NHL Thread 2015-2016 Season

[jontebond]

19/11:

Wild @ Bruins: Over 5.5 (2u)
Gustavsson in Net, Wild will play hard game tonight. Expected score 4 - 2.

Rangers @ Lightnings: Rangers in Regulation (2.5u), Rangers -1.5 (1.5u)
Too many injuries for Lightnings against a healthy streaky team. I don't like backing teams that have win streaks this long, but with all those injuries, Rangers should pull it off.

Sabres @ Blues: Blues in Regulation (2.5u), Blues -1.5 (1.5u), Blues -2.5 (2u):
Blues simple just a much better team, at home where they have lost 1 time already they will win this game.
Pysyk, Girgensons, Weber, Kane, Lehner, McCormick that is a lot of injuries especially defensively.
Kane might be back, but he needs a couple of games to get going.

Avalanche @ Penguins: Penguins Over 3.5 TT (1.5u)
Penguins PP start heating up, their goal average will increase with 1-2 goals per game because of this.

[jontebond]

21/11:
Nashville @ Columbus: Nashville in Regulation (3u), Nashville -1.5 (2.5u)

[SovietRussia]

Yeah just saw that at +140. Jumped on it for 2.5u

[jontebond]

2 shot 2 goals on Pekka Rinne, I give up, its just too fuking hard to break this slump. Fuking shit

[jontebond]

21/11:
Arizona @ Winnipeg: Winnipeg in Regulation(1.5u), Winnipeg -1.5 (1u)
Winnipeg at home is hungry. Coming of a win last game I see a different team then last couple of weeks.
Arizona is playing it's last game on a long road trip.
Lindback is lousy form. My only worry is Pavelec, who can be a up and down.
But I take a gamble on him.

Colorado @ Washington: Washington in Regulation (1.5u), Washington -1.5 (1u)
Colorado's defensive play is dreadful. Berra is playing way too many games due to injuries to starter goalie Varlamov. He has done a good job but looks shaky in the last couple of games. Washington at home should pull this off with 2 or more goals.
Washington coming of a loss vs Dallas last game so got to be playing hard tonight. Very long road trip for Colorado, and last two games they haven't look good at all.

[jontebond]

Added:
Chicago @ Vancouver: Chicago ML (2u)
Better form on Chicago. Vrabata and Sutter out for Vancouver.
Chicago advantage in Goal. Not playing regulation or handicap in this, as I think the game will be close.

[jontebond]

22/11:

Kings @ Hurricanes: Kings in Regulation (2u), Kings -1.5 (1.5u)
Kings normally have no difficulties playing Carolina. Carolina has horrible form, B2B against Flyers tomorrow, so they will not play all their energy on this game. Kings win 4 - 1.

[jontebond]

I have a good streak picking top goalies having piss poor performance right now. When did Carolina score 4 goals vs LA last time? Never happened, maybe Hartford. Faulk 2 pp goals, my god.

[jontebond]

Then again, how many stupid minor penalties can a team take.

[slam77]

I had them in regulation too bro! Didn't expect to see Carolina up by 3 in the 2nd period, that's for sure. You liking anything else today? I may have another play or two

[jontebond]

Sharks @ BLue Jackets: Blue Jackets in Regulation (2u), Blue Jackets -1.5 (1.5u), Blue Jackets Over 3.5 TT (2u)
SHarks on a back to back. Starlock in Net for them. Blue Jacket heating up.

[Igor_1965]

Yes please!

Nov 22	NFL [469] CINCINNATI +185
Nov 23	NFL [476] NEW ENGLAND -320
Nov 22	NBA [510] DENVER +11-105
Nov 22	NBA [511] PORTLAND -2½-110
Nov 22	NHL [4] COLUMBUS -1½+240
Risking 1000 SBR To Win 46403.92 SBR

[jontebond]

Yeah, hopefully the old dogs are happy with this road trip, last game.

[jontebond]

Islanders @ Canadiens: Canadiens in Regulation (1.5u), Canadiens -1.5 (1u), Canadiens Over 2.5 (3u)
Backup goalie in Net for Islanders, vs Price.
Their are also a lot of Drama with Harmonic's trade request earlier, so Montreal should pull it off tonight

[jontebond]

This is getting really borring., Columbus up 3 - 1 in third period now, 3 - 3. How many games will go like this?
I really need to start investigating sacrificing a chicken or something to get out of this cold streak.

