LTB's Season Long Hockey Grind

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  • lovetobet
    SBR MVP
    • 10-06-08
    • 1294

    #1
    LTB's Season Long Hockey Grind
    I didn't like the title of my other thread so I'm giving it another shot. I'm bringing over my results, which is only 2 games, anyone worried about it can find my other thread and verify the results.

    I didn't provide much background in my other thread because I've been too busy so here's a little about what I'm doing. My plays are coming from a framework (hate the word system but that's basically what it is) that I've been working with/on for years. I've been using forms of it and developing it for years with mixed results but typically the worst it's ever done in hockey is basically break even. I think I've finally found some additional tweaks/filters that will make this a profitable way to bet, year after year. If you look at my previous thread you will see there aren't a ton of games that make it through all the filters. I am serious enough about this revised/updated framework that I back tested if for 5 years, with positive results in all 5 years.

    No great claims of incredible win %'s or huge positive runs. As a matter of fact I wouldn't have hit a 50% win rate in any of the previous 5 years but since everything is on the ML and I take all dogs (or at least very close to all dogs), I can still win $$. I bet the same amount on each game thus 1 unit. I've chosen to play a very considerable unit size this year because at the end of the year I expect to be up only 10-15 units, thus for the time and effort to be worth it I am playing a much bigger unit size than I have ever played in the past. As an FYI this method of betting is not for people that need ‘action’ every day as there aren’t that many games that make it through the filters.
  • lovetobet
    SBR MVP
    • 10-06-08
    • 1294

    #2
    Here are my results YTD:

    Daily Record
    Overall Record 1-1 +.65 Units
    Comment
    • lovetobet
      SBR MVP
      • 10-06-08
      • 1294

      #3
      I am bringing over my results from the other thread. As indicated in the first post I meant to do this almost 2 months ago and got side tracked with some life stuff and accidentally kept posting in the old thread. Don't like the title of the old thread so going forward I'll be posting in this thread. My record and units can be checked in the old thread although I doubt anyone will have an issue with that since I'm bringing over a losing record and negative units.

      I like this thread title much better; it's more representative of myself, my wagering style and hockey itself. So here's to a new beginning and some good ju-ju.

      Daily Record:
      Overall Record: 5-8 -.83 Units
      Comment
      • Cuse0323
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-09-09
        • 30169

        #4
        Best of luck, you'll get it going. Keep grinding like you said man.
        Comment
        • Chi_archie
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-22-08
          • 63167

          #5
          New thread should give you a nice jump start
          Comment
          • lovetobet
            SBR MVP
            • 10-06-08
            • 1294

            #6
            Thanks guys. Obviously no NHL games on the slate today but I'm on both college football bowl games for anyone interested.

            These will not be included in my record or units:

            Pittsburgh +5 -105
            Utah St. ML -107
            Comment
            • lovetobet
              SBR MVP
              • 10-06-08
              • 1294

              #7
              It's not hockey but it is WINNING!!! So far I like the Karma in the new thread Nice to hit both those games, hope a few of you followed and won some money with me. Since I typically play a lot of college bowl games I'll post my plays in here in case anyone would like to mix in some football with their hockey. I will post my bowl record and units for easy reference but I WILL NOT mix my results (neither record NOR units) with my NHL results.

              Pittsburgh +5 -105 - W
              Utah St. ML -107 - W

              College Bowl Games:
              Daily Record: 2-0 +2.0 Units
              Overall Record: 2-0 +2.0 Units

              NHL
              Daily Record:
              Overall Record: 5-8
              -.83 Units
              Comment
              • lovetobet
                SBR MVP
                • 10-06-08
                • 1294

                #8
                Maryland Terps +3 -110
                Comment
                • lovetobet
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-06-08
                  • 1294

                  #9
                  Syracuse +3.5 -110 1/2 Unit
                  Washington -4.5 -105 1/2 Unit
                  Comment
                  • lovetobet
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-06-08
                    • 1294

