RollinDo's Under Wonders

[RollinDo]

Took Jersey only TY

Jersey ml or Under?

I was sick yesterday...didn't get to look into any Unders.
Back at it after Olympics!

[RollinDo]

1st play(s) in nhl since Olympics...had on my mind to wait a few games before continuing...please keep in mind that I have only watched 1 nhl game all season, so my plays are strictly from a stats/trends perspective.

Total Under record: 29-15

Play 1:

Minnesota Wild (-1) -108
Just can't see Calgary taking this game against a home team that has been lights out this year and playing well since the break.
The odds are not bad, so worth a shot. Only way to lose is if Calgary wins...may take the ML if odds drop to -170.

Buffalo-Dallas (Under 5.5)
Not a popular pick today, but my gut was telling me this when I saw the lines first thing this morning. Dallas has been better on the road and 5 of last 6 games has gone Under for Stars.
Buffalo playing well lately, and are not giving up a ton of goals and even held Sharks to just 2 goals in last outting. If they hold Dallas to 3 goals, Under should hit, as Buffalo averages 1.25 goals per game on the road. Another option is to take Buffalo (Under 2.5 goals)...unsure of the odds for this, but at -140 or better, I may do that instead.

[Eman69]

For the moneyline Buffalo is a pretty decent pick +180

Id say Calgary/Min goes over 5

Buffalo ML looks good i can see it going as high as +200 at game time

GL

[RollinDo]

For the moneyline Buffalo is a pretty decent pick +180

Id say Calgary/Min goes over 5

Buffalo ML looks good i can see it going as high as +200 at game time

GL

Calgary/Minn probably lands right at 5...we'll see. I can see a 4-1 or 3-2 game with Minny taking the win.
I just can't take a road team dog that scores that few goals. They won't score more than 2 (I don't think) and holding Dallas to 2 will be tough.

[RollinDo]

Well, if the line had gone down for Minny ML to -170, would have done that instead...ended up with a push there.
Another Under hits! Anyone tail that one?

Overall Under record: 30-15

[JonEJet]

Tailing

[RollinDo]

Tailing

Too late bud. There are 3 games I have leans for (Under), but may just pass for today...not much time to research.

[RollinDo]

OK - just took 15 minutes glancing at the games and there were 4 that stood out as a strong possiblity of going Under.

The play I'm going with is Vancouver-Phoenix as both teams are jostling for the last spot in the playoffs...not that either will get past Round 1, but you never know! This will be a tightly-checked game as neither team can afford to give up 3 or more goals and win. The Under has hit in the last 5 meetings between these teams in Phoenix. From what I recall, the Under has hit in 8 of last 11 Phoenix home games.

I think both goalies will be locked in and we see a 3-1 or 3-2 score...with a lean to Phoenix winning.
The line is -145 at 5Dimes - a little juicy for my liking, but I'm taking a shot as this line is an indication of the chances that it will hit.

Vancouver-Phoenix (Under 5.5)

Let's get to 31-15 in hopes of cashing another Under Wonder!

My other 3 leans were Detroit-NJ (Under 5), Pitt-Nash (Under 5.5), and Carolina-SJ (Under 5.5)

[JonEJet]

Thanks for taking a look....rolling with phx/van

[RollinDo]

Thanks for taking a look....rolling with phx/van

Because it's a little juicey, going to wager the same amount as last night.

To put it in perspective...

Last night I wagered .6 units to win .5 units

Tonight I'm going with .6 units to win .4 units

I really should put down more on Unders with such a good record and good feel for them, but they are about half of what I do for parlays/teasers and for ML plays...for that, my gains are small. I really didn't think I'd have such success.

Overall I think I have good plays, but my wagering technique is poor...this is my 1st year of sports betting, and still learning lots.

[amarius87]

like it even better with lack in net now, sedin out.

[JonEJet]

It's at -155 right now

[JonEJet]

Vancouver-Phoenix (Under 5.5)

Let's get to 31-15 in hopes of cashing another Under Wonder!

Dude....you are the man

Much appreciated and much needed TY

[RollinDo]

Dude....you are the man

Much appreciated and much needed TY

Thanks bud. I REALLY needs Sharks to win tonight.
Though I'm doing well in Unders, still in the red a lot overall.
Like I said, I have good plays, but have trouble knowing what to do with them and managing bankroll.

[JonEJet]

I have your under tied to Sharks too

Played small at -155 for $100 but went big with under and Sharks parlay

[JonEJet]

Unreal how f-ing Sharks lose at home

[RollinDo]

Man, this has been a real bad start to the week.
Feel like taking a break from this.
I had 4-5 great plays tonight and had to put them in 2 parlays...end up losing...3 losing nights in a row.
Even had Sharks (+1/2) after 60 min. and got greedy and did ML instead.
Was going to play Baylor -3, Prov. ML, Parlay (Houston Cougars (ML)/Oregon (ML)), Milwaukee ML, Canes-Sharks (Under)...but no, couldn't stay away from parlay city...another freakin lesson in sports betting...hate it!
Had I played the way I thought originally would have been up several units instead of having a losing night...lots of studying, thinking, etc. over last month and $5 to show for it...just not worth it man.

[RollinDo]

Oh, fwiw...
Under Record: 31-15

Hope someone is making money, cause it's not me.

[chabooky386]

oh, fwiw...
Under record: 31-15

hope someone is making money, cause it's not me.

nice!

