Trying NHL - It looks pretty easy :)

bihon · 01-07-15, 07:39 AM

BUF/NJD@1.47 + O5@2.00
CAR/NAS@1.44 + U5@2.11
COL/CHI@1.42
CBJ/DAL + O5.5@2.02
SLB@1.64/ARZ
DET@1.57/EDM + O5.5@2.14

Reg. Time:
CAR/NAS DRAW@4.33
DET@2.08 /EDM
SLB@2.04 /ARZ

Grand Total: -2.56

bihon · 01-07-15, 02:30 PM

Jan 07, 2015

OTI:
BOS/ PIT@1.70
DET@2.00 /CAL
NYR/ANA U5@2.11
WAS/TOR O5.5@2.00

Reg. Time:
NYR/ANA DRAW@3.75
WAS/TOR DRAW@3.75

fsulover100 · 01-07-15, 04:50 PM

Looks like it's not as easy as you thought huh?

bihon · 01-07-15, 05:45 PM

Originally posted by fsulover100

Looks like it's not as easy as you thought huh?

Looks I somehow found the path though.
Goal:+7% yield. Around 200 plays more to go.

bihon · 01-08-15, 06:10 AM

BOS/ PIT@1.70-
DET@2.00 /CAL
NYR/ANA U5@2.11
WAS/TOR O5.5@2.00

Reg. Time:
NYR/ANA DRAW@3.75
WAS/TOR DRAW@3.75

Grand Total: -3.56

bihon · 01-08-15, 08:21 AM

Jan 08, 2015

NJD/ BOS@1.54 + O5@2.10
BUF/CAR O5.5@2.05
CHI/ MIN@2.34
DAL/ NAS@1.62 + u5.5@1.91
WIN/ARZ u5@2.28
OTT/ COL@1.72
FLO/ VAN@1.63 + u5@2.00

Reg. Time:
WAS/PHI DRAW@3.85
CHI/MIN DRAW@3.90
FLO/VAN DRAW@4.05
NJD/ BOS@1.92
BUF/ CAR@1.80
SJS/ SLB@2.04
WIN@2.42 /ARZ

bihon · 01-09-15, 05:47 AM

NJD/ BOS@1.54 + O5@2.10
BUF/CAR O5.5@2.05
CHI/ MIN@2.34
DAL/ NAS@1.62 + u5.5@1.91
WIN/ARZ u5@2.28
OTT/ COL@1.72
FLO/ VAN@1.63 + u5@2.00

OTI: -0.12 Tot: +1.96

Reg. Time:
WAS/PHI DRAW@3.85
CHI/MIN DRAW@3.90
FLO/VAN DRAW@4.05
NJD/ BOS@1.92
BUF/ CAR@1.80
SJS/ SLB@2.04
WIN@2.42 /ARZ

RT: +2.61

Grand total: +0.89

Turning green.

bihon · 01-09-15, 11:30 AM

Jan 09, 2015

NYI@1.65 /NJD + U5@2.14
BUF/TBL O5.5@2.05
CBJ@2.18 /TOR + O6@2.04
FLO@2.29 /CAL + U5@2.14
CHI@1.49 /EDM + O5.5@2.05

Reg. Time:
NYI/NJD DRAW@3.90
CBJ/TOR DRAW@3.80
FLO/CAL DRAW@3.85
BUF/ TBL@1.45
CHI@1.85 /EDM

bihon · 01-10-15, 09:42 AM

NYI@1.65 /NJD + U5@2.14
BUF/TBL O5.5@2.05
CBJ@2.18 /TOR + O6@2.04
FLO@2.29 /CAL + U5@2.14
CHI@1.49 /EDM + O5.5@2.05

Reg. Time:
NYI/NJD DRAW@3.90
CBJ/TOR DRAW@3.80
FLO/CAL DRAW@3.85
BUF/ TBL@1.45
CHI@1.85 /EDM

Almost perfect zero day today.

Grand total: +0.82

bihon · 01-10-15, 10:04 AM

Jan 10, 2015

DAL/ COL@1.87 +O5.5@1.85
OTT/ARZ O5.5@2.1
NYI@1.88 /CBJ
CAR/ SLB@1.46
WIN/ LAK@1.62 +U5@2.06
CAL@2.66/ VAN

Reg. Time:
NAS/MIN DRAW@3.8
DET/WAS DRAW@3.8
CAL/VAN DRAW@4.15
CAR/ SLB@1.7

bihon · 01-11-15, 05:08 AM

DAL/ COL@1.87 +O5.5@1.85
OTT/ARZ O5.5@2.1
NYI@1.88 /CBJ
CAR/ SLB@1.46
WIN/ LAK@1.62 & U5@2.06
CAL@2.66/ VAN

Reg. Time:
NAS/MIN DRAW@3.8
DET/WAS DRAW@3.8
CAL/VAN DRAW@4.15
CAR/ SLB@1.7

Grand total: +0.64

Contrary to my expectations the draws are dragging down the results and I gave them enough time to recover. From tommorow they will be kicked out.

