2013 NHL Hockey Season Picks

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  • Mens et Manus
    SBR High Roller
    • 01-16-13
    • 128

    #1
    2013 NHL Hockey Season Picks
    Hello everyone. I am new to the community and decided to sign up and share my sports betting knowledge and picks with you. I am also here to learn so I would love to hear any outside analysis on any games. I live in Canada, however do work abroad. All my picks will be posted with lines I get from pinnacle.

    We all have our own betting methods, and amounts. For the most part, I flat bet, but do vary my bet size depending on my own calculated edge on the game. For the purpose of tracking in this thread, I will be flat betting 1 unit on each game, no matter the odds. I rarely bet big dogs, or big favourites so it won't be much of an issue. My overall goal is simply to find long term value and soft lines of course.

    If anybody wishes to have a constructive discussion with regards to any games in question I am definitely open to it. Please feel free to PM me any time. Thank you and good luck to everyone.

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Record: 0W, 0L, Units: 0

    Saturday January 19th, 2013 NHL Picks:

    NYR@BOS - Going with NYR ML @ +132
    TOR@MTL - Going with TOR ML @ +128
    CAR@FLA - Going with CAR ML @ +100

    There is a lot of value on the Rangers here. I am not sold on Rask and his small sample size. A lot of public money on Boston. NYR also added Rick Nash who will make NYR a much more offensive threat.

    TOR does have some questions in goal tending, but Ben Scrivens has been playing in the AHL and is in great form. Price has a lingering groin injury and will also be rusty. MTL will also be without their best D-man PK (open to debate). As a value standpoint, TOR is an excellent pick.

    Finally, CAR@FLA, Carolina made some massive improvements, bringing in Jordan Staal and Alex Semin. Both bring an excellent offensive skillset. Jordan is an excellent defensive forward. This coupled with a solid goalie and an over rated Florida team makes Carolina a solid 3rd pick.

    GL tonight
  • lordlord2323
    SBR MVP
    • 01-09-11
    • 1051

    #2
    I like It I will fallow You

    GL
    Comment
    • Mens et Manus
      SBR High Roller
      • 01-16-13
      • 128

      #3
      Well that not start I would have hoped for. Disappointed in NYR and Carolina. Especially Carolina.

      1/3,
      3 units played
      1 unit @ +128 won
      Overall: -0.62 Units

      Remember, it's always a marathon with sports betting, not a sprint. I am confident over a large sample size I can offer you guys some solid picks.

      See you tomorrow.
      Comment
      • Mens et Manus
        SBR High Roller
        • 01-16-13
        • 128

        #4
        Sunday January 20th Picks:

        Calgary Flames ML @ +100
        EDM @ VAN - Over 5.5 @ +102
        Comment
        • Mens et Manus
          SBR High Roller
          • 01-16-13
          • 128

          #5
          Adding CHI@PHX - CHI ML @ -105
          Comment
          • Mens et Manus
            SBR High Roller
            • 01-16-13
            • 128

            #6
            The Calgary Flames are a very underrated team. In the off season, they added a lot of offensive talent, including their new head coach. Watch for a revived Calgary team that will play to their strengths. SJ is definitely over rated here as a road favourite Not the price is now +110 so a lot of public money coming in.

            Vancouver is missing Kesler, pretty much their top player, but they do have offensive still. With their goal tending shaky by BOTH goalies in their first game, more pressure will be on LU today to perform. EDM is just full of offensive talent, as well, their defence is horrible. Vancouver also played last night, so their defence in this game will suffer. Expect an OVER in this game despite the line.

            Finally, CHI, a very dangerous team, travels to PHX, however, PHX also played last night and had to travel back home. Both will be fatigued. CHI however just has too much fire-power. PHX also lost their leading scorer from last season. CHI at -105 is a great price in this spot.

            Good luck
            Comment
            • bhattman
              SBR Sharp
              • 01-06-12
              • 480

              #7
              Emery starting for Chicago. don't mind your flames ML play but wild ML look like a much more reliable option
              Comment
              • Mens et Manus
                SBR High Roller
                • 01-16-13
                • 128

                #8
                Emery is solid. He may be a backup but PHX doesn't have the offensive threat to compromise Emery. GL if you are on MIN. I do not like that price but they should pull it out. Long trip for DAL.
                Comment
                • Mens et Manus
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 01-16-13
                  • 128

                  #9
                  1-2 on the night. Will calculate record after 20 games.

