Public fade tracking - totals

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  • the scab man
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 10-15-11
    • 661

    #1
    Public fade tracking - totals
    I'm gna start tracking nhl totals according to the % that the public is on a play.

    Everything will be from vegasinsider.com and the final lines will be from scoresandodds.com

    When a game has an over or under with +70% of the public backing one side, I will fade and take the opposite side (side with 30% or lower).

    Ill keep records for games 70-74%, 75-79%, +80% and an overall record.

    As of now I'm not going to be betting these games, Im just going to keep track of it to see how it goes, and then maybe itll go well and someone can help me keep track of it if I get too busy a day or so.
  • the scab man
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 10-15-11
    • 661

    #2
    Tonights games (I know it's after the game started but like I said this is only for tracking)

    BUF/CHI u5 (-115).....over = 82%
    TB/EDM u5 (+100).....over = 70%
    NAS/COL u5 (+120).....over = 70%
    Comment
    • the scab man
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-15-11
      • 661

      #3
      YTD (since 1/8/16)

      Fading 70-74% - 0-1-1.....-1u
      Fading 75-79% - 0-0
      Fading +80% - 1-0.....+1u

      Total 1-1-1.....0u

      Exciting day yesterday! lol
      Comment
      • the scab man
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 10-15-11
        • 661

        #4
        1/9/16

        Earlier....
        WAS/NYR u5 (+105).....over = 93%
        NYI/PHI u5.5 (-135).....over = 83%

        Tonight
        PIT/MON u5 (+110).....over = 80%
        SJ/TOR o5.5 (+120).....under = 79%
        CAR/CLB o5 (-140).....under = 90%
        NAS/ARI o5.5 (+105).....under = 70%
        STL/LA o5 (-110)....under = 79%

        if this keeps putting up 3+ games a day i dont see this working but it cant hurt to track
        Comment
        • the scab man
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-15-11
          • 661

          #5
          YTD (since 1/8/16)

          Fading 70-74% - 0-2-1.....-2u
          Fading 75-79% - 1-1.....+.1u
          Fading +80% - 4-1.....+3.1u

          Total 5-4-1.....+1.2u
          Comment
          • the scab man
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 10-15-11
            • 661

            #6
            1/10/16

            COL/CHI u5 (+105).....over 87%
            NJ/MIN u4.5 (+125).....over 85%
            DET/ANA o5 (-110).....under 93%
            FLA/EDM u5 (+115).....over 77%
            Comment
            • the scab man
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-15-11
              • 661

              #7
              Yesterday 2-2 +.3u

              YTD (since 1/8/16)

              Fading 70-74% - 0-2-1.....-2u
              Fading 75-79% - 2-1.....+1.25u
              Fading +80% - 5-3.....+2.25u
              Total 7-6-1.....+1.5u

              Todays games

              BOS/NYR u5 (+115).....over 88%
              DET/LA o5 (+100).....under 90%
              FLA/VAN o5 (-110).....under 77%
              Comment
              • the scab man
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 10-15-11
                • 661

                #8
                Yesterday 2-0-1 +2.15u

                YTD (since 1/8/16)

                Fading 70-74% - 0-2-1.....-2u
                Fading 75-79% - 2-1.....+1.25u
                Fading +80% - 7-3.....+4.40u
                Total 9-6-1.....+3.65u

                Todays games

                PIT/CAR u5 (-120).....over 82%
                CLB/NYI u5.5 (-115).....over 74%
                BUF/MIN u5 (-110).....over 90%
                NAS/CHI u5 (+110).....over 90%
                TB/COL u5 (+110).....over 89%
                Comment
                • the scab man
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 10-15-11
                  • 661

                  #9
                  Yesterday 1-1-3 -.05u

                  YTD (since 1/8/16)

                  Fading 70-74% - 0-3-1.....-3.15u
                  Fading 75-79% - 2-1.....+1.25u
                  Fading +80% - 8-3-3.....+5.5u
                  Total 10-7-4.....+3.60u

                  Todays games

                  CLB/TOR u5.5 (-115).....over 85%
                  FLA/CGY u5 (-105).....over 75%
                  Comment
                  • a4u2fear
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-29-10
                    • 8147

                    #10
                    Scab, good luck in your venture, public bet pcts are shaky at best for football and that's the biggest market, and are much much more suspect in hockey. Plus the footbal market is very efficient, the NHL is not.
                    Comment
                    • the scab man
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 10-15-11
                      • 661

                      #11
                      Originally posted by a4u2fear
                      Scab, good luck in your venture, public bet pcts are shaky at best for football and that's the biggest market, and are much much more suspect in hockey. Plus the footbal market is very efficient, the NHL is not.
                      Thx a4....the games I would say I'm most interesting in are the higher percentaged public plays (+80%)...so far the result have been good but still wayyyyy too early to make a conclusion....keep your under thread going, I plan on tailing the rest of the way as its been very profitable so far!
                      Comment
                      • the scab man
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 10-15-11
                        • 661

                        #12
                        Yesterday 1-1 -.05u

                        YTD (since 1/8/16)

                        Fading 70-74% - 0-3-1.....-3.15u
                        Fading 75-79% - 2-2.....+.2u
                        Fading +80% - 9-3-3.....+6.5u

                        Total 11-8-4.....+3.60u
                        Comment
                        • the scab man
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-15-11
                          • 661

                          #13
                          Got super busy and have been slacking with this thread...took a screen shot of the publics percentage for thursday and saturday but forgot to on friday and sundays so here the up to date record....

                          YTD (since 1/8/16)

                          Fading 70-74% - 0-3-1.....-3.15u
                          Fading 75-79% - 2-3-1.....-.9u
                          Fading +80% - 13-5-8.....+8.7u
                          Total 13-11-10.....+4.65u

                          Tonights games.....

                          COL/WIN o5.5 (+120).....under 73%
                          PIT/STL u5 (+115).....over 92%
                          Comment
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