bihon · 01-11-15, 08:09 AM

Jan 11, 2015

WIN@2.78 /ANA
MIN/ CHI@1.44 & U5.5@1.81
FLO@1.84 /EDM & O5@1.73 & O6.5@3.7

Reg. Time
FLO@2.37 /EDM

bihon · 01-12-15, 06:08 AM

WIN@2.78 /ANA
MIN/ CHI@1.44 & U5.5@1.81
FLO@1.84 /EDM & O5@1.73 & O6.5@3.7

Reg. Time
FLO@2.37 /EDM

Grand total: +2.83

bihon · 01-12-15, 06:28 AM

Jan 12, 2015

TBL/ PHI@2.25
COL/ WAS@1.59 & U5.5@1.95
TOR/ LAK@1.56 & O5.5@2

Reg. Time:
TOR/ LAK@1.91

mrginandtonic · 01-13-15, 01:43 AM

Originally posted by bihon

Jan 12, 2015

TBL/ PHI@2.25
COL/ WAS@1.59 & U5.5@1.95
TOR/ LAK@1.56 & O5.5@2

Reg. Time:
TOR/ LAK@1.91

Nice night.

bihon · 01-13-15, 02:19 AM

Originally posted by mrginandtonic

Nice night.

Right, altough Kings Over was a huge miss and if I had to do it again I would do the same, maybe Over 5 only, but still bad.

bihon · 01-13-15, 02:27 AM

TBL/ PHI@2.25
COL/ WAS@1.59 & U5.5@1.95
TOR/ LAK@1.56 & O5.5@2

Reg. Time:
TOR/ LAK@1.91

Grand total: +6.09

bihon · 01-13-15, 04:07 AM

Jan 13, 2015

TBL/ BOS@1.85 & o5.5@2.15
DET@1.5 /BUF & U5@2
COL/ CAR@1.79 & U5.5@1.71
NYI/ NYR@1.78 & O5.5@2.04
MIN/ PIT@1.47
VAN/ NAS@1.6 & U5@1.88
OTT@2.38 /DAL & O5.5@1.91
SJS@1.72 /ARZ

Reg. Time:

TBL/ BOS@2.35
EDM/ SLB@1.62
OTT/DAL DRAW@4.00 (can't resist this draw)

bihon · 01-14-15, 02:26 AM

TBL/ BOS@1.85 & o5.5@2.15
DET@1.5 /BUF & U5@2
COL/ CAR@1.79 & U5.5@1.71
NYI/ NYR@1.78 & O5.5@2.04
MIN/ PIT@1.47
VAN/ NAS@1.6 & U5@1.88
OTT@2.38 /DAL & O5.5@1.91
SJS@1.72 /ARZ

Reg. Time:

TBL/ BOS@2.35
EDM/ SLB@1.62
OTT/DAL DRAW@4.00

Grand total: +10.76

bihon · 01-14-15, 02:51 AM

Jan 14, 2015

MON@1.84 /CBJ & U5.5@1.81
PHI/WAS O5@1.77
TOR/ ANA@1.54
NJD/ LAK@1.44

All squres.

Mike Huntertz · 01-14-15, 11:28 AM

Your doing very well! Find it easy?

bihon · 01-14-15, 01:36 PM

Originally posted by Mike Huntertz

Your doing very well! Find it easy?

Well, I had to readjust some parameters, so yes, the system spits out the picks, pretty easy.

However I am very intrigued by the draws which are my ultimate challenge. I'll probably keep them enabled during the test period, although they are now contributing with 9-33 (-7,55 U).

bihon · 01-15-15, 02:57 PM

MON@1.84 /CBJ & U5.5@1.81
PHI/WAS O5@1.77
TOR/ ANA@1.54
NJD/ LAK@1.44

Grand total: +9.95

bihon · 01-15-15, 03:03 PM

Jan 15, 2015

OTI:
NYR/ BOS@1.75
MIN/ BUF@2.7
VAN/ PHI@2.3 & U5.5@1.81
COL/ FLO@1.68 & U5.5@1.77
MON/ OTT@1.87
EDM/ TBL@1.42
DET/ SLB@1.6
WIN@2.13 /DAL & O5.5@1.75
CAL@1.93 /ARZ
TOR/ SJS@1.51 & U5.5@1.96

Reg. Time:
MIN/BUF DRAW@4.05
COL/FLO DRAW@3.95
EDM/ TBL@1.65

bihon · 01-16-15, 04:17 PM

NYR/ BOS@1.75
MIN/ BUF@2.7
VAN/ PHI@2.3 & U5.5@1.81
COL/ FLO@1.68 & U5.5@1.77
MON/ OTT@1.87
EDM/ TBL@1.42
DET/ SLB@1.6
WIN@2.13 /DAL & O5.5@1.75
CAL@1.93 /ARZ
TOR/ SJS@1.51 & U5.5@1.96

Reg. Time:
MIN/BUF DRAW@4.05
COL/FLO DRAW@3.95
EDM/ TBL@1.65

Grand total: +8.97

bihon · 01-16-15, 04:21 PM

Jan 16, 2015

VAN/ CAR@1.93 & U5@2.04
NYR@1.78 /CBJ
PIT/ NYI@1.85 & O5.5@2.17
WAS/ NAS@1.87
NJD/ ANA@1.51 & O5@1.87

Reg. Time:
PIT/NYI DRAW@3.9
NJD/ ANA@1.83

If anyone's tailing, please disregard all draw picks.