                  Tonight going with

                  BUF@TOR - Over 5.5 @ +110,
                  FLA@OTT Over 5.5 @ +108,

                  GL
                  Comment
                  • Mens et Manus
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 01-16-13
                    • 128

                    #10
                    0-2, on Jan 21st...

                    Jan 22 NHL:
                    PHI@NJ Over 5.5@+116,
                    MIN ML@-120,
                    CHI ML@-115,
                    SJ@EDM Over 5.5@+115,

                    4 plays, GL
                    Comment
                    • Mens et Manus
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 01-16-13
                      • 128

                      #11
                      2-2 last night, once again will update record after 20 games,...

                      Wed Jan 23rd Picks (all odds from Pinnacle as of 4:30 EST):
                      PIT Puckline @ +135
                      PHX Puckline @ +183
                      CAL@VAN OVER 5.5 @ +115
                      BOS@NYR - BET TIE @ +288

                      1 unit each, GL
                      Comment
                      • Mens et Manus
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 01-16-13
                        • 128

                        #12
                        Did well last night 2-2 but obviously up big on units with correct TIE and puck line. Updating record and will post picks within 30 min...
                        Comment
                        • Mens et Manus
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 01-16-13
                          • 128

                          #13
                          I said, each bet is 1 unit, we will use an amount of $100 per flat bet for tracking purposes. Every game, no matter the odds, flat bet 1 unit. We all have our "systems" and strategies, but for me personally I have found flat betting best.

                          I do not like to reduce the amount bet on games with higher odds. Simply being, I have taking away value from myself. I trust my handicapping skills and if I see a great +EV bet, I make it. Try to use different betting methods yourself and see what works best for you, good luck.

                          Results thus far:

                          Saturday January 19th, NHL Picks:
                          NYR@BOS - Going with NYR ML @ +132 – LOSE $100
                          TOR@MTL - Going with TOR ML @ +128 – WIN $228
                          CAR@FLA - Going with CAR ML @ +100 – LOSE $100


                          Sunday January 20th Picks:
                          Calgary Flames ML @ +100 – LOSE $100
                          EDM @ VAN - Over 5.5 @ +102 – LOSE $100
                          CHI@PHX - CHI ML @ -105 – WIN $195


                          Monday Jan 21st NHL Picks:
                          BUF@TOR - Over 5.5 @ +110, - LOSE $100
                          FLA@OTT Over 5.5 @ +108, - LOSE $100


                          Tuesday January 22nd NHL Picks::
                          PHI@NJ Over 5.5@+116, - LOSE $100
                          MIN ML@-120, - LOSE $100
                          CHI ML@-115, - WIN $185
                          SJ@EDM Over 5.5@+115 – WIN $215


                          Wednesday January 23rd NHL Picks:
                          PIT Puckline @ +135 – LOSE $100
                          PHX Puckline @ +183 – WIN $283
                          CAL@VAN OVER 5.5 @ +115 – LOSE $100
                          BOS@NYR - BET TIE @ +288 – WIN $388

                          Total Games Bet: 16, 16 games x $100 = $1600 total money bet on games
                          Total Wins: 228 + 195 + 185 + 215 + 283 + 388 = $1494

                          $1600 total bet - $1494 winnings = -$106, -1.06 Units
                          Comment
                          • Mens et Manus
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 01-16-13
                            • 128

                            #14
                            Thurs Jan 24th Picks:


                            TOR ML@-105
                            PHI ML@+101
                            BUF ML@+120
                            COL PUCK LINE@+185
                            EDM ML@+121
                            SJ PUCKLINE @+165

                            Goodluck everyone
                            Comment
                            • Mens et Manus
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 01-16-13
                              • 128

                              #15
                              TOR ML@-105 - LOSE $100
                              PHI ML@+101 - WIN $201
                              BUF ML@+120 - LOSE $100
                              COL PUCK LINE@+185 - WIN $285
                              EDM ML@+121 - WIN $221
                              SJ PUCKLINE @+165 - WIN $265

                              Total bets: 6, Total cost = $600,
                              201 + 285 + 221 + 265 = $972, 972 - 600 = +372, $372 profit, +3.72 Units


                              Comment
                              • snakedrew
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 01-24-13
                                • 157

                                #16
                                good night for ya
                                Comment
                                • Mens et Manus
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 01-16-13
                                  • 128

                                  #17
                                  OVERALL, 22 bets, 10W, 12L, however up 2.68 Units, +$268.