                    #10
                    Avalanche +168
                    Predators +140
                    Comment
                    • lovetobet
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-06-08
                      • 1294

                      #11
                      Well got the 2nd bowl game of the day and the Huskies just went up 7-0 early in the last bowl game but I think it's time to add a new filter into my hockey plays. The filter being anytime my system says to bet against Chicago, just ignore it and make it a 'no play', Avalanche losing 7-1, ugh!! Hawks have cost me betting against them.
                      Comment
                      • lovetobet
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-06-08
                        • 1294

                        #12
                        College Bowl Games:
                        Maryland Terps +3 -110
                        - L
                        Syracuse +3.5 -110 1/2 Unit - W
                        Washington -4.5 -105 1/2 Unit - W


                        Hockey:

                        Avalanche +168 - L
                        Predators +140 - L

                        College Bowl Games:
                        Daily Record: 2-1
                        -.10 Units
                        Overall Record: 4-1 +1.90 Units

                        NHL
                        Daily Record: 0-2 -2.0 Units
                        Overall Record: 5-10 -2.83 Units
                        Comment
                        • lovetobet
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-06-08
                          • 1294

                          #13
                          Louisville -5.5
                          Comment
                          • lovetobet
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-06-08
                            • 1294

                            #14
                            K State -7
                            Comment
                            • lovetobet
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-06-08
                              • 1294

                              #15
                              Ended up being a nice day, hitting both plays. I actually went 3-0 but thought I posted Rutgers last night, didn't realize I didn't put it in till I came to post the Louisville play, oh well 2-0 still solid.

                              Louisville -5.5 - W
                              K State -7 - W

                              College Bowl Games:
                              Daily Record: 2-0 +2.0 Units

                              Overall Record: 4-1
                              +3.90 Units

                              NHL
                              Daily Record:

                              Overall Record: 5-10
                              -2.83 Units

                              Comment
                              • lovetobet
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-06-08
                                • 1294

                                #16
                                gt +3
                                Comment
                                • lovetobet
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-06-08
                                  • 1294

                                  #17
                                  Oregon -14
                                  Comment
                                  • lovetobet
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-06-08
                                    • 1294

                                    #18
                                    Adding another 1/2 unit to Oregon -14

                                    Arizona St. -16 1/2 Unit
                                    Comment
                                    • lovetobet
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-06-08
                                      • 1294

                                      #19
                                      LA Kings +132
                                      Comment
                                      • lovetobet
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-06-08
                                        • 1294

                                        #20
                                        Didn't cap that GT game well, Ole Miss easily could have won by 3 TD's but I nailed the Oregon game, glad I threw a little extra on it. I went against my post above saying I wouldn't/shouldn't bet against the BHawks even if my system said it was a play but went ahead with the Kings, might prove costly. Eight and a half minutes left and I'm down 1-0, hopefully LA can get a late goal and push OT, if not that's it, I've lost way too much money betting against the Hawks, I'm done!!

                                        Anyway I was on Navy this morning and got that one, just didn't get it posted in time, so I'm playing with house money; if I lose the Kings and AZ St. game it's a break even day, if I win either or both it's all profit!! Hopefully get AZ St. because something tells me I'm going to lose again against the Hawks.
                                        Comment
                                        • lovetobet
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-06-08
                                          • 1294

                                          #21
                                          GT +3 - L
                                          Oregon -14- W
                                          Arizona St. -16 - L


                                          LA Kings +132 - L

                                          College Bowl Games:
                                          Daily Record: 1-2 -.15 Units

                                          Overall Record: 5-3
                                          +3.75 Units

                                          NHL
                                          Daily Record: 0-1 -1.0 Units

                                          Overall Record: 5-11
                                          -3.83 Units
                                          Comment
                                          • lovetobet
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-06-08
                                            • 1294

                                            #22
                                            Boston College +7.5
                                            Comment
                                            • lovetobet
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-06-08
                                              • 1294

                                              #23
                                              ucla -7
                                              Comment
                                              • lovetobet
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-06-08
                                                • 1294

