NHL "Let it Ride" system

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  • Slanina
    SBR MVP
    • 01-21-09
    • 3827

    #36
    Originally posted by a4u2fear
    "Safe", were fukked
    Wow. I just checked the game. Had to look twice to be sure.
    Comment
    • Slanina
      SBR MVP
      • 01-21-09
      • 3827

      #37
      Detroit comes storming back when facing a 3-0 deficit after the first period to win 6-4. Both systems get a #1 win. Too early to know the play for tomorrow as San Jose line hasn't opened yet, which I'm guessing will be it.

      YTD: (+8.45u)

      Let it Ride

      #1 +15.36

      #2 +14.64

      #3 +7.56

      #4 +25.88
      Last edited by Slanina; 01-19-15, 03:13 AM.
      Comment
      • Slanina
        SBR MVP
        • 01-21-09
        • 3827

        #38
        1/19

        Saint Louis qualifies as a play for both systems. And both are going for a #2 win tonight.

        Let it Ride

        Saint Louis ML -200

        50.24 to win 25.12


        Let it Ride V2

        Saint Louis ML -200

        50.24 to win 25.12
        Comment
        • Slanina
          SBR MVP
          • 01-21-09
          • 3827

          #39
          Saint Louis wins 3-1. Both systems get a #2 win tonight. Below is tomorrow's play (1/20) with both systems going for a #1 and #3 system win. Needless to say it's a huge game. Updated YTD numbers below as well.

          Let it Ride

          Chicago ML -305

          61.49 to win 20.16

          Let it Ride - YTD (+10.30 units)

          #1 +15.36

          #2 +28.51

          #3 +7.56

          #4 +25.88



          Let it Ride V2


          Chicago ML -305

          61.49 to win 20.16

          Let it Ride V2 - YTD

          #1 -.75

          #2 +6.37

          #3 -7.50

          #4 -7.50




          .
          Comment
          • Slanina
            SBR MVP
            • 01-21-09
            • 3827

            #40
            I need a better strategy for this system so behind the scenes work goes smoother. The posts are brutal along with the math. I'm still going to bet it but may slow down the posting as I'm tracking in a personal spreadsheet. Maybe once all the backtesting is done, I could handle the daily math I need to do to track here. I'm seeing numbers in my sleep...
            Last edited by Slanina; 01-20-15, 02:59 AM.
            Comment
            • Slanina
              SBR MVP
              • 01-21-09
              • 3827

              #41
              Chicago cruises to a 6-1 victory. Each system got 2 wins last night. Tonight "Let it Ride" system will be going for the rare #4 win. Let it Ride V2 has no play today.

              Let it Ride

              Anaheim ML -189

              52.82 to win 27.95

              Let it Ride - YTD (+14.07 units)

              #1 +22.73

              #2 +28.51

              #3 +28.43

              #4 +25.88



              Let it Ride V2


              No play today

              Let it Ride V2 - YTD (+2.51 units)

              #1 +6.62

              #2 +6.37

              #3 +13.37

              #4 -7.50
              Comment
              • Slanina
                SBR MVP
                • 01-21-09
                • 3827

                #42
                Anaheim gets the win 6-3 giving "Let it Ride" a #4 system win. Amazing success being only 15 days into betting/tracking. When play resumes "Let it ride" will be going for a #1 and #2 system win. "Let it Ride V2" will be going for a #4 system win.

                Let it Ride

                All Star Break

                Let it Ride - YTD (+18.85 units)

                #1 +22.73

                #2 +28.51

                #3 +28.43

                #4 +61.76



                Let it Ride V2


                All Star Break

                Let it Ride V2 - YTD (+2.51 units)

                #1 +6.62

                #2 +6.37

                #3 +13.37

                #4 -7.50
                Comment
                • Slanina
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-21-09
                  • 3827

                  #43
                  Back test results

                  I haven't finished back testing but these are the results on seasons I have completed. Skipping around seasons as I'm not in a rush and it's a ridiculous amount of math.