[RollinDo]

nice!

Are you tailing these plays Chabooky? I know one poster is and it's payed off for him. Would be nice to know others are cashing too.
Otherwise, not sure it's such a good use of time knowing that I come out on the losing end overall with all my plays (aside from Unders).

[JonEJet]

Are you tailing these plays Chabooky? I know one poster is and it's payed off for him. Would be nice to know others are cashing too.
Otherwise, not sure it's such a good use of time knowing that I come out on the losing end overall with all my plays (aside from Unders).

Can't hurt....seeing that you're pretty much owning these pics, tie them into another game......not 3, 4 or 5 games

Parlays really are a sucker bet....only in hockey it's sort of a must. Be cautious


I played Boston last night too....but was sure as sh1t SJ was the stronger play seeing their record at home is so strong

[RollinDo]

Can't hurt....seeing that you're pretty much owning these pics, tie them into another game......not 3, 4 or 5 games

Parlays really are a sucker bet....only in hockey it's sort of a must. Be cautious


I played Boston last night too....but was sure as sh1t SJ was the stronger play seeing their record at home is so strong

Yeah, no kidding, though this year, Sharks are not quite as dominant at home. If you want a free play of mine...no lock or anything...go with Montreal (Under 2.5) tonight. I have read that the Anaheim goalie is very good vs. Canadiens at home. They just beefed up their D too with some trades...I have no clue about individual players other than goaltenders in nhl really. Since I see Ducks winning tonight on home ice, I think that may be the best play. I was leaning Under 5.5, but Ducks could score 4. Also considering that Ducks have great penalty killing, and Montreal thrives on PP goals. Just don't go crazy with the pick man...and you don't have to play it if you're not feelin' it.

Not good to make the same play in more than 1 bet...though I have it tonight in SMU (+3.5) and (+9) in a parlay...hope I don't get burned!

[RollinDo]

I played Boston last night too

I kind of put myself in a bind as I put in 2 futures with Boston a long time ago that are looking pretty good right now.
Boston (division champs) -125
Boston (Eastern conf. champs) -400

They were both small wagers so if I lose a bet with Boston ML, the first one is pretty much wiped out...not sure if that makes sense, but I shy away from teams I have in futures (Boston and StL)

[JonEJet]

I'm taking Ducks and parlaying with others

For ex

Ducks and Duke ML $100 to pay $72.00
Ducks and Trail Blazers ML to pay $88.00

[amarius87]

your under picks have been solid.. why dont you just play unders ... till your bank roll increases? i stopped playing parlays of over 2 games, just waste of money. try out reverse if bets.. the payout is a bit less but at the same time even if one loses you still get some money back. rather then lose the whole amount
but thanks for the picks! solid

[RollinDo]

your under picks have been solid.. why dont you just play unders ... till your bank roll increases? i stopped playing parlays of over 2 games, just waste of money. try out reverse if bets.. the payout is a bit less but at the same time even if one loses you still get some money back. rather then lose the whole amount
but thanks for the picks! solid

Thanks for the advice man! I've never heard of reverse bets. I will have to check it out!

[amarius87]

Cool look forward to more of your under picks!

[RollinDo]

Cool look forward to more of your under picks!

Tried a Reverse Action last night - didn't put it in, but confused about how it works. In my last 3 parlays, 2 of 3 have won, so would be nice to know about this.

I have 4 Under leans for tonight...will confirm later...

Colorado @ Detroit (Under 5.5)
Vancouver @ Dallas (Under 5.5)
Montreal @ Phoenix (Under 5.5)
NY Isles @ Edmonton (Under 5.5)

I think that all of them except the last should be Under 5.
My strongest lean is probably Colorado @ Detroit and Montreal @ Phoenix (though Montreal is on a b2b, but Phoenix not scoring much)

[JonEJet]

Vancouver is horrible right now.....running with that under train until it stops

[RollinDo]

Adding Buffalo @ TB as a possible Under...right now the lines are not up for 2 of the games.

Heavy leans now Van @ Dallas, Monty @ Phoenix, Isles @ Edmonton and Buffalo (Under 2.5)

[RollinDo]

Big night for Unders boys...let's build on this 31-15 record, eh?

Play 1: (if bet) Pitt @ SJ (Under 5.5) ---> Colorado @ Detroit (Under 5.5)
1.15 units to win 1.9 units

Play 2: Vancouver @ Dallas (Under 5.5)
.65 units to win .5 units
Play 3: Montreal @ Phoenix (Under 5.5)
.65 units to win .5 units

Play 4: Buffalo Sabres (Under 2.5 goals) ---line not out yet for TT, but if -150 or better, will play.

...will update later.

[JonEJet]

Playing only hockey tonight.....lots of juicy plays thx

[JonEJet]

Take a look at Wash vs Boston under

Wash just picked up Havlak who owns Boston

[Bettahs]

Washington had 6 against them last night hah. But could Halak need time to adjust to their system? Hasnt been confirmed to play yet I dont think.

Thoughts on Vancouver going under? 1-8-1, 28th in league for goals, absolutely horrible right now and cant score at all.

[RollinDo]

Thoughts on Vancouver going under? 1-8-1, 28th in league for goals, absolutely horrible right now and cant score at all.

Vancouver TT Under? or Under on the game?
I'm going with Under on the game with 2 very solid goaltenders.
Check my earlier post with my Under plays for the night.