NHL Strategy +770 units

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • ledjend
    Restricted User
    • 10-14-14
    • 1111

    #141
    TODAY 1/10


    - Fla A bet (vs Edm) -
    currently -119, play Alt Puck Line +1.5 at -355 (2130 est)


    Good luck!


    *IMPORTANT:
    Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -150 or lower should be made on the Puck Line/Alternate Puck Line.


    **B bet on 1/13
    Comment
    • analyzer
      SBR MVP
      • 02-03-11
      • 2049

      #142
      Just found this thread, interesting system. May jump in here. Thanks!
      Comment
      • analyzer
        SBR MVP
        • 02-03-11
        • 2049

        #143
        I just went through the 10 pages to this thread and just wanted to confirm, the actual rules of how these selections are made is not posted herein, correct?

        I just wanted to confirm as it looks like others have asked so I thought I would check. My thought process "in God we Trust" all others bring data! :-)
        Comment
        • NCarts
          SBR Rookie
          • 11-24-15
          • 27

          #144
          Originally posted by analyzer
          I just went through the 10 pages to this thread and just wanted to confirm, the actual rules of how these selections are made is not posted herein, correct?

          I just wanted to confirm as it looks like others have asked so I thought I would check. My thought process "in God we Trust" all others bring data! :-)
          CORRECT. ledjend has already confirmed that his formula has not been posted. (I don't feel like browsing for the post again.).
          Comment
          • Hudini
            SBR High Roller
            • 05-25-15
            • 224

            #145
            To bad for that
            Comment
            • ledjend
              Restricted User
              • 10-14-14
              • 1111

              #146
              YESTERDAY 1/10

              Flat Betting
              (Entered day 36-8, +17.40 u)

              - Fla +1.5 at -355 - Win

              Year to date - 37-8, +18.40 u


              Chase
              (Entered day 36-0, +36 u)

              - Fla A bet (vs Edm) - Win

              Year to date - 37-0, +37 u


              Important Note:
              I still recommend either using this strategy as a Chase, or just solely playing the B bets. That being said, there have been years where flat betting the A's made money - but it's been hit or miss.


              Additional Helpful Info:
              A bets = 30-8, +11.40 u (73% past 10 yrs)
              B bets = 7-0, +7 u (83% past 10 yrs)
              C bets = 0-0, +0 u (85% past 10 yrs)
              Comment
              • ledjend
                Restricted User
                • 10-14-14
                • 1111

                #147
                TODAY 1/11


                - Cal A bet -
                currently +110, play Puck Line +1.5 at -275 (2100 est)


                Good luck!


                *IMPORTANT:
                Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -150 or lower should be made on the Puck Line/Alternate Puck Line.


                **B bet on 1/13
                Comment
                • whocares
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 02-20-10
                  • 976

                  #148
                  Just found your thread. Thanks for sharing.
                  Comment
                  • karstman7
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 01-11-13
                    • 110

                    #149
                    Great job again! Thx for your posts ledjend
                    Comment
                    • Ultimatemeatball
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 01-03-16
                      • 131

                      #150
                      I've been lurking for a while. One of the best threads on this forum. Great job, lejend. You are the man.
                      Comment
                      • ledjend
                        Restricted User
                        • 10-14-14
                        • 1111

                        #151
                        YESTERDAY 1/11

                        Flat Betting
                        (Entered day 37-8, +18.40 u)

                        - Cal +1.5 at -275 - Win

                        Year to date - 38-8, +19.40 u


                        Chase
                        (Entered day 37-0, +37 u)

                        - Cal A bet - Win

                        Year to date - 38-0, +38 u


                        Important Note:
                        I still recommend either using this strategy as a Chase, or just solely playing the B bets. That being said, there have been years where flat betting the A's made money - but it's been hit or miss.


                        Additional Helpful Info:
                        A bets = 31-8, +12.40 u (73% past 10 yrs)
                        B bets = 7-0, +7 u (83% past 10 yrs)
                        C bets = 0-0, +0 u (85% past 10 yrs)
                        Comment
                        • ledjend
                          Restricted User
                          • 10-14-14
                          • 1111

                          #152
                          TODAY 1/12


                          - Min A bet -
                          currently -210, play Money Line (2000 est)


                          Good luck!


                          *IMPORTANT:
                          Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -150 or lower should be made on the Puck Line/Alternate Puck Line.