                  Let it Ride

                  2009/2010 +40.98 units

                  2011/2012 +16.02 units

                  2013/2014 +82.00 units


                  Let it Ride V2

                  2009/2010 +38.54 units

                  2011/2012 +53.95 units
                  Comment
                  • Slanina
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-21-09
                    • 3827

                    #44
                    Finished another year this morning. Trying to get as much tested while on break.

                    Let it Ride


                    2012/2013 season +52.92 units


                    Let it Ride V2

                    2012/2013 season +17.84 units
                    Comment
                    • rustie
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 11-23-12
                      • 358

                      #45
                      Sorry been following but can't figure out what the "system" is , how it works or how it plays out , would appreciate any explanation.
                      Thanks
                      Comment
                      • Slanina
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-21-09
                        • 3827

                        #46
                        Tested 2010/2011 season. And it was really bad. Let it ride only had 1 winning month in the entire season. And it was down 41.47 units just after 18 days and continued going down. The filter I added in V2 paid dividends that year. May look into tweaking it more but no way will that be before this season ends. Taking a break on testing/filtering.

                        Let it Ride

                        2010/2011 season -92.36 units

                        Let it Ride V2

                        2010/2011 season +2.12 units
                        Comment
                        • Slanina
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-21-09
                          • 3827

                          #47
                          Calgary wins it 4-1 giving "Let it Ride" a #1 and #2 system win. It also gave a #4 system win for "Let it Ride V2". No qualified plays for either system today.


                          Let it Ride

                          No Play Today


                          Let it Ride - YTD (+21.72 units)

                          #1 +30.93

                          #2 +41.85

                          #3 +28.43

                          #4 +61.76



                          Let it Ride V2


                          No Play Today


                          Let it Ride V2
                          - YTD (
                          +6.72 units)

                          #1 +6.62

                          #2 +6.37

                          #3 +13.37

                          #4 +24.08
                          Comment
                          • Slanina
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-21-09
                            • 3827

                            #48
                            Well this is an unexpected play. Edmonton. No system is going for a win today.


                            Let it Ride

                            Edmonton ML -177


                            Let it Ride - YTD (+21.72 units)

                            #1 +30.93

                            #2 +41.85

                            #3 +28.43

                            #4 +61.76



                            Let it Ride V2


                            No Play Today


                            Let it Ride V2
                            - YTD (
                            +6.72 units)

                            #1 +6.62

                            #2 +6.37

                            #3 +13.37

                            #4 +24.08
                            Comment
                            • Slanina
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-21-09
                              • 3827

                              #49
                              Edmonton comes through 3-2. Big juice today with Vancouver. "Let it Ride" is going for a #1 and #3 system win. "Let it Ride V2" is going for a #1 and #2 system win. Will update YTD win or lose after tonight's game.


                              Let it Ride

                              Vancouver ML -379


                              Let it Ride - YTD (+21.72 units)

                              #1 +30.93

                              #2 +41.85

                              #3 +28.43

                              #4 +61.76



                              Let it Ride V2


                              Vancouver ML -379


                              Let it Ride V2
                              - YTD (
                              +6.72 units)

                              #1 +6.62

                              #2 +6.37

                              #3 +13.37

                              #4 +24.08
                              Comment
                              • rustie
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 11-23-12
                                • 358

                                #50
                                no one cares, and when you pull shiit like "calgary wins " without ever posting a pick your cred is totally gone ,good luck pretender
                                Comment
                                • Slanina
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-21-09
                                  • 3827

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by rustie
                                  no one cares, and when you pull shiit like "calgary wins " without ever posting a pick your cred is totally gone ,good luck pretender
                                  Are you okay? You're embarrassing yourself. The system isn't based on picks, it's based on the betting style. You of all people should know that. Re-read your message after you asked how it worked. The first seven words to be exact. And it'll all make sense to you. Holy wacko.
                                  Last edited by Slanina; 01-30-15, 07:22 PM.
                                  Comment
                                  • rustie
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 11-23-12
                                    • 358

