Math Man's Moneyline Mania

[million2one]

Greetings folks,

Tired of chasing your loses and inflated records. I am going to try something different here.
This thread will play only money lines that I believe to have a positive expected value. I have only recently begun betting this way so follow at your own risk. I make these plays based solely on the numbers so any input regarding injuries, situations, etc. is much appreciated. Happy betting.

11.29.2014 plays

Pittsburgh Penguins (-190)
Montreal Canadians (-300)
Nashville Predators (-240)
Calgary Flames (+105)
Anaheim Ducks (+130)

[million2one]

11.29.2014 plays

Pittsburgh Penguins (-190)
Montreal Canadians (-300)
Nashville Predators (-240)
Calgary Flames (+105)
Anaheim Ducks (+130)

Montreal spoils a great first post, on to today.

12.1.2014 plays:

Florida Panthers (+115)

YTD stats:
record: 3 - 2
units: -0.95
average play -174

[million2one]

12.1.2014 plays:

Florida Panthers (+115)

Hate to have all these faves but just playing the prob's I have.

Pittsburgh Penguins (-210)
Nashville Predators (-140)
Tampa Bay Lightning (-200)
Toronto Maple leafs (-130)
Detroit Red wings (-210)
Calgary Flames (-170)

[million2one]

Pittsburgh Penguins (-210)
Nashville Predators (-140)
Tampa Bay Lightning (-200)
Toronto Maple leafs (-130)
Detroit Red wings (-210)
Calgary Flames (-170)

Gettin' swallowed up here to start the thread, hopefully its just variance at work.

12.3.14 plays

Winnipeg Jets (-185)


YTD Stats:

record: 6 - 6
units: -4.35
average play: -167

[million2one]

12.3.14 plays

Winnipeg Jets (-185)

Was gonna try to get units back with Tampa Bay but the line got way out of control.

12.4.2014 plays

Florida Panthers (-145)
Calgary Flames (-145)

[Pro_Gambler11]

What stats are you using?

[million2one]

12.4.2014 plays

Florida Panthers (-145)
Calgary Flames (-145)

Florida out shoots their opponent 55 - 20 but ends up losing, ridiculous. At least I feel like it was the right play.
Lets turn this thing around today.

12.6.2014 plays

Los Angeles Kings (-210)
Montreal Canadians (+105)
Calgary Flames (-120)
Tampa Bay Lightning (-250)

YTD Stats

record: 8 - 7
units: -3.80
average play: -165

[million2one]

What stats are you using?

Apparently the wrong ones.
I am losing and ending up taking so many favorites.