum. All wagers are created equal so weather a home or away or total each wager is now a (0.33u) play. Away team betting is only +105 or higher.
10/14--YTD/5W-13L/(-4.20U)
NYR/-185/0.33u
SJ/-140/0.33u
STL/+124/0.33u
PITT/-170/0.33uComment -
DAY/1W-3L/(-0.8u)
---
YTD/6W-16L/(-5.00U)
I am picking great spots this is very frustrating to say the least.
10/15
ANH/-150/0.33u
LVK/+135/0.33u
LAK/-140/0.33uComment -
day/2W-1L(+0.72u) damn hockey
---
YTD/8W-17L/(-4.28U)
10/16 not with a ten foot poll. Meditation of a masterpiece
Comment -
YTD/8W-17L/(-4.28U)
10/17
wsh/-135
ott/-179
nsh/-175
edm/-135
lvk/-105
each (0.33U)Comment -
day/2w-3L(-0.49u)
ytd/10W-20L(-4.77u)
Trend is average @ 56% win rate but my record isn't reflective and I am sticking with the best possible home plays ,and only playing dogs on the road with better records. Would of been wise to wait this month out shooting for November. Passing till SaturdayComment -
ytd/10W-20L(-4.77u)
10/21
phi/-116/1u
sj/+125/1uComment -
10/21
1W-1L(-0.14u)
ytd/11W-21L(-4.91u)
Saturday 10/28
tb/-165/0.33u
nj/IF line is !-190! or under/for 0.33u
fl/-150/0.33u
phi/+145/0.33u
nyr/+125/0.33u
nyi/+120/0.33u
clb+120/0.33uComment -
picked up NJ/-144/0.33u play
That's 7 plays and 2.33u @ risk today nhlComment -
day/3W-4L(-0.22u)
ytd/14W-25L(-5.13u)
10/29
anh/+135/0.33uComment -
day/1W-0L(+0.45u)-10/29
ytd/15W-25L(-4.68u)Comment -
10/30
vegas/+155/0.33u
clb/-150/0.33u
ott/-115/0.33u
la/+105/0.33u
sj/-115/0.33uComment -
ADDING 1 didn't think line would qualify
phi/-185/0.33
6 plays 1.98u @ riskComment -
day/2W-4L(-0.83)
ytd/17W-29L(-5.51u)
10/31
vg/+193/0.33u
det/-163/0.33u
wnn/+133/0.33
1u @ riskComment -
day/2W-1L(+0.31u)
ytd/19W-30L(-5.2u)
11/1
--
phi/+130/0.33u
anh/-120/0.33u
sj/-130/0.33uComment -
day/1W-2L(-0.41u)
ytd20W-32L(-5.61u)
11/2
vg/+190
nyi/+130
tb/-170
det/+130
stl/-170
mnn/-135
ptt/+115
la/-145
all 1/3 unit plays or 2.64u @riskComment -
day/2W-6L(-1.52u)
ytd/22W-38L(-7.13u)
going to switch it up again tacking more to basics all wagers 1u now
11/4
stl/-135/1u
la/-155/1uComment -
day/1W-1L(-0.10u)
ytd/23w-39L(-7.23u)
11/6 all 1/3u plays
vg/+195
wnnp/+129
det/+140Comment -
day/2W-1L/+0.56u
ytd/25W-40L/(-6.67u)
11/7
nyi/-122
fl/+135
vg/+170
clg/-175
all 1/3u so 1.33u @ riskComment