[jontebond]

And now my TT will not hit either, Sharks takes the lead 4 - 3. Of course!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Bobrovsky had a good start, but of course he will be the fourth top goalie that goes against my bet.

You CANT MAKE THIS SHIT UP. F U NHL.

[jontebond]

Daily summery: 3/8 -3 units.

Thanks to Columbus for having a collapse in 3rd period vs a very tired Sharks.

This is getting really frustrating with all the good goalies having collapses and SV% way below 86%. Never had this my unluck with great goalies having off game.
Bobrovsky (85.7%), Quick (81%), Crawford (73.7% !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!), Rinne (82.4%)
Just got to continue as this will change, but jesus, will they keep above 90% at least and 0/4 games will be 2/4.

[jontebond]

YTD: 134 W, 156 L (+23.82 units) +2,382$
Lets turn it around. Need some goalie support and not collapsing in 3rd period, please!

[jontebond]

23/11:
There seem to be a trend whereby referees takes more penalties then before, so team with great power and pp form is worth looking into to capture this trend.

Blues @ Sabres: Blues in Regulation (2u), Blues -1.5 (1.5u), Blues Over 3.5 (1.5u)
Statsny is back and he will line up in the first line. Finally blues have real top 2 center in the lineup.

Injuries:
Blues: has Schwartz and Berglund, but getting back Statsny tonight, which is really important.
Buffalo: Girgensons, Pysysk, Weber, Lehner out for Buffalo.

Goalies:
Allen has played solid but a bit of a roller coaster recently. He has great stats vs Buffalo.
Ullmark has played solid and strong, however I feel he's due for a collapse soon. But he has been impressive, no Doubt about that.


Special teams:
Blues PP has been 22.2% last 5 games, and PK 90%
Sabres PP has been 14.3% last 5 games, and PK 66.7%

Sabres poor PK will punish team tonight, however they are one of the team that takes lowest minor in the league, however i think the league has advised refeeres to take more penalties since last week or something because every single game is up in penalty minutes.
This including with Statsny back in line (Has avg 1 pts per game vs buffalo) is the main reason I choose Blues tonight.

[jontebond]

Oilers @ Capitals: Capitals in Regulation (2.5u), Capitals -1.5 (2u), Capitals Over 3.5 TT (2u)


Injuries:
Capitals: Orpik still out for Capitals, he is real solid defensively, so he will be missed.
Oilers: Ference, McDavid, Schultz, Klinkhammer. 2 of their best defensive D men are still out. This will hurt Oilers which doesn't seem to keep the puck away from Net. and Having NIlsson with horrible stats vs Capitals this can be big goal night for Capitals.
McDavid is obviously still out, and that is a big blow for Edmonton, but their biggest problem is defensively.

Goalie:
Edmonton: Nilsson: He has been very poor against Capitals, 2 GP, 5.75 GAA, 80.9%. He had a good last game but he has been up and down.
Washington: Holtby: Has been solid vs Edmonton. 5 GP, 1.98 GAA, 92.5%. He's form is decent, very good except last game, but that was a hawaii hockey game.

Special teams:
Edmonton: Has 8.3% PP in last 5 games, and 72.7% PK. This will really hurt team as stated before, the league is calling more penalties.
Capitals: Has 23% PP in last 5 games, and 81% PK. Tonight they will score a lot of goals in PP as Oilers having problems on the PK.


Summery:
Due to the injury and Oilers problem defensively, plus a goalie that is uneven, with horrible stats vs Capitals, I see no reason why the caps can't win 2nd consecutive game (This team seem to win one and lose one) tonight. Especially at home.
Power play will play a big part in this this game, and Capitals are simple better in both PP and PK then oilers.

[jontebond]

Avalanche @ Jets: Over 5.5 (2u)

Both teams can score goals, but biggest reason is that both team has horrible defense. With Pavelec out, Hutchinson will be between the pipes. Colorado is going into this game knowing they have to start winning games. However Jets at home is good team that can score.

Injuries:
Jets: Pavelec, he will be missed in this game. He has great numbers vs Colorado
Avalanche: Street, Mitchell, Tanguay, Winchester.