                                                #24
                                                Mississippi St. -7
                                                Comment
                                                • lovetobet
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-06-08
                                                  • 1294

                                                  #25
                                                  3 Hockey plays tonight, time to bring some of this college bowl game winning to my NHL picks:

                                                  San Jose +105
                                                  Columbus +140
                                                  Edmonton +168
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Noleafclover
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-06-13
                                                    • 1349

                                                    #26
                                                    D'you happen to know where officials are announced for hockey? Read somewhere that it was released 30min before game, but can't find where on nhl.com (checked game preview) or NHLOA.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • lovetobet
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-06-08
                                                      • 1294

                                                      #27
                                                      Duke +14
                                                      Comment
                                                      • lovetobet
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-06-08
                                                        • 1294

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Noleafclover
                                                        D'you happen to know where officials are announced for hockey? Read somewhere that it was released 30min before game, but can't find where on nhl.com (checked game preview) or NHLOA.
                                                        I don't. Had a site a few years ago but it's gone, so not sure. Since I usually don't play O/U's in hockey it's not something I look at when capping my games.

                                                        I would just create a thread in the hockey section asking that question, I'm sure someone on here will provide the answer.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • lovetobet
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-06-08
                                                          • 1294

                                                          #29
                                                          Nebraska +10
                                                          North Texas -6
                                                          Comment
                                                          • lovetobet
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-06-08
                                                            • 1294

                                                            #30
                                                            I couldn't cap a hockey game to save my life right now and I'm catching every bad break in the book. Had Edmonton in the bag to save my night in NHL at +168 and they give up the tying goal with a minute left. Then they get a 4 on 3 in OT, can't score, look like they are going to make it to a shoot out and their keeper was playing well and they get scored on with 7 seconds left in OT. BRUTAL!!

                                                            Boston College +7.5
                                                            - L
                                                            UCLA -7 - W

                                                            Mississippi St. -7- W
                                                            Duke +14- W

                                                            San Jose +105- L
                                                            Columbus +140- L
                                                            Edmonton +168
                                                            - L

                                                            College Bowl Games:
                                                            Daily Record: 3-1 +1.95 Units

                                                            Overall Record: 8-4
                                                            +5.70 Units

                                                            NHL
                                                            Daily Record: 0-3 -3.0 Units

                                                            Overall Record: 5-14
                                                            -6.83 Units
                                                            Comment
                                                            • lovetobet
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-06-08
                                                              • 1294

                                                              #31
                                                              Wisconsin -2 1/2 Unit
                                                              Iowa +7.5 1/2 Unit
                                                              Comment
                                                              • lovetobet
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-06-08
                                                                • 1294

                                                                #32
                                                                Stanford -6.5
                                                                Comment
                                                                • lovetobet
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-06-08
                                                                  • 1294

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Getting this in to late for others to follow but for record keeping purposes on:

                                                                  Baylor -16.5
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • lovetobet
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-06-08
                                                                    • 1294

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Columbus +140
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • lovetobet
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-06-08
                                                                      • 1294

                                                                      #35
                                                                      To be fully transparent - I didn't have a chance to update my record from yesterday (all football) so I'm updating my football plays from yesterday (no football plays today) and my hockey play from today.

                                                                      Nebraska +10 - W
                                                                      North Texas -6 - W

                                                                      Wisconsin -2 1/2 Unit - L
                                                                      Iowa +7.5 1/2 Unit - W

                                                                      Stanford -6.5 - L
                                                                      Baylor -16.5 - L

                                                                      Finally got off the schnide with a winning hockey play!!!
                                                                      Columbus +140 - W

                                                                      College Bowl Games:
                                                                      Daily Record: 3-3-.13 Units

                                                                      Overall Record: 11-7
                                                                      +5.57 Units

                                                                      NHL
                                                                      Daily Record: 1-0 +1.40 Units

                                                                      Overall Record: 6-14
                                                                      -5.43 Units
                                                                      Comment
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