NHL Series Plays

k13 · 05-04-13, 01:53 PM

Kings winning 4 in a row should pay more than +800,

Why so high on them anyway? Lucky run was last year.

Deol · 05-04-13, 02:14 PM

Originally posted by k13

Kings winning 4 in a row should pay more than +800,

Why so high on them anyway? Lucky run was last year.

+800 is about right, isn't it? Assuming they win today (1.64) odds should be roughly the same for game 4. Would be slight dogs in game 5 (2.10) and if they won 3 straight odds would be a bit lower, around 1.6 for game 6 at home:
Roughly: 1.64 x 1.64 x 2.10 x 1.60 = +803

I just can't see them losing either game at home. LA's pretty deadly at home, only lost 4 or 5 all year. It's more of a value bet, I think most likely it'll be 2-2 so the best value is now. Defending champs, they won't go down easy. And lucky run? They were up 3-0 in almost every series last year.

Deol · 05-06-13, 09:34 AM

Adding: LA (1-2), MTL, (1-2), BOS (1-1), ANA (2-1): $25 pays $400

riffraff24 · 05-06-13, 09:36 AM

Originally posted by k13

Kings winning 4 in a row should pay more than +800,

Why so high on them anyway? Lucky run was last year.

Lucky? They were on fire. I call that hot not lucky.

k13 · 05-06-13, 11:08 AM

Originally posted by riffraff24

Lucky? They were on fire. I call that hot not lucky.

Its called lucky.

Like winning bunch of coin flips in poker. You could say Jamie Gold was on fire too....

As always the following year, variance catches up......

Deol · 05-06-13, 04:46 PM

Originally posted by k13

Its called lucky.

Like winning bunch of coin flips in poker. You could say Jamie Gold was on fire too....

As always the following year, variance catches up......

Clearly you either don't know enough about hockey or didn't watch any of the Kings games last year. They were the better team in almost every game last year, but yah that's luck. Get a grip. Luck isn't the reason they won 16 games in the playoffs.

Deol · 05-06-13, 11:52 PM

Originally posted by Deol

LA to win series 4-2 +800 ($50)
LA to win series 4-3 +500 ($50)

LA Kings showing why they're the defending champs. Coming back from being down 2-0 and 3-2 (in the 3rd) with the series essentially on the line, against a team like STL with Hitchcock as their coach in the playoffs = Extremely impressive and definitely not luck k13. If STL around -120 or better for series I will probably hedge $100 to basically be free rolling with Kings.

Deol · 05-08-13, 11:23 PM

KINGS!!!!

I really should hedge but I think LA takes it at home.

Vegas39 · 05-08-13, 11:26 PM

Damn this series gonna kill me

Deol · 05-09-13, 07:40 PM

Expected a lot more from MTL even with the injuries. Cost me $165!! But poised to make some nice coin with the KINGS an the CHI/PIT/BOS bets.

Deol · 05-11-13, 09:31 AM

Originally posted by Deol

I really like the value for LA to win the series here. It's a must win tonight. Using bet365:

LA to win series 4-2 +800 ($50)
LA to win series 4-3 +500 ($50)

Like a f**kin boss!!!! $50 returns $450

Hope someone tailed!!

Deol · 05-12-13, 12:36 AM

Originally posted by Deol

3 Series Parlay: CHI, PIT, BOS +125 ($200)

8 Combination Series Plays ($8 x 8 combos = $64)
CHI, BOS, PIT to win either 4-1 or 4-2 (Pays between $600 to $900)

The odds of this: (CHI 4-1, PIT 4-2, and BOS 4-2 series finals) were 90.25 to 1, so $8 wins me $722. If BOS wins tomorrow I will win both bets quoted here totalling ($1172 win - ($200 + $64) risked = $908. Basically just over $900 if BOS wins. I really should hedge but this has been such a good year (SF-BAL superbowl) I think I should let it ride. Partial hedge? Anyone have an opinion on this?

Deol · 05-12-13, 10:07 PM

Rattling to say the least... Almost want TOR to win even if it costs me the big bet.

