Jerimjob's 2014/2015 NHL Thread

[Jerimjob]

Going to track my NHL picks this year. All my picks will be in $100 increments.
This will be my first full season capping picks consistently.
I follow hockey religiously and live in Vancouver following my frustrating Canucks.
For those wondering, I use Bodog for my odds.
Follow or fade me through this fun season. Best of luck all.

Wednesday, October 8^th:

Bruins/Flyers under 5.5 (-135)
No Krejci, Traded Boychuk, Rask is one of the best goalies in the world. Can’t see many goals here.
Flyers will play a tight defensive game on the road and both teams will struggle scoring.
Risk $100 to win $74.07

Canucks (-115) to beat Flames.
Flames are awful. Whatever glimmer of excitement with Sam Bennett is squashed as he’s injured.
Where is Calgary going to get any offense? Canucks will be happy to start a new system with new players and a new coach. They have good success in Calgary. I see them starting off on the right foot.
Risk $100 to win $86.96

[Jerimjob]

Monahan has the flu for Calgary. Game-time decision.
Canucks pick is looking better. Line up to -120 now
Would also lean on Calgary TT under

[Jerimjob]

1-0 to start the night. Now let's go Canucks

[Jerimjob]

Good opening night for hockey.
The under hit pretty comfortably in the Bruins/Flyers game.
Canucks game was closer than it should have been. Flames are looking pretty bad again this year.

2-0 overall
+161.03

Will post my picks for tomorrow.
Early leans: Devils, Stars/Hawks over, Avs

[Jerimjob]

Thursday, October 9^th:

Hawks/Stars over 5.5 (-120)
There’s just too much offense on both sides. Dallas should be a high scoring team this year. Both teams have great top 6 forwards.
Risk $100 to win $83.33

Devils (+105) to beat Flyers.
Tough spot for Flyers facing back-to-back stud goalies. I think we’ll see another low scoring game with Devils squeaking it out. Schneider’s first year as the undisputed #1 in New Jersey, and he’ll want to make an impact
Risk $100 to win $105

Avalanche (+115) to beat Wild.
I really like the young Avs team this year to make some noise. Mackinnon is the real deal, and I’m not sold on Kuemper in net with the Wild. Avs have good scoring up front, so I’m looking for a W for Colorado.
Risk $100 to win $115

[Jones10]

on board with NJ bro....GL

[Jerimjob]

for those curious about the lines for Chicago and Dallas:

Dallas: Benn-Seguin-Nichushkin, Eaves-Spezza-Hemsky, Roussel-Eakin-Garbutt, Horcoff-Fiddler-Sceviour
Chicago: Sharp-Toews-Hossa, Saad-Shaw-Kane, Bickell-Richards-Smith, Morin-Kruger-Carcillo.

Both teams have 2 great scoring lines, and dangerous powerplays. I'm expecting 5-3, 5-4 type of game

[Jerimjob]

1-2 last night.

3-2 overall
+$66.03

Good win by the Devils. Wasn't expecting such a high scoring game, but I'll take it. Thought the Stars/hawks game would have had more goals, but what can ya do. Avs shit the bed. Underestimated Wild big time.

Picking the Isles winning tonight. They are the better team in every department. Carolina losing Jordan Staal is a huge loss. I like what the Isles did in the offseason. Carolina could have a nice game on opening night, but they've overall a bad team. Picking the better team to win. Simple as that.

New York Islanders -125
Risk $100 to win $80

[Jerimjob]

Islanders win easy. They have a really good young team. Tavares and Nelson really impressed.

4-2 overall
+$146.03

Will make my picks tomorrow, but early leans are Anaheim, Philly, and NJ/FLA under
Chicago and St. Louis should be locks, but depending on juice, might lay off

[Jerimjob]

Decided to pick Anaheim already. I feel like the line will go up, and really like them for tomorrow.

Ducks (-110) to beat Red Wings.
Anaheim should be a great team this year with Kesler now manning the second line center position.
They have 3 really good lines, and a deadly PP. They'll want to erase their loss in their first game against the Pens.
Datsyuk being out for Red Wings really hurts. Ducks should win this one in regulation, but will pick them puck line to be safe.

Risk $100 to win $90.91

Will make a couple more picks tomorrow

[Jerimjob]

Second pick for today:

Florida Panthers (+105) to beat New Jersey Devils.
Was eyeing the under, but NJ scored 6 last game, and Schneider wasn't all too impressive. With the line at 5, avoided the total.
I like Luongo to get the upper hand on his buddy Schneider. With Florida at home, and at plus money, I'll take the Panthers

Risk $100 to win $105

[Jerimjob]

Final pick for today will be a parlay of 2 heavy favorites:
Chicago Blackhawks to beat Buffalo Sabres
St. Louis Blues to beat Calgary Flames

Blues + Blackhawks parlay
Risk $100 to win $95.61

The juice is high early on, but I don't see either team losing at home.
Buffalo and Calgary are both awful.

So overall, I have Anaheim, Florida, and Chicago/St. Louis parlay

Good luck to everyone on a busy Saturday

[peewea]

Im looking at Wild, hawks, rangers, devils tonnight, only thing that scares me is the Hawks ML, -250, I bet with a bookie and not online so a $100 bet for me means Win $100, lose $250, if the hawks would lose, what website so you use?

[Jerimjob]

I use Bodog.... I could do the same... risk $250 to win $100.
I did the bookie thing too, but prefer online as there's more options.
Good luck with your picks. The Hawks should win easy tonight

[Jerimjob]

Florida sure shit the bed. Thought Lu would play better against his former buddy, but oh well. Jersey looks great so far this year.
My other 3 teams won. A little lucky with Anaheim, but I'll take it. The better team won.