bihon · 01-17-15, 05:33 AM

VAN/ CAR@1.93 & U5@2.04
NYR@1.78 /CBJ
PIT/ NYI@1.85 & O5.5@2.17
WAS/ NAS@1.87
NJD/ ANA@1.51 & O5@1.87

Reg. Time:
PIT/NYI DRAW@3.9
NJD/ ANA@1.83

Grand total: +13.89

bihon · 01-17-15, 07:17 AM

Jan 17, 2015

CBJ/ BOS@1.41
PHI@1.57 /BUF & U5.5@1.83
NAS@2.25 /DET
EDM/ FLO@1.53 & U5.5@1.76
CAR/ OTT@1.63
TOR/ SLB@1.46
WAS@2.25 /DAL & O5.5@1.83
ARZ/ MIN@1.55 & O5.5@2.09
ANA/ LAK@1.7
CAL/ SJS@1.6

Reg. Time:
NYI/MON DRAW@3.85
COL/TBL DRAW@4.05
ARZ/ MIN@1.91
TOR/ SLB@1.75

chaka · 01-17-15, 04:12 PM

Suggestion when playing draws --several teams play more OT than others (including several pair of teams consistently play OT against each other) and about year and a half ago OT games happened about 12% of the time

chaka · 01-17-15, 04:43 PM

Also some teams play OT in bunches Winnipeg and Anaheim both have had 5 OT in 8 games plus WPT also had 4 OT in 6 games . Some teams almost never play OT just avoid them

ana and la have played OT a lot in their last 10 games this season 4 & 5 times respectively
in head to head last two between these teams this year went to OT and 4 of last 10 meetings went to OT
Of to its games I feel this game most likely to go to OT

skip teams beaten by 2+ goals on regular basis or win by 2+. Couple years ago Boston was a team to never play draw

i would skip teams that play only once a year and focus on teams that play frequently

bihon · 01-18-15, 04:46 AM

Originally posted by chaka

Suggestion when playing draws --several teams play more OT than others (including several pair of teams consistently play OT against each other)

Good insight, thanks.

Originally posted by chaka

...and about year and a half ago OT games happened about 12% of the time

How many games was that?

bihon · 01-18-15, 08:33 AM

CBJ/ BOS@1.41
PHI@1.57 /BUF & U5.5@1.83
NAS@2.25 /DET
EDM/ FLO@1.53 & U5.5@1.76
CAR/ OTT@1.63
TOR/ SLB@1.46
WAS@2.25 /DAL & O5.5@1.83
ARZ/ MIN@1.55 & O5.5@2.09
ANA/ LAK@1.7
CAL/ SJS@1.6

Reg. Time:
NYI/MON DRAW@3.85
COL/TBL DRAW@4.05
ARZ/ MIN@1.91
TOR/ SLB@1.75

Grand total: +11.77

bihon · 01-18-15, 08:43 AM

Jan 18, 2015

NYR/ PIT@1.75
DAL/ CHI@1.4
ARZ/ WIN@1.43 & O5.5@2.1
BUF/ DET@1.31 & O5@1.92 & O6.5@3.75

Reg. Time:
ARZ/ WIN@1.74
BUF/ DET@1.51

chaka · 01-18-15, 09:22 AM

Originally posted by chaka

Also some teams play OT in bunches Winnipeg and Anaheim both have had 5 OT in 8 games plus WPT also had 4 OT in 6 games . Some teams almost never play OT just avoid them

ana and la have played OT a lot in their last 10 games this season 4 & 5 times respectively
in head to head last two between these teams this year went to OT and 4 of last 10 meetings went to OT
Of to its games I feel this game most likely to go to OT

skip teams beaten by 2+ goals on regular basis or win by 2+. Couple years ago Boston was a team to never play draw

i would skip teams that play only once a year and focus on teams that play frequently

First off the above post was typed on ipad and didnt realize auto correct modified bits of the post..
"of to its games I feel this game most likely to go to ot" should have read " of tonite's games".

Which anaheim and LA did play into a shootout

My next post that indicated OT games happened about 12% was to say 22%. Fn autocorrect is turned off now

I had to find The article i was referencing which was nov 2013 (reason why i said about year and a half ago stats) is found under sportingcharts.com. " how often is overtime needed in nhl?"

Since the rule changed when each team gets a point for ot they break down the stats. There is a year by year table i am unable to copy/paste from ipad you should post here

Did you know that the average NHL requires extra time approximately 23% of the time? Between the 2005-06 and 2012-13 NHL seasons, a total of 2,176 out of 9,330 regular season games went to overtime, which is equal to 23.3% of games.
It’s this frequency of overtimes that leads to statements like “playing for overtime” as teams are thought to play it a bit safer in the closing minutes of a tie game to ensure that they walk away from the game with at least a point.

Good luck!

bihon · 01-18-15, 09:55 AM

Chaka, thanks for your input.