                                    #52
                                    want to get into a pissing match ,show me your system ,you ain't got one make up any pick or "system" you want ,call it a system 1, 2 or 3 even a 5 ,don't mean shit
                                    Comment
                                    • Slanina
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-21-09
                                      • 3827

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by rustie
                                      want to get into a pissing match ,show me your system ,you ain't got one make up any pick or "system" you want ,call it a system 1, 2 or 3 even a 5 ,don't mean shit
                                      I sent you a private message on the 23rd labeled, "System Details". I even included an example. I'm not sure what else to tell you man. The #s are for tracking purposes since the system has 4 parts to it. I don't care if you don't bet it, but don't talk trash when I gave you the entire system a week ago from what game to bet and how to bet it. Good luck.
                                      Last edited by Slanina; 01-30-15, 09:38 PM.
                                      Comment
                                      • Slanina
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-21-09
                                        • 3827

                                        #54
                                        5-2 Vancouver wins it. Both systems got two wins each. Updated YTD below through today's game. Tomorrow's play is undetermined as two games have the same line right now and a 3rd right behind them. Will be decided closer to start. But I do know both systems will have a play. "Let it Ride" will be going for a #2 win. "Let it Ride V2" will not be going for a system win.


                                        Let it Ride

                                        Undetermined



                                        Let it Ride - YTD (+25.83 units)

                                        #1 +38.24

                                        #2 +41.85

                                        #3 +51.93

                                        #4 +61.76



                                        Let it Ride V2


                                        Undetermined


                                        Let it Ride V2
                                        - YTD (
                                        +8.62 units)

                                        #1 +12.05

                                        #2 +15.21

                                        #3 +13.37

                                        #4 +24.08
                                        Comment
                                        • rustie
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 11-23-12
                                          • 358

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by Slanina
                                          I sent you a private message on the 23rd labeled, "System Details". I even included an example. I'm not sure what else to tell you man. The #s are for tracking purposes since the system has 4 parts to it. I don't care if you don't bet it, but don't talk trash when I gave you the entire system a week ago from what game to bet and how to bet it. Good luck.
                                          so I want to apologize ,I did not realize you had sent me the message as I never check them,can I put my bad behaviour down to a really rough day at work and too much whiskey. Sorry man thats not really my style.
                                          Good luck and plaese forgive my outburst.
                                          Comment
                                          • a4u2fear
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-29-10
                                            • 8147

                                            #56
                                            Brian, losing almost 100u in a year is very concerning. Check your math. I won't have time to work on this until summer as that's when I do most of my analyzing. Still trying to figure out my system.
                                            Comment
                                            • Slanina
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-21-09
                                              • 3827

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by rustie
                                              so I want to apologize ,I did not realize you had sent me the message as I never check them,can I put my bad behaviour down to a really rough day at work and too much whiskey. Sorry man thats not really my style.
                                              Good luck and plaese forgive my outburst.
                                              No problem. It's all good. I appreciate it.
                                              Comment
                                              • Slanina
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-21-09
                                                • 3827

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by a4u2fear
                                                Brian, losing almost 100u in a year is very concerning. Check your math. I won't have time to work on this until summer as that's when I do most of my analyzing. Still trying to figure out my system.
                                                I agree. Very concerning. It was the last month I tested so hopefully I made a few mistakes after doing 5 years of math. But I got burned out from testing so I'm double checking that season and going back 10 years once summer rolls around. And I would be open to any filters/ideas you may think will help. Hopefully we can come up with something even more promising by next season's start. I do have a lot of faith in V2 though. That one seems to be solid.
                                                Comment
                                                • Slanina
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-21-09
                                                  • 3827

                                                  #59
                                                  As of now it looks like the Rangers ML will be the play. Their offense disappeared during All-Star break so hopefully they can get it going tonight. Tampa Bay is still pretty close so I'm not betting it until close to start to be sure Rangers hold.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • a4u2fear
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-29-10
                                                    • 8147

                                                    #60
                                                    Forgot to ask, are you using opener or closers in your prior year data lines? Should be closers

