Just a record of my Own amateur picks

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  • thegoal60
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-20-15
    • 195

    #1
    Just a record of my Own amateur picks
    I am starting late in the season but hey better late than never and this is a good starting point since its the allstar break.
    A little back ground of my picks:
    I love home teams
    I love ML parlays
    I am not doing this to pay my bills
    I don't buy picks from anyone
    These are strictly my picks and my picks only not someone passing them to me
    If you agree with them bet at your own risk

    If anyone views these please feel free to post your thoughts and picks as well

    My first pick
    Atlantic vs Metro U14.5 -111
    I will keep my record and units just like anyone else.
  • thegoal60
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-20-15
    • 195

    #2
    Won the first game.
    Record 1-0-0
    Units +1.00

    I am passing on this second game. May see how the third period looks once this second game is up. Good Start!!!
    Comment
    • thegoal60
      SBR High Roller
      • 11-20-15
      • 195

      #3
      I am making a play on the championship, I know it may be going against the grain but I like how the Pacific just won and they beat what I felt like was the favorite the Central.
      I am taking the Pacific ML +108. I caught it as soon as it was posted. Come one Pacific!!!
      Comment
      • thegoal60
        SBR High Roller
        • 11-20-15
        • 195

        #4
        Pacific comes through!
        Record 2-0-0
        Units +2.08

        Great first night of posts hope to keep it up!
        Comment
        • thegoal60
          SBR High Roller
          • 11-20-15
          • 195

          #5
          Another bet I do a lot is the grand salami. It's offered on baseball and hockey at my book. Usually when I play it I like to play the total for the night and a lot of times I play the under. Reason being is naturally people love to see scoring. So much so that the over is taken a lot more than the under in games of all sports. It's just a fact that people love offense. That to me has proved time after time to show value in the under. Plus let's be honest if you take the under your usually in it most of the game and I just hate that feeling of oh shit I need 2 more scores or whatever. So with that said I didn't like any of the lines tonight all the home teams where tough. A few of them like the Ducks had a winning streak going into the break therefore I looked at the GS. My book has it at 64.5 -110. I'll take it so my play tonight is the GS U64.5 -110. Let's keep the winning streak going!
          Comment
          • thegoal60
            SBR High Roller
            • 11-20-15
            • 195

            #6
            Took a loss last night with a bad bet. Really didn't think I would lose that bad but hey we are moving on to tonight. The play is a parlay.
            Canadians -154
            Lightning -155
            +1.71

            Record 2-1-0
            +0.98 units
            Comment
            • thegoal60
              SBR High Roller
              • 11-20-15
              • 195

              #7
              Two losses in a row. It's ok just have to move on.
              My pick is another parlay
              Rangers -122
              Leafs -151
              +2.02

              Record
              2-2-0
              -0.12 units.
              Comment
              • thegoal60
                SBR High Roller
                • 11-20-15
                • 195

                #8
                Great bounce back last night! Tonight's play is another parlay.
                Flames -170
                Ducks -207
                +
                Comment
                • thegoal60
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 11-20-15
                  • 195

                  #9
                  Great bounce back last night with the parlay coming through. Tonight's play is another parlay.
                  Flames -170
                  Ducks -207
                  +135
                  Record
                  3-2-0
                  +1.90 units
                  Comment
                  • thegoal60
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 11-20-15
                    • 195

                    #10
                    Missed last night after the flames had a rare off night at home.
                    Blues -138
                    Avalanche -136
                    parlay +1.98
                    record 3-3-0 +0.90 units
                    Comment
                    • Mike Huntertz
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-19-09
                      • 11207

                      #11
                      You keep good records, we all like that.
                      From an old grizzly hockey punter......home team fav's will git ya.
                      Welcome aboard and GL
                      Comment
                      • thegoal60
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 11-20-15
                        • 195

                        #12
                        Thanks man! I will keep posting. Please feel free to give advice and picks.
                        Rangers -168
                        lightning -141
                        parlay +1.73
                        record 3-4-0
                        -0.10 units
                        Comment
                        • thegoal60
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 11-20-15
                          • 195

                          #13
                          Tough week! Lol moving on.
                          GS U64.5 -115
                          record
                          3-5-0
                          -1.10 units
                          Comment
                          • thegoal60
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 11-20-15
                            • 195

                            #14
                            Took a day off to just think about strategy and now back at it.
                            Parlay
                            flyers -154
                            blackhawks -131 +192
                            Record 3-6-0 -2.25 units
                            Comment
                            • thegoal60
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 11-20-15
                              • 195

                              #15
                              Down again so maybe fading me would be a good choice! I guess you can look at this pick many different ways but I see a lot of scoring right now why not ride the wave like we all do in baseball. This is my first year to bet hockey so I know I have a lot to figure out. And this is also just getting me to baseball season. Anyways today I'm going grand salami O37.5 goals. +105
                              Record 3-7-0 -3.25 Units
                              Comment
                              • leafs_ducks
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-22-09
                                • 3147

                                #16
                                how are you in baseball?
                                Comment
                                • thegoal60
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 11-20-15
                                  • 195

                                  #17
                                  I've never had a losing season but with that said I consider myself amateur. I started 3-4 years ago and really got involved the last two years. I will keep a thread on it just like I am here. Keep a watch for it and throw in some knowledge as we go! I'm not one of those people who thinks they are great for picking 51% haha I like to get other advice and leans and tweak my strategy as it moves on.
                                  Comment
                                  • thegoal60
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 11-20-15
                                    • 195