                                  As I mentioned earlier in the thread, all bets are flat bets no matter the odds, 1 unit each. For the purpose of tracking, 1 Unit = $100.

                                  Now that teams are settled in and most players are getting their legs back I hope to continue the same success as the past few days.

                                  Will post tomorrows picks within an hour.
                                  Comment
                                  • Mens et Manus
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 01-16-13
                                    • 128

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by snakedrew
                                    good night for ya
                                    Thank you! Yeah the first week was all over the place!
                                    Comment
                                    • Mens et Manus
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 01-16-13
                                      • 128

                                      #19
                                      FRI JAN 25 NHL Picks:

                                      BOS PL@+143,
                                      OTT@TB OVER 5.5@-127,
                                      MIN ML@+109,
                                      PIT@WPG OVER 5.5@-127,
                                      PIT PL@+214,
                                      VAN ML@+106

                                      Goodluck everyone, 1 unit each
                                      Comment
                                      • Mens et Manus
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 01-16-13
                                        • 128

                                        #20
                                        BOS PL@+143 - WIN $243

                                        OTT@TB OVER 5.5@-127, - WIN $173

                                        MIN ML@+109 - LOSE $100


                                        PIT@WPG OVER 5.5@-127, - WIN $173


                                        PIT PL@+214, - LOSE $100


                                        VAN ML@+106 - WIN $206

                                        Overall 4W, 2L

                                        243 + 173 + 173 + 206 = 795 - 600 = +195, +$195, +1.95 Units


                                        Comment
                                        • Mens et Manus
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 01-16-13
                                          • 128

                                          #21
                                          OVERALL, 28 bets, 14W, 14L, up 4.63 Units, +$463.
                                          Comment
                                          • Mens et Manus
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 01-16-13
                                            • 128

                                            #22
                                            SAT JAN 26 NHL PICKS:

                                            PHI ML@-107,
                                            PHI PL@+270,
                                            LAK PL@+220,
                                            EDM@CAL OVER 5.5@+100,
                                            CHI PL@+181

                                            5 picks, 1 unit each, GL
                                            Comment
                                            • Mens et Manus
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 01-16-13
                                              • 128

                                              #23
                                              Killed it tonight, will update when I am sober
                                              Comment
                                              • Mens et Manus
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 01-16-13
                                                • 128

                                                #24
                                                Sun Jan 27th Picks:

                                                BUF ML@+104
                                                NJ ML@-110
                                                TB PL@+236
                                                MIN ML@+138
                                                DET ML@+124
                                                VAN ML@+111

                                                6 Picks, 1 unit each as always, gl
                                                Comment
                                                • snakedrew
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 01-24-13
                                                  • 157

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Mens et Manus
                                                  Sun Jan 27th Picks:

                                                  BUF ML@+104
                                                  NJ ML@-110

                                                  TB PL@+236
                                                  MIN ML@+138
                                                  DET ML@+124
                                                  VAN ML@+111

                                                  6 Picks, 1 unit each as always, gl
                                                  On sabres as well with Pens/Devils ML parlay. Hopefully you have another great night
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Mens et Manus
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 01-16-13
                                                    • 128

                                                    #26
                                                    Sat Results: 4W, 1L

                                                    PHI ML@-107, - WIN 193
                                                    PHI PL@+270, - WIN 370
                                                    LAK PL@+220, - WIN 320
                                                    EDM@CAL OVER 5.5@+100, WIN 200
                                                    CHI PL@+181 - LOSE 100

                                                    193+370+320+200+100 - 500 (5 bets) = +683, 6.83 units, $683 profit

                                                    OVERALL, 28 bets, 18W, 15L, up 11.46 Units profit, +$1146.
                                                    Comment
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