Goalies:
Hutchinson has been up and down, but Colorado is desperate and with a great first line probably one of the best (form wise) line in the league at the moment, he will let in some pucks tonight. The obvious pick would be to play Pavelec tonight but he is out so in with Hutchinson.

Varlamov is back after injury, but he normally performs poorly against jets, 2.67 GAA with 90.4%. Colorado's defensive play will not be able to help him. He didn't start the season of very well either, so I think he wants to come in and have a great first game back from injury. This could result in overplaying the puck and be out of position.

Special teams:
Jets: 4% in PP last 5 games, they have not looked good. 42% PK which is horrible.
Avalanche: 20% PP in last 5 games, 63% PK.

First line of Colorado is on fire. Colorado needs another line to start producing for them as no team in the league will win many games with only 1 line producing.
With both teams having problems with the PK we will definitely see some PP goals, especially from Colorado. Jets PP is looking horrible but Colorado's PK is also horrible so probably a night whereby they start finding the net in PP.
Both team has horrible defense and are leaking goals.

If I had to choose a team I would play Colorado, but I think playing the Over 5.5 is a better option.

[Mike Huntertz]

Nice write, will tail.
Score you bastards!

[jontebond]

24/11:

Flames @ Ducks: Ducks in Regulation (1.5u), Ducks -1.5 (1u):
The streak shall remain! No win for burning flames since 2004.

Khudobin shall not f me tonight.

[jontebond]

Khudobin 2 goals in 5 shots!

[jontebond]

2 goal on 3 shots, and those goals, even a junior goalie could take those shots. Rebounds straight out, etc... Khudobin should just retire, useless.

[jontebond]

24/11:
2 - 0: +3.7 units
YTD: 140 W, 161 L (+23.12 units) +2,312$

[jontebond]

25/11:

Jets @ Capitals: Capitals in Regulation (2u), Capitals -1.5 (1.5u), Capitals TT Over 3.5 (1.5u)
Capitals have been very uneven, winning one and lossing one, last game they won a consecutive game vs
Oilers, but only scored 1 goal. Tonight they will go against a team that has problems in defense.


Jets also gives up around 4.8 pp per in the last 5 games which is not good against Capitals.
There penalty kill is also very poor, 70.8% PK in the last 5 games.


Capitals are however only 13.3% in the last 5 game in PP but a solid PK at 90%.
Capitals should get a lot of opportunities tonight and with the pp lines they have I can't see Jets keeping the puck from being scored in PP.




Goalies:
Hutchinson will be in jet for Jets. He is 2.94 GAA with 90.2% in away games on this season.
He has been very poor in the last couple of games, averaging around 87% Save proc. He will have a very


hard time tonight.


Holtby has been great vs Jets, 2.17 GAA with 92.9%. At home he has been a rock, 1.71 GAA with 93.7%
He's form is OK. Last game it stopped all 33 shots and got the SO.


Big advantage to Capitals in Net.

[jontebond]

Predators @ Sabres: Predators in Regulation (2u), Predators -1.5 (1.5u)
Predators has failed to score in 3 games. They will come out with full speed tonight, similar to what they did vs Rangers. This time they don't have to face Lundqvist but another swede.
He is good but not at the same level as Lundqvist. Nashville always plays well against Buffalo and with


the desperation they will play at tonight, I believe they can win with more then 1 goal.


With Buffalo's PP 6.25% and PK 66.7 PK in the last games this could help Nashville find some goals in Power play. However Buffalo is taking very few penalties but I still think Nashville's pressure will draw some minor penalties and Nashville will get on the PP tonight.


Buffalo takes 2.4 penalties per game in the last 5 games.
Buffalo's PK is very poor, 66.7% last 5 games and their total is 73.6% so if Nashville get opportunites


they should be able to score.


Nashville have a good history playing against Sabres and with the must win Attitude I can't see this game being close

[jontebond]

Senators @ Avalanche: Over 5.5 (2u), Avalanche in Regulation (1u), Avalanche -1.5 (1u)
Back to back for Senators, that was a wild game. Anderson is playing in Net, always goes against goalies that plays back to back.
Avalanche broke out in 3rd period against the Jets, and I hope they will continue tonight.

