How much does home ice advantage swing a moneyline?

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  • blackberry_juice
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-22-09
    • 313

    #1
    How much does home ice advantage swing a moneyline?
    Hey guys, is there a ballpark range of how many points on the moneyline home ice typically swings? I know in football people typically use a 3-4 point range on the spread, but I was curious if there was a similar rule of thumb for hockey. I understand that a team playing across the country will be at a bigger disadvantage then a team playing a short flight away from home.

    Yesterday the Leafs were a slight favorite over the Red Wings at home and today they're in the +115 range at Detroit so I'm gonna guess the difference between the same two teams playing at home and on the road is worth about 20-30 points.

    What do you guys think?
  • DocterDrew
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-19-14
    • 529

    #2
    I'd agree with this, hard to really pick a range because hockey is such has a 0,1,2 score differential where NFL is 3,6,7,10
    I think it's more reliable to rank teams with power rankings and have a range where teams home ice advantage ranges from 0 to -.5 -1

    id say Bruins hawks sharks blues to name a few usually have -1 home advantage over buffalo Florida Edmonton on any given night and then Id cut that in half vs a Columbus NY islanders Minnesota.

    Hope oe I make sense here, but definitely a home advantage isn't as clear cut as in NBA NFL
    Comment
    • blackberry_juice
      SBR Sharp
      • 12-22-09
      • 313

      #3
      That's an interesting approach. I like that. I think it's a lot more difficult to do that though then account for the value in the moneyline but if you are good at it, it's probably very beneficial
      Comment
      • cobra_king
        SBR MVP
        • 08-07-06
        • 2497

        #4
        20 cents
        Comment
        • blackberry_juice
          SBR Sharp
          • 12-22-09
          • 313

          #5
          Originally posted by cobra_king
          20 cents
          thanks!
          Comment
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