NHL Edges - Jan 7

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  • Rich Boy
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-01-09
    • 9714

    #1
    NHL Edges - Jan 7
    Just posting my plays for now, will have analysis later

    Ari +140
    Ari/Cal OVER 5.5 +100
    Fla/Ott UNDER 5.5 -130
    Det/SJ UNDER 5.5 -130

    YTD: 15-7, +10.3 units
  • RollinDo
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-04-13
    • 13322

    #2
    Looks like you're back to double-digits on the plus side!!

    I should have just gone with your Toronto play - instead I go for Leafs TT (U 2.5) and Leafs +1...was looking at a possible 3-2 Ducks win and if it ended up in OT, I could win 1 and push 1. Went a bit larger on the Leafs TT Under since Gibson has been close to dominant at home. Same happened to Rinne yesterday in Nashville and I lost that TT Under too!

    I really like the FL-Ott Under...haven't checked the lines yet, but I imagine that will get to about -155 for the U 5.5
    I hate Sharks Unders - they seem to rarely hit. I was thinking Under in Calgary again since the Coyotes netminder has been steady lately and Calgary games tend to the Under lately. (which is a bit unusual).

    Just a little tidbit - I think Caps have not lost by more than 1 goal in a couple months now - there might have been a game in there that they lost by 2 - but it surely wasn't when Holtby was in net.
    Imagine playing Caps +1 every game for the last 2 months - crazy money there!
    Comment
    • Rich Boy
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-01-09
      • 9714

      #3
      Originally posted by RollinDo
      Looks like you're back to double-digits on the plus side!!

      I should have just gone with your Toronto play - instead I go for Leafs TT (U 2.5) and Leafs +1...was looking at a possible 3-2 Ducks win and if it ended up in OT, I could win 1 and push 1. Went a bit larger on the Leafs TT Under since Gibson has been close to dominant at home. Same happened to Rinne yesterday in Nashville and I lost that TT Under too!

      I really like the FL-Ott Under...haven't checked the lines yet, but I imagine that will get to about -155 for the U 5.5
      I hate Sharks Unders - they seem to rarely hit. I was thinking Under in Calgary again since the Coyotes netminder has been steady lately and Calgary games tend to the Under lately. (which is a bit unusual).

      Just a little tidbit - I think Caps have not lost by more than 1 goal in a couple months now - there might have been a game in there that they lost by 2 - but it surely wasn't when Holtby was in net.
      Imagine playing Caps +1 every game for the last 2 months - crazy money there!
      I agree with you on SJ UNDERS, have lost quite a few of those myself. I just feel this matchup with Det will be a low scoring one, line moved against me now at -118 hopefully drops tomo.
      Comment
      • whareouttogetme
        SBR MVP
        • 09-26-10
        • 2721

        #4
        Yeah I would never bet the under on a Sharks game, even if it is against Detroit.
        Comment
        • Rich Boy
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-01-09
          • 9714

          #5
          Min -0.5 in regulation +108

          Minnesota is very strong at home with a 14-5-1 record playing against a very weak Phi offense. Would rather take the regulation line and get plus money on at least a pick em at home
          Comment
          • iheartAlabama
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 12-15-15
            • 506

            #6
            Do u see a 8K bet?
            Comment
            • RollinDo
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 09-04-13
              • 13322

              #7
              Originally posted by Rich Boy
              Min -0.5 in regulation +108

              Minnesota is very strong at home with a 14-5-1 record playing against a very weak Phi offense. Would rather take the regulation line and get plus money on at least a pick em at home

              Yeah, I really like Wild tonight too - along with LAK (not to lose 2 straight)
              Comment
              • Rich Boy
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-01-09
                • 9714

                #8
                Originally posted by iheartAlabama
                Do u see a 8K bet?
                I feel strongest about the Fla UNDER 5.5 - only laying my usual 1k though...
                Comment
                • Rich Boy
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-01-09
                  • 9714

                  #9
                  Ari +140
                  Another line that is way too high for a couple of soft high scoring teams going at it, line already down to +121 at this point.


                  Ari/Cal OVER 5.5 +100

                  Teams averaging 6 and 5.79 goals/game at ~53.7% OVER 5.5, not quite sure the line keeps dropping. I still feel confident in this play.

                  Fla/Ott UNDER 5.5 -130

                  Saw the value in this line right away, current line of -141 feels correct, could even drop some more.
                  These teams are averaging 4.74 and 5.69 goals/game at ~58% UNDER 5.5. Should be a tight low scoring game here.


                  Det/SJ UNDER 5.5 -130
                  Teams averaging 5.21 and 5.56 goals/game at ~55% UNDER 5.5, line has dropped back down at this point.
                  Comment
                  • RollinDo
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 09-04-13
                    • 13322

                    #10
                    Well as far as Unders, I locked these in...

                    FL - Ott (U 5.5) -120
                    Det TT (U 2.5) -110
                    Ari - Calg (U 6) -150...small (just in case it's 3-2 with empty netter, a little insurance
                    Comment
                    • iheartAlabama
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 12-15-15
                      • 506

                      #11
                      Originally posted by RollinDo
                      Well as far as Unders, I locked these in...

                      FL - Ott (U 5.5) -120
                      Det TT (U 2.5) -110
                      Ari - Calg (U 6) -150...small (just in case it's 3-2 with empty netter, a little insurance
                      Cash it
                      Comment
                      • RollinDo
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 09-04-13
                        • 13322

                        #12
                        Originally posted by iheartAlabama
                        Cash it
                        Is that Detroit Under a mistake? The game Under is at -135 and with the Sharks (fave at -130), the Det TT should be around -125 (???)...oh well, their loss! Or maybe mine!
                        Comment
                        • whareouttogetme
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-26-10
                          • 2721

                          #13
                          It's probably because the sharks give up goals out of nowhere
                          Comment
                          • Rich Boy
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-01-09
                            • 9714

                            #14
                            Det/SJ total dropping alot now, down to -145
                            Comment
                            • RollinDo
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-04-13
                              • 13322

                              #15
                              Wow Rich Boy! Nice plays again tonight!
                              I will say I was going to play the Under in Calgary bigger, but saw your play on Over and played small.
                              But that Detroit TT (U 2.5) I took from your Under in Det-SJ game - looking good so far!
                              Really need Kings to come through or I may only gain .5 units tonight...can't believe Leafs are hanging tight - they aren't that good on the road and on a b2b and Quick has been hot.
                              Comment
                              • BankrollMafia
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 08-30-15
                                • 654

                                #16
                                Thanks again Rich boy, i thought i had added the SJ/Detroit under 5.5 but turns out i didn't. But ended up grabbing it live at under 4.5 for -200. lol juiced as hell but needed the chase.
                                Comment
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