6-3 overall
+$232.55

Not sure if I'll make a pick tomorrow. Don't really like either game.
I'd lean towards the over in both games, but no play for now

[Jerimjob]

Should have gone with my gut, and taken the overs in both.
I'll make a couple picks tomorrow, but liking another over in the Boston/Colorado game.
Colorado has to score eventually, right? lol.... Maybe the early game will help.
Anaheim and Tampa are my other leans

[Jerimjob]

Decided to pull the trigger early on the over in Colorado/Boston game

Bruins/Avs over 5 goals (-110)
Risk $100 to win $90.91

[Jerimjob]

Both backups starting this morning.
Krejci is back in the lineup, which should probably ignite Lucic
Can't see Colorado getting shut out 3 games in a row
I'm liking the over even more now

[Jerimjob]

6-4 overall
+$132.55

Might hold off betting Colorado and Boston until they get their shit together.

2 picks this afternoon:

Florida -105
Risk $100 to win $95.24

Tampa Bay - 135
Risk $100 to win $74.07

[Jerimjob]

7-5 overall
+106.62

Buffalo Sabres +165
Risk $100 to win $165

Yes, I’m going with Buffalo. As horrible as Buffalo is, Carolina is just as bad. Eric Staal is out for tonight, so both Staal brothers and Skinner are out. At that price, worth a shot.

[Jerimjob]

LA Kings -220
Risk $220 to win $100

Yes, the juice is high, but Oilers are going to be without Eberle and Nugent-Hopkins. Kings have won 6 straight against the Oilers outscoring them 19-5 over that span. I don’t see why tonight will be any different.
Kings have won 6 straight against the oilers and out scored them 19-5 over that span. I see more of the same tonight.

[Jerimjob]

Nice win by the Sabres. Should have done it in regulation, but Zemgus pulled it out in the shootout. This kid is good.
LA off and running already. Should end the night 2-0

[Jerimjob]

Good night yesterday going 2-0

9-5 overall
+371.62

Too much juice on the Chicago game, and I have a tough time betting on Boston at the moment.
Leaning towards taking Chicago/Calgary over, but will decide later

[Jerimjob]

Picks for tonight:

Rangers -1.5 (+135)
Risk $100 to win $135

Rangers will come out strong at home. If Carolina can't beat Buffalo, I have no trust in them pulling it out on the road against a better Rangers team. Even if Skinner or Staal return, I see Rangers winning by more than a couple. Possible shutout for Lundqvist, who will look to bounce back after a tough start to the year.

St. Louis Blues +105
Risk $100 to win $105

This is just a gut feeling. St. Louis is on par with the Kings in my mind, so I'll take them at plus money in what should be a close game.

New York Islanders +110
Risk $100 to win $110

Another close game, so I'll take the home dog at plus money.

[Jerimjob]

1-1 so far in the early games for a small profit $10

Overall 10-6
+$381.62

Late game should be a beauty. Go Blues!

[Jerimjob]

Tough loss in St. Louis, as they were clearly the better team. Quick stole that win.

Overall 10-7
+$281.62

Columbus in regulation (-115)
Risk $100 to win $86.96

Too much juice for a straight up win. I think Flames luck will run out tonight. Jackets are a better team, and should take this.

Anaheim Ducks (-125)
Risk $100 to win $80

Ducks are gold at home. Wild have started well this season, but will pick up their first loss tonight.

[Jerimjob]

A nice night yesterday. Went 2-0

Overall 12-7
+448.48

Leans for today: Boston, San Jose, Pitt, and Chicago

Will post later today

[DocterDrew]

Cashed on both games with you yesterday, Good Luck tonight!

[Jerimjob]

4 picks for tonight:

SJ Sharks (-120)
Risk $100 to win $83.33

Sharks will want to bounce back after being outplayed by the Isles.

Chicago Blackhawks + Boston Bruins parlay
Risk $100 to win $107.25

Not much to say here. Two teams who should win. Both coming off losses, I expect them to come out with a couple Ws

Colorado Avalanche (+145)
Risk $100 to win $140

Have a feeling that following the big Boston game, we can see a let down here from Montreal. Colorado looks to be getting it going too.

Islanders/Penguins over 5.5 + Lightning/Canucks over 5.5 parlay
Risk $100 to win $251.43

Another gut feeling, but Islanders and Pens can score. Canucks game was 2-0 yesterday. I see more goals against a good Lightning team.

Good luck to everyone

[Jerimjob]

Took a day off yesterday. Wasn't crazy about anything NHL-wise, so focused on some NFL

Overall record 14-9
+$439.06

With only one game on the board tonight, I'm going to go with the home dog.

Edmonton Oilers to win (+140)
Risk $100 to win $140

No Hedman for Tampa will make a difference. I like Edmonton to get their first win of the season here.
Slight lean on the over as well, but will just pick the Oilers tonight.

[Jerimjob]

Solid win by the Oilers. Had a nice feeling this was their spot to get their first win of the year

Overall record 15-9
+$579.06

[Jerimjob]

2 picks for tonight:

Tampa Bay Lightning (-110)
Risk $100 to win $90.91

Colorado/Florida over 5.5 goals (+115)
Risk $100 to win $115

[Jerimjob]

Another good night going 2 for 2

Overall record 17-9
+$784.97

[DocterDrew]

Good Stuff!!!!!

[Jerimjob]

Thanks man

And for tonight... sometimes no plays ... is the good play
No game catches my eye. Pitt and Anaheim have too much juice, but both should win.
Tomorrow's card looks sexy though, and I'll make a couple tomorrow.