Deol · 05-13-13, 09:24 PM

Total Risked: -$549.00
Total Returned: +$700.00
Net: +$151.00
Boston not winning game 6 was the biggest difference maker ($722 swing)

Deol · 05-14-13, 08:36 PM

Round 2 Play:
I won my biggest bet in Round 1 so hopefully it continues here, only play for Round 2 for now:
Series Play (2 combinations): BOS, CHI, (SJ-LA Ends in 6 or 7)
Pays : 7.2 to 1 Total Risk: $300 Possible Return: $1080

Deol · 05-20-13, 11:49 AM

I think SJ-LA is going 7 so I like the value on this play ($80):
2 play Combo ($40 each): SJ to win 4-3 (series), CHI to win (4-2 or 4-3), BOS to win
Pays: 26 - 27.8 to 1, $80 wins $1040 or $1110
SJ to win 4-3 is 6.00 to 1 BOS to win is 1.23 CHI to win 4-2 (3.50) or 4-3 (3.75)

Deol · 05-21-13, 08:14 PM

Live Bet (2nd Int, BOS 0-1), BOS ML 4.90 to 1 ($50) BOS in regulation: 13.00 to 1 ($20)

Deol · 05-21-13, 09:12 PM

Originally posted by Deol

Live Bet (2nd Int, BOS 0-1), BOS ML 4.90 to 1 ($50) BOS in regulation: 13.00 to 1 ($20)

FKN RITES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Vegas39 · 05-21-13, 09:13 PM

Well done deol

Deol · 05-23-13, 06:55 PM

Hit the sikk live bet on BOS last game so adding to my original thoughts. I can't see CHI losing this game and like the value on SJ winning the series.
2 game parlay: SJ (2.40) ML & CHI ML (1.71) = 4.10 to 1 ($40 returns $164)
2 series parlay: SJ (2.20) & CHI (1.95) = 4.30 to 1 ($60 returns $258)

Deol · 05-28-13, 09:46 PM

Think SJ gets a few PPs in the 3rd and they bury one and hopefully tie it late. So taking them live (0-2 2nd Int) at 15.50 to 1 for $25. Bet365

Deol · 05-29-13, 10:07 PM

Round 2 Results:
1) Series Play (2 combinations): BOS, CHI, (SJ-LA Ends in 6 or 7)
Pays : 7.2 to 1 Total Risk: $300 Return: $1080
Net: + $780

2) SJ to win 4-3 is 6.00 to 1 BOS to win is 1.23 CHI to win 4-2 (3.50) or 4-3 (3.75)
Pays: 26 - 27.8 to 1, $80 wins $1040 or $1110
Net: - $80 (FKN SAN JOSE)

3) Live Bet (2nd Int, BOS 0-1), BOS ML 4.90 to 1 ($50) BOS in regulation: 13.00 to 1 ($20)
Pays: $245 and $260 respectively: Total Risk: $70 Returns: $505
Net: +435

4) 2 game parlay: SJ (2.40) ML & CHI ML (1.71) = 4.10 to 1 ($40 returns $164)
2 series parlay: SJ (2.20) & CHI (1.95) = 4.30 to 1 ($60 returns $258)
So taking them live (0-2 2nd Int) at 15.50 to 1 for $25
Net: -$125

RECAP:
Round 1: +151
Round 2: +1,010

Total: +1,161

Deol · 05-30-13, 07:42 PM

Originally posted by Deol

RECAP:
Round 1: +151
Round 2: +1,010

Total: +1,161

If BOS beat TOR in game 6 instead of game 7, profit for round 1 would be $722 higher
If SJ beat LA in game 7, profit for round 2 would be $1030 higher

Rattling to be that close, but up a significant amount regardless .... anyways on to round 3.

Round 3 Plays:

1) Series Play: CHI (1.71) & PIT (1.47) = 2.513
Total Risk: $600 Possible Return: $1508

2) Series Correct Score 4 Combination Play ($100 EACH):
CHI to win 4-2 or 4-3 & PIT to win 4-1 or 4-2
Total Risk: $400 Possible Return: $2250 - $2750
Bet365:
CHI 4-2 @ 5.50 to 1 CHI 4-3 @ 5.00 to 1
PIT 4-1 @ 4.50 to 1 PIT 4-2 @ 5.00 to 1

Deol · 06-02-13, 10:36 AM

3) PIT to win 4-3 (4.10) and CHI to win 4-2 (4.00) / CHI to win 4-3 (5.00) $50 each (total $100) to win $820 - $1000