TT's Custom SDQL Bets

[TechnicalTrader]

All of the plays in here will be based off of SDQL strategies. I'll be tracking a total of about 8-12 different systems, I have finalized 9 of them and I am sure a few will follow. Some of them will be chases, some will be straight up bets. All have been backtested and have performed very well over the last 6 seasons (not including the lockout season). I am not going to track each system separately in here. If I have time, I'll try to explain how each system works.

The OT chase system plays will be kept in a separate thread here: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...on-thread.html


I'll let you guys know which is what.

Nash13, thank you again for helping me with the SDQL queries!!

Bet 1)
Hurricanes +125 ML (this is game one of a 6 game chase), risking 2% of BR ($ 20.00)

Bet 2)
Hurricanes/Oilers U5.5 (+125 to win $20.00)

Bet 3.a)
Blues -145 ML risking $15.00
Bet 3.b)
Kings +120 ML risking $15.00

Bet 4)
Ducks/Devils U5, risking $15.00
Bet 4.a)
Ducks -102 ML, risking $15.00

Bets5.a,b&c)
Sabres +135 ML, risking $15.00
Panthers +140 ML, risking $15.00
Ducks -102 ML, risking $15.00

Feel free to tail, fade or simply observe.

Bankroll day 1: $1000.00
Record: 0-0
Total Profit: %
Bankroll day 1: $1000.00

[doubledime]

Good luck this season

[TechnicalTrader]

Terrible start but not that big of a hit:

Bankroll day 1: $1000.00
Record: 2-7
Total Profit: -7.5%
Bankroll day 2: $925.00

As of now, I'm looking at two to three bets for Wednesday's card.

[TechnicalTrader]

Here we go:

Risking $20.00 for both of these bets:

		$20.00	$13.79	Pending	10/19/16 8:05pm Reduced Hockey 52 New York Rangers -145* vs Detroit Red Wings
		$20.00	$16.67	Pending	10/19/16 8:05pm Reduced Hockey 51 Detroit Red Wings/New York Rangers Under 5½ -120*

[TechnicalTrader]

One more:

$20.00

$17.39

Pending

10/19/16 8:05pm Reduced Hockey 54 Winnipeg Jets -115* vs Toronto Maple Leafs

[TechnicalTrader]

2-1 last night. Baby steps...

Bankroll day 1: $1000.00
Record: 4-8
Total Profit: -6.1%
Bankroll day 3: $939.06

[TechnicalTrader]

Here we go. The Leafs ML was taken twice on two different signals. Ballsy pick, but you gotta do what the system says you gotta do....

	10/20/16 8:05am	$20.00	$16.00	Pending	10/20/16 8:05pm NHL Hockey 13 Toronto Maple Leafs/Minnesota Wild Under 5½ -125*
	10/20/16 8:04am	$20.00	$16.00	Pending	10/20/16 7:35pm NHL Hockey 9 Washington Capitals -125* vs Florida Panthers
	10/20/16 8:04am	$20.00	$22.00	Pending	10/20/16 7:35pm NHL Hockey 9 Washington Capitals/Florida Panthers Under 5 +110*
	10/20/16 8:04am	$20.00	$16.00	Pending	10/20/16 8:05pm NHL Hockey 13 Toronto Maple Leafs/Minnesota Wild Under 5½ -125*
	10/20/16 8:04am	$20.00	$16.00	Pending	10/20/16 9:05pm NHL Hockey 17 St. Louis Blues -125* vs Edmonton Oilers
	10/20/16 8:04am	$20.00	$16.00	Pending	10/20/16 9:05pm NHL Hockey 17 St. Louis Blues/Edmonton Oilers Under 5½ -125*

[doubledime]

2-1 last night. Baby steps...