                          **B bet on 1/13
                          Comment
                          • ledjend
                            Restricted User
                            • 10-14-14
                            • 1111

                            #153
                            YESTERDAY 1/12

                            Flat Betting
                            (Entered day 38-8, +19.40 u)

                            - Min at -203 - Loss

                            Year to date - 38-9, +17.37 u


                            Chase
                            (Entered day 38-0, +38 u)

                            - Min A bet - Loss

                            Year to date - 38-0, +38 u


                            Important Note:
                            I still recommend either using this strategy as a Chase, or just solely playing the B bets. That being said, there have been years where flat betting the A's made money - but it's been hit or miss.


                            Additional Helpful Info:
                            A bets = 31-9, +10.37 u (73% past 10 yrs)
                            B bets = 7-0, +7 u (83% past 10 yrs)
                            C bets = 0-0, +0 u (85% past 10 yrs)
                            Comment
                            • ledjend
                              Restricted User
                              • 10-14-14
                              • 1111

                              #154
                              TODAY 1/13


                              - Tor B bet -
                              currently -151, play Money Line (1900 est)
                              - Bos A bet -
                              currently -106, play Alt Puck Line at -310 (2000 est)
                              - Ana A bet -
                              currently -160, play Money Line (2200 est)


                              Good luck!


                              *IMPORTANT:
                              Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -150 or lower should be made on the Puck Line/Alternate Puck Line.


                              **Min B bet on 1/15
                              Comment
                              • jaymilly
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 09-12-15
                                • 139

                                #155
                                what does est mean at the end of your picks?
                                Comment
                                • NCarts
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 11-24-15
                                  • 27

                                  #156
                                  Originally posted by jaymilly
                                  what does est mean at the end of your picks?
                                  It's the time the game is scheduled to start. EST = Eastern Standard Time, which is also GMT-5.
                                  And he's posting them in military/24hour format.

                                  Originally posted by ledjend
                                  TODAY 1/13

                                  - Tor B bet -
                                  currently -151, play Money Line (1900 est) = 7:00pm USA EST
                                  - Bos A bet - currently -106, play Alt Puck Line at -310 (2000 est) = 8:00pm USA EST
                                  - Ana A bet - currently -160, play Money Line (2200 est) = 10:00pm USA EST
                                  Comment
                                  • TheChamp1
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 08-20-15
                                    • 811

                                    #157
                                    So your B bets are your more confident bets? Is this correct?
                                    Comment
                                    • karstman7
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 01-11-13
                                      • 110

                                      #158
                                      Guys. Read the thread from beginning. Everything is clearly laid out
                                      Comment
                                      • whocares
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 02-20-10
                                        • 976

                                        #159
                                        Originally posted by karstman7
                                        Guys. Read the thread from beginning. Everything is clearly laid out

                                        Comment
                                        • ledjend
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 10-14-14
                                          • 1111

                                          #160
                                          YESTERDAY 1/13

                                          Flat Betting
                                          (Entered day 38-9, +17.37 u)

                                          - Tor at -155 - Loss
                                          - Bos +1.5 at -310 - Win
                                          - Ana at -160 - Win

                                          Year to date - 40-10, +17.82 u


                                          Chase
                                          (Entered day 38-0, +38 u)

                                          - Tor B bet - Loss
                                          - Bos A bet - Win
                                          - Ana A bet - Win

                                          Year to date - 40-0, +40 u


                                          Important Note:
                                          I still recommend either using this strategy as a Chase, or just solely playing the B bets. That being said, there have been years where flat betting the A's made money - but it's been hit or miss.


                                          Additional Helpful Info:
                                          A bets = 33-9, +12.37 u (73% past 10 yrs)
                                          B bets = 7-1, +5.45 u (83% past 10 yrs)
                                          C bets = 0-0, +0 u (85% past 10 yrs)
                                          Comment
                                          • ledjend
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 10-14-14
                                            • 1111

                                            #161
                                            **Min B bet on 1/15
                                            **Tor C bet on 1/15
                                            Comment
                                            • ledjend
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 10-14-14
                                              • 1111

                                              #162
                                              TODAY 1/15


                                              - Tor C bet -
                                              currently +113, play Puck Line +1.5 at -270 (1900 est)
                                              - Min B bet -
                                              currently -191, play Money Line (2000 est)


                                              Good luck!