                                    #18
                                    I also am very strict on units so a lot of times my record correlates very close with my account balance. Can't stand those that claim 55-65% winning but have a negative balance.
                                    Comment
                                    • thegoal60
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 11-20-15
                                      • 195

                                      #19
                                      Finally back on the winning side!
                                      The over has been hitting a lot lately, if you have read above youll see that I dont like overs near as much as I do under but whatever gets that winning streak going is all that matters.
                                      Record 4-7-0
                                      Units -2.20
                                      Comment
                                      • leafs_ducks
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-22-09
                                        • 3147

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by thegoal60
                                        I also am very strict on units so a lot of times my record correlates very close with my account balance. Can't stand those that claim 55-65% winning but have a negative balance.
                                        lol. thats me. i never seem to learn. year after year. always the same damn crap. i keep telling myself need more discipline. but never works.
                                        Comment
                                        • thegoal60
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 11-20-15
                                          • 195

                                          #21
                                          Today I have an open parlay, The only leg I have open is the canucks-171. I may close it later or even tomorrow.
                                          of course this is contingent with winning tonight.
                                          Comment
                                          • thegoal60
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 11-20-15
                                            • 195

                                            #22
                                            I will close this parlay with the Blackhawks -137
                                            Parlay +1.74
                                            Canucks-171 (now at -159)
                                            Blackhawks -137
                                            Comment
                                            • thegoal60
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 11-20-15
                                              • 195

                                              #23
                                              Grand Salami O26.5 +110
                                              Record 4-8-0
                                              Units -3.20
                                              Comment
                                              • thegoal60
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 11-20-15
                                                • 195

                                                #24
                                                Open parlay starting with Blackhawks -235
                                                Record 4-9-0
                                                units -4.20
                                                Comment
                                                • thegoal60
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 11-20-15
                                                  • 195

                                                  #25
                                                  Last night I got a win with the Blackhawks. Tonight I like the Blues at home -134 to close the parlay. If they win it will pay +1.5 units.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • thegoal60
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 11-20-15
                                                    • 195

                                                    #26
                                                    Nice win last night to close out the parlay!
                                                    Record 5-9-0
                                                    units -2.70
                                                    Comment
                                                    • thegoal60
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 11-20-15
                                                      • 195

                                                      #27
                                                      Open parlay tonight. 1st leg Rangers -138
                                                      Comment
                                                      • thegoal60
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 11-20-15
                                                        • 195

                                                        #28
                                                        Nice win last night with the Rangers bouncing back. Closing the parlay with the Hurricanes +1 1/2 goals -270. If it hits the parlay is +1.36 units.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • thegoal60
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 11-20-15
                                                          • 195

                                                          #29
                                                          The Hurricanes come through lastnight not only to cover but to win outright!
                                                          Record 6-9-0
                                                          units -1.34
                                                          Comment
                                                          • thegoal60
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 11-20-15
                                                            • 195

                                                            #30
                                                            Open parlay today with the first leg being the Panthers -143
                                                            Comment
                                                            • leafs_ducks
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-22-09
                                                              • 3147

                                                              #31
                                                              how does open parlays work?
                                                              you win less?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • thegoal60
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 11-20-15
                                                                • 195

                                                                #32
                                                                No it pays the same. So a lot of books are allowing it like the one I follow. 5dumes does as well I think. So when you go to parlays you can choose to keep 1 or 2 legs open which means if you win the first game you come back and pick another game later. You don't have to fill every leg of the parlay at once. so if I took a ML like today at -143 I've got to put down 143 to win 100 and if it losses damn that's a unit and a half down. But if I parlay it I'm only putting up a unit. Yes I have to hit 2 plays but with an open parlay I can play a game I like today and wait until I find another that I like. In the past I would have had to play the one I like with another game that I was pretty much flipping a coin on. I love the open parlay. I feel like it gives me a little bit better edge
                                                                Comment
                                                                • thegoal60
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 11-20-15
                                                                  • 195

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Im sure someone may read that comment I made and think its a sucker bet and the dumbest thing they have heard, in my opinion there are a lot of ways to gamble and if you win its worth it and if you can make a long term win rate nothing is a sucker bet. For instance if you like to play teasers, some think that is a sucker bet, to me i think its a way to get two plays you like and still get better lines. I like open parlays because of what I told you, I can be selective with the picks and still get better odds PER GAME. Like I said yes I have to win multiple games (2,3) but I have a better chance to do so.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • leafs_ducks
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-22-09
                                                                    • 3147

                                                                    #34
                                                                    so do i have to choose how many games in the open parlay?
                                                                    for example, if i take an afternoon game and then 1 later at 7pm. do i have close the parlay at 7pm? or add as many as i want for the 10pm games?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • thegoal60
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 11-20-15
                                                                      • 195

                                                                      #35
                                                                      So with the book I follow you can pick to leave 1 or 2 open so the evening games you could pick 1 or 2 or ever how many you want initially, then once you confirm your bet you would have those you picked plus the 1 or 2 left open. The 7 pm games you could pick to close the one you have left or only fill one of the 2 you have open just what ever you chose. Like I do 2 team parlays with one open for instance two days ago I set up a 2 team parlay and picked the Rangers to start it, it hit and I closed it lastnight with the Hurricanes.
                                                                      Comment
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