Avalanche PK is dreadful, last 5 games they have 68.4 % and they take average 3.8 penalties per game, which is too much for a team that can't kill them. This is why I back the Over 5.5 as I expect the Senators to score a couple, maybe on the Power play.

Overall both team has bad defense so if Ottawa covers, my hope is the over will hit and reduce it to +/- 0 on this game.
However I feel Avalanche can build from last game and start winning some games. Their first line is fantastic, and if they can get scoring support from 2nd and 3rd line they can surely win games even if their defense sucks.

[jontebond]

Senators @ Avalanche: Over 5.5 (2u)
Avalanche in Regulation (1u)
Avalanche -1.5 (1u)
Predators in Regulation (2u)
Predators -1.5 (1.5u)
Capitals in Regulation (2u)
Capitals -1.5 (1.5u)
Capitals TT Over 3.5 (1.5u)

Daily: 5/8 (+7.1 units)
YTD: 145 W, 164 L (+30.22 units) +3,022$

[jontebond]

27/11:
Lots of early hockey.

Rangers @ Bruins: Total Goals Under 5 (2u)

Overall
Boston have had an easy history vs Rangers in the past.
However I think that Rangers should be very motivated to get back after getting blown out by Canadiens last game.
Rangers have been letting in more goals then usual and I'm expecting them to tighen up the defense.
Boston has improved defensively much thanks to Rask getting back into form.


Goalies:
Lundqvist: is fantastic in net (Against Boston: 1.91 GAA 93.5%). Lundqvist is also great in rebound games.
He will be very focused tonight. He has good stats vs Boston and away games so he should be solid.
Rask: has improved drastically. (Against Rangers: 1.95 GAA 93.6%). He can play at a very high level, and is one of the reasons the goals against has started to go down for Boston.


Power Play / Box Play
Boston PP has started to be cold, last 3 games no PP goals. The current PP% stats is way above normal, so not a big surprise that Boston will get the PP % down. Both teams PK has been solid.
They are taking more penalty then average in the last 5 games 4/gp (Rangers), 3.6/gp (Bruins), but counting on that the PK will remain cold for Bruins and that the PK units helps to kill them off.


Last 5 Games:
Boston: PP: 21.4, PK: 88.9%
NY Rangers: PP: 20%, PK: 85%


Offense/Defense:
Last 5 Games:
Boston: 3.4 Goals Per Game, 2.4 Goals Against
NY Rangers: 2.8 Goals Per Game, 2.8 Goals Against

Predicted Score: 2 - 1 Rangers

[jontebond]

Jets @ Wild: Wild in Regulation (2u), Wild -1.5 (1.5u), Wild Over 2.5 tt (2.5u)

Overall
Jets most likely will start with Hellbuyck, solid AHL goalie, but untested. As always against untested things, I like to believe they fail more often then not.
It also looks like Wild get back Parise in the lineup tonight, which is a real big thing.
Wild at home will just be too heavy for Jets to handle.
With the jets taking average 4.2 penalties per game (Last 5 games) and Wild PP is at 25%, AND Jets PK is 71.5% (Last 5), we will see some goals in PP for Wild.


Goalies:
Jets: Connor Hellebuyck rookie goalie will start he's first game, as always, most likely he will fail, especially with Jets poor defensive performance.
Wild: Dubnyk if they start him has been average against Jets (2.87 GAA, 90.6%). He has quite a bit of a slump, but he should be able to keep the net fairly clean tonight at home. (2.02 GAA, 92.4%)


Power Play / Box Play
Jets is 15.3% PP on the season and 11.1% PP in the last 5 games.
Jets is 76.5% PK on the season and 71.4% PK in the last 5 games.

Wild is 20.8% PP on the season and 25% PP in the last 5 games.
Wild is 74% PK on the season and 70.8% PK in the last 5 games.

Offense/Defense:
Last 5 Games:
Jets is 2.6 goals per game, 3 goals against
Wild is 2.6 goals per game, 2.8 goals against

[jontebond]

Penguins @ Columbus: Penguins in regulation (2u), Penguins -1.5 (1.5u), Penguins TT Over 2.5 (2.5u)

[Jones10]

Keep grinding bud...You'll find your groove again

[jontebond]

Keep grinding bud...You'll find your groove again

Yeah, will keep going, just need to rethink some factors....