                                              *IMPORTANT:
                                              Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -150 or lower should be made on the Puck Line/Alternate Puck Line.
                                              Comment
                                              • ledjend
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 10-14-14
                                                • 1111

                                                #163
                                                YESTERDAY 1/15

                                                Flat Betting
                                                (Entered day 40-10, +17.82 u)

                                                - Tor +1.5 at -265 - Loss
                                                - Min at -201 - Loss

                                                Year to date - 40-12, +13.16 u


                                                Chase
                                                (Entered day 40-0, +40 u)

                                                - Tor C bet - Loss (-23.67 u)
                                                - Min B bet - Loss

                                                Year to date - 40-1, +16.33 u


                                                Important Note:
                                                I still recommend either using this strategy as a Chase, or just solely playing the B bets. That being said, there have been years where flat betting the A's made money - but it's been hit or miss.


                                                Additional Helpful Info:
                                                A bets = 33-9, +12.37 u (73% past 10 yrs)
                                                B bets = 7-2, +3.44 u (83% past 10 yrs)
                                                C bets = 0-1, -2.65 u (85% past 10 yrs)
                                                Comment
                                                • ledjend
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 10-14-14
                                                  • 1111

                                                  #164
                                                  TODAY 1/16


                                                  - Min C bet -
                                                  currently +111, play Puck Line +1.5 at -270 (2000 est)

                                                  Good luck!


                                                  *IMPORTANT:
                                                  Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -150 or lower should be made on the Puck Line/Alternate Puck Line.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • analyzer
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-03-11
                                                    • 2049

                                                    #165
                                                    So let me make sure I understand this correctly. Your system just lost 2 straight C bets for the first time since 2006 and it's never had 3 C bets losses in a season ever before (back to 2006)?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • splitH
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 10-02-15
                                                      • 77

                                                      #166
                                                      not a good time for silence
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SBRMAN23
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 01-07-11
                                                        • 6905

                                                        #167
                                                        if u knw the answer why ask the question. When the system running great aint no questions now yall wanna act like its bullet proof go sit the fuc down and make ur own plays or system
                                                        Comment
                                                        • karstman7
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 01-11-13
                                                          • 110

                                                          #168
                                                          Seriously first losses and u guys whine.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 5918mike
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-16-14
                                                            • 1885

                                                            #169
                                                            MIA a couple days now, did he jump out of a window?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • KingDiesel
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 01-24-10
                                                              • 7

                                                              #170
                                                              Check post history, doesn't post daily
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 5918mike
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-16-14
                                                                • 1885

                                                                #171
                                                                Originally posted by KingDiesel
                                                                Check post history, doesn't post daily
                                                                That went right over your head didn't it
                                                                Comment
                                                                • sportsbetter21
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 12-30-14
                                                                  • 266

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Check out his MLB system
                                                                  that should answer many of your questions

                                                                  Originally posted by analyzer
                                                                  So let me make sure I understand this correctly. Your system just lost 2 straight C bets for the first time since 2006 and it's never had 3 C bets losses in a season ever before (back to 2006)?
                                                                  Last edited by sportsbetter21; 01-19-16, 07:08 PM.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • sportsbetter21
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 12-30-14
                                                                    • 266

                                                                    #173
                                                                    Read for yourself

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Miggs
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 02-16-13
                                                                      • 28

                                                                      #174
                                                                      In Ledjend's defense, he was straight up about his MLB system. He didn't try to bury it or pretend it didn't happen. That being said, I urged him earlier in the year in this thread to expose his system parameters so people could verify the results he claimed. If he had, then people could take these 2 C bet losses in stride, knowing it was a a hiccup in the system which hadn't happened in the past 10 years (providing his backtest was accurate).

                                                                      But...since he won't expose the details and nothing can be verified, you can't blame people for getting pissed when the "1st time in 10 years" thing happens and wipes out a half season's profit in 2 wagers.

                                                                      Willing to reserve final judgment until season's end. Who knows? Maybe it'll go undefeated the rest of the way...maybe it'll end up 50 units in the hole. Guess we'll see.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • analyzer
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-03-11
                                                                        • 2049

                                                                        #175
                                                                        That is my primary complaint. If you run a system just post the parameters and let someone back test if they desire. It can also benefit the system as a whole. The 1-7-5 method of betting the JM NBA thread came from this exact process. Someone posted the parameters and another user figured out bet in this way it's more profitable. Just an idea...
                                                                        Last edited by analyzer; 01-19-16, 09:44 PM.
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...