Bankroll day 1: $1000.00
Record: 4-8
Total Profit: -6.1%
Bankroll day 3: $939.06

Nicely done

[TechnicalTrader]

4 and 2 last night. I'll update the numbers later. This is what we got today:

	10/21/16 12:53pm	$20.00	$21.00	Pending	10/21/16 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 51 Arizona Coyotes/New York Islanders Under 5½ +105*
	10/21/16 12:53pm	$20.00	$18.18	Pending	10/21/16 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 53 Chicago Blackhawks -110* vs Columbus Blue Jackets
	10/21/16 12:53pm	$20.00	$18.18	Pending	10/21/16 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 53 Chicago Blackhawks/Columbus Blue Jackets Under 5½ -110*
	10/21/16 12:53pm	$20.00	$16.81	Pending	10/21/16 7:35pm Reduced Hockey 55 Nashville Predators -119* vs Detroit Red Wings

[TechnicalTrader]

2 for 4 last night

Today's plays:

	10/22/16 3:29am	$20.00	$21.00	Pending	10/22/16 7:05pm NHL Hockey 3 Montreal Canadiens +105* vs Boston Bruins
	10/22/16 3:29am	$20.00	$21.00	Pending	10/22/16 10:05pm NHL Hockey 24 Calgary Flames +105* vs St. Louis Blues
	10/22/16 3:29am	$20.00	$16.00	Pending	10/22/16 10:05pm NHL Hockey 23 St. Louis Blues/Calgary Flames Under 5½ -125*

Bankroll day 1: $1000.00
Record: 10-12
Total Profit: -3.78%
Bankroll day 5: $962.25

[TechnicalTrader]

As promised earlier, here are a few strategies I am working with:

1) Away favorites on a losing streak of X amount of games at a certain line. This is a 4 game chase and has never failed, dating back to 2006. The avg line is nothing special but it still hit's over 65% of the time. I haven't received a signal this season.

2) Team X must have a winning % smaller than opponent, while the opponent is coming off of a loss. Same thing here, I only take games in a certain line range, looking for value. This is a 5 game chase but the lines are considerably in the +. It's hit at 59% dating back to 2006, over the last three seasons it's been breakeven straight up but hasn't lost 5 consecutive games dating back to 2006.

I'll post some more strat's later.

[TimeTraveler75]

How do you deal with contradictions in SDQL betting?

[TechnicalTrader]

How do you deal with contradictions in SDQL betting?

It depends. A chase has priority over everything. If two chases contradict, I obviously take both. If two systems contradict, I usually take the better performer or the system which is more "due". Let's say system 1 averages a yearly performance of 65% but is currently hitting at 75% over it's last 15, while system 2 is doing the complete opposite. I'd most likely take system 2. In some cases, I'll also just lay off both games.

[TechnicalTrader]

Grinding.... Come on system! Do your magic!!!

1 for 3 yesterday. No games today, only an OT game in the other thread. Will update that one soon.

Bankroll day 1: $1000.00
Record: 11-15
Total Profit: -5.68%
Bankroll day 6: $943.25

[TechnicalTrader]

Looking to bounce back today.

Playing away favorites here. This system has performed over 60% during October over the last four seasons. It is currently 4-6 on the season. I expect a bounce back soon!

Rangers -110
Oilers -107

This one has been doing great dating back to 2011. 19-7 on the under in October. This season 5-2, which is on track:

Blue Jackets/Ducks Under 5.5, -148

This is also a system which seems to only work towards the beginning of the season. I basically look for over performing teams which matchup against underperformers. 53-39 dating back to 2006. 0-3 this season,so we could be due:

Jets, +149

Risking 3% on each bet tonight.

[TechnicalTrader]

3-1 last night and after that rough 2-7 start, I've gone 12-9. Baby steps....

Bankroll day 1: $1000.00
Record: 14-16
Total Profit: -2.49%
Bankroll day 11: $975.13

[TechnicalTrader]

here we go, risking 3% on each bet:

Devils ML
Bruins ML
Flyers/Penguins U5.5

[TechnicalTrader]

Damn it... sorry for the delay. one of the games already started..

Flyers/Hurricanes u5.5
Lightning
Senators

Risking 3% each

[TechnicalTrader]

Flyers, risking 3%

Was 1-2 slightly down still.

[TechnicalTrader]

3%
Philly +134
Colorado +154
St Louis -104
Winnipeg +208
Stl / Dallas under 5.5 -119

6%
Nashville -145