TT's Spengler Cup 2016 Log

[TechnicalTrader]

I'll be playing three different types of bets in here. A Dog bet where I'll be playing no more than 5 bets the entire tourny. A Fav' - parlay bet, where I'll also play a max of 5 bets and an OT bet where I will chase up to five games, playing games to go in to OT.

My goal is to make 30% over the next six days while risking no more than 20% of BR on any single bet.

Here is my first bet for this season:

Parlay: Lugano (ML 3-Way) & Team Canada (ML 3-Way)
Risking $57.45 at 4.025 odds to return $231.23


Bankroll day 1: $1000.00
Record: 0-0
Total Profit: 0.00%
Bankroll day 1: $1000.00

Hit rate: -%

[TechnicalTrader]

Bankroll day 1: $1000.00
Record: 0-1
Total Profit: -5.42%
Bankroll day 1: $942.55

Hit rate: 0%

[TechnicalTrader]

Today's play:

Parlay: Yekaterinburg (ML 3-Way) & Team Canada (ML 3-Way)
Risking $89.90 at 3.59 odds to return $322.51


I might hedge this parlay by taking Davos as Dogs, depending on where that line ends. Also looking to add a dog and possible OT pick tomorrow.

[TechnicalTrader]

Ref's calling the slightest contact. Looks like we are going to see a lot of penalties the entire tounament.

Taking Over 6.0 goals, Davos/Canada

$50 to win $107.50

[TechnicalTrader]

You win some, you lose some. Oh well. 1:2 so far...

I'll be back with a parlay and a possible OT play on one of the two or maybe both games tomorrow.

Bankroll day 1: $1000.00
Record: 1-2
Total Profit: -8.95%
Bankroll day 2: $910.15

Hit rate: 33.33%

[TechnicalTrader]

Bet 4)

Lugano & Mountfield to Tie after Regulation (Draw)
Risking $30.77 at 4.90 odds to return $150.77



I might play the same bet for tonights game, depending on where the Minsk/Davos line end up.

[TechnicalTrader]

Bet 5)

Lugano/Mountfield Over 5.5 (I'll also play the over 6.0 as soon as my book offers it)
Risking $60.00 to make $30.00

Bet 6)

Minsk/Davos Over 5.5
Risking $60.00 to make $28.80

[agendaman]

another daydreamer

[TechnicalTrader]

Bet 7)


Parlay: Lugano (ML 3-Way) & Minsk (ML 3-Way)
Risking $186.00 at 2.68 odds to return $498.94

[TechnicalTrader]

Bet 7)


Parlay: Lugano (ML 3-Way) & Minsk (ML 3-Way)
Risking $186.00 at 2.68 odds to return $498.94

My bad, I paid $110.00 at 3.93 on the 3-way!

[TechnicalTrader]

Bet 8)

Hedging the Davos game:

Tie after regulation; $43.20 to return $194.40


Bet 5 won, half of bet 7's parlay also won.

[TechnicalTrader]

Bankroll day 1: $1000.00
Record: 3-5
Total Profit: -21.5%
Bankroll day 3: $784.98

Hit rate: 37.5%

I'll be back with another parlay and OT play tomorrow. Looking to turn things around. The over bets have been the only thing working but things will turn around soon!

[TechnicalTrader]

Bet 9)

Parlay; Canada / Davos 3-Way
Risking $216.00 to win $635.04

Bet 10 will most likely be an OT play on the second game or an in-game OT play on the first game.

[TechnicalTrader]

Bet 10) In Game, Over 5.5 at 1.66 - $40.00

[TechnicalTrader]

Bet 11)

Davos / Yekat - Tie after regulation
Risking $53.00 at 4.65 odds

[TechnicalTrader]

Bet 12)

In game, over 5.5 at 1.75
Risking $40.00

[TechnicalTrader]

Finally hit that parlay. It was a parlay which hasn't failed over the last 8 years. Something special about the Spengler Cup, figure it out and you'll make money...

I'm done with the parlay bets for this years tourny, looking for to one or two more OT bets. It will most likely be the Minsk/Canada game but I still need to do some more research.

If I can nail the OT bet, I'll hit my goal of 30% profit.


Bankroll day 1: $1000.00
Record: 5-7
Total Profit: 11.37%
Bankroll day 4: $1137.42

Hit rate: 41.67%

[TechnicalTrader]

In game bet

Bet 13) Second goal: Canada at 1.62 risking $20

[TechnicalTrader]

Bet 14)

In game; Canada/Minsk to OT at 3.75, risking $90.00

[TechnicalTrader]

Bet 15)

Make it or break it time...

Final game to go to OT, risking $90.00 at 4.75

Interesting fact; Every Spengler Cup tournament except for in 2003, dating back to 2000 saw at least one game go to OT. This year's games have all been decided in regulation time. If there is every a time to bet on OT, I guess it is now... Let's see how this goes.



Bankroll day 1: $1000.00
Record: 6-8
Total Profit: 7.98%
Bankroll day 5: $1079.82

Hit rate: 42.85%