                                                    still thinking about your system, and hesitant to follow, past experience has shown me you have to be selective with favs, only the big big favs cash in hockey consistently, and your way of stopping each bet after wins seems arbitrary, we need to come up with reasoning or you could be leaving $ on the table
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Slanina
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-21-09
                                                      • 3827

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by a4u2fear
                                                      Forgot to ask, are you using opener or closers in your prior year data lines? Should be closers

                                                      still thinking about your system, and hesitant to follow, past experience has shown me you have to be selective with favs, only the big big favs cash in hockey consistently, and your way of stopping each bet after wins seems arbitrary, we need to come up with reasoning or you could be leaving $ on the table
                                                      I use closing lines at covers. Their format was the easiest and fastest way to collect the data. It's in the early stages so a little tweaking could prove more profitable or less risky. The idea actually came from following your system. I didnt bet hockey until this year and by checking lines every day, I noticed a pattern and just ran with the idea and began testing. I have to check the message I sent you awhile ago. I'm not sure how clear it was to the system as it was only a few days into the idea.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Slanina
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-21-09
                                                        • 3827

                                                        #62
                                                        Locked in Rangers ML as the play for both systems. Unless big money comes in on Tampa or Carolina in last 30 minutes, it will easily hold.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Slanina
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-21-09
                                                          • 3827

                                                          #63
                                                          Rangers won 4-1 last night. Today's play was Montreal, which I played but didn't get to post due to having my Super Bowl party. They lost 3-2. Will update YTD tomorrow. Go Pats!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Slanina
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-21-09
                                                            • 3827

                                                            #64
                                                            Both systems received a loss yesterday as Montreal falls 3-2 by blowing a 2-0 lead. Updated YTD below. Both systems reset with a play on San Jose tonight. If I get another system loss for "Let it Ride" in next few days, I may stop betting it and put the units I made on it towards "Let it Ride V2". I feel much more confident in this version. But I will continue to track it no matter what I choose to do.


                                                            Let it Ride

                                                            San Jose ML -265




                                                            Let it Ride - YTD (+23.63 units)

                                                            #1 +30.74

                                                            #2 +47.84

                                                            #3 +44.43

                                                            #4 +54.26



                                                            Let it Ride V2


                                                            San Jose ML -265


                                                            Let it Ride V2
                                                            - YTD (
                                                            +4.62 units)

                                                            #1 +4.55

                                                            #2 +7.71

                                                            #3 +5.87

                                                            #4 +16.58
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Slanina
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-21-09
                                                              • 3827

                                                              #65
                                                              San Jose falls after a ridiculously long shootout. Back to back losses for both systems. Today is Montreal.


                                                              Let it Ride

                                                              Montreal ML -390




                                                              Let it Ride - YTD (+19.63 units)

                                                              #1 +23.24

                                                              #2 +40.34

                                                              #3 +36.93

                                                              #4 +46.76



                                                              Let it Ride V2


                                                              Montreal ML -390




                                                              Let it Ride V2
                                                              - YTD (
                                                              +.62 units)

                                                              #1 -2.95

                                                              #2 +.51

                                                              #3 +1.63

                                                              #4 +9.08
                                                              Comment
                                                              • a4u2fear
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-29-10
                                                                • 8147

                                                                #66
                                                                Hmmmmm,3-1, Classic sabres melt down?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Slanina
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-21-09
                                                                  • 3827

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by a4u2fear
                                                                  Hmmmmm,3-1, Classic sabres melt down?
                                                                  Hopefully. Can't remember seeing 3 losses in a row for V2. But I didn't expect to be up that much so fast. Streaky system so far.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • drfunkmaster
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-29-08
                                                                    • 11162

                                                                    #68
                                                                    i took buffalo +330
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Slanina
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-21-09
                                                                      • 3827

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by drfunkmaster
                                                                      i took buffalo +330
                                                                      Nice hit. They were due to break their losing streak. Don't think they won since Christmas. I can't be mad I lost. Had a lot of games against Buffalo earlier that came through. They got some payback tonight.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Slanina
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-21-09
                                                                        • 3827

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Pittsburgh ML -205 for both systems. Will update after next system win or loss.
                                                                        Comment
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