IIHF World Junior Championship

HockeySB · 12-21-12, 07:17 PM

Ho well... A win in overtime for USA for my last post... It's incredible the number of penalties the ref gave.

For tomorrow morning, I have these to picks:

USA U20 win against Finland U20 in regulation

I don't see against Finland a draw... Subban was not so good against Finland last time. ( I have the pick at +100)... for me it's a higher chance then 50/50 that they win in regulation time.

Canada U20 win against Sweden U20 in regulation

Binnington in goal will want to be the starting goalie instead of Subban. Even if the game doesn't count... I believe the team will want to win a game in regular time in order to be more confident coming in the tournament.

Let me know what you think.

mnwild11 · 12-24-12, 10:55 PM

what a great set of games, really nice to get some puck in eh hockeySB

HockeySB · 12-25-12, 11:31 AM

Yeah a lot of good games!

I am leaning for a 3 units bet on:

Germany +5.5 against Canada

I watch the games and Canada had a very hard time completing plays. N-H is able to make good passes but is teammates are not able to control the passes. Drouin will also probably be out. Even if the Germany goalie is not that good, Canada is not able to take quality shots.

What do you think, I am already down 3 units on IIHF with a record of (0-3)... so you may want to fade my play here

I will also probably put 1 unit for each of these plays

Russia -3.5 against Slovakia

Sweden -2.5 against Czech R.

hels · 12-25-12, 12:38 PM

Nice bets.

Canada seemed quite unorganized in their 2 pre-tourney games.

They are always a good fade as they are over valued as it is.

DennisGreen · 12-25-12, 01:10 PM

Agree with Germany play. Canada did not look good in the pre-lim games. I'm leaning under 7.5 in that game as well

Germany for sure will be in a defensive shell most of the game and trying to keep it close and then get lucky late.

HockeySB · 12-25-12, 01:46 PM

Totally agree with the under 7.5. It also offer more than +100 at many books. I expect the game to be a 4-2, 4-1 game in favor of Canada. I will put in a 1.5 unit on this one. Not more just in case every thing unlocks for Canada... because if it does... it could go over a 7.5.

So my plays are:

Germany +5.5 - 3 units
Germany/Canada under 7.5 - 1.5 units
Russia -3.5 - 1 unit
Sweden -2.5 - 1.5 units

hels · 12-25-12, 02:11 PM

Originally posted by HockeySB

Totally agree with the under 7.5. It also offer more than +100 at many books. I expect the game to be a 4-2, 4-1 game in favor of Canada. I will put in a 1.5 unit on this one. Not more just in case every thing unlocks for Canada... because if it does... it could go over a 7.5.

So my plays are:

Germany +5.5 - 3 units
Germany/Canada under 7.5 - 1.5 units
Russia -3.5 - 1 unit
Sweden -2.5 - 1.5 units

I guess the books are expecting Canada to go on scoring runs. I don't see it happening after their pre tourney games.

bruins35 · 12-25-12, 11:17 PM

canada always blows there load the first game against the weaker teams then strugles against the better teams.I think canada blows germany out like 8-0

bruins35 · 12-25-12, 11:18 PM

sweden -2.5 is dangerous aswell

Redman3693 · 12-26-12, 02:06 AM

I find these spreads a little too tight for my liking on day 1 but will give a shot. Also in for a multi tonight.

Selections

1	Finland U20 +0.0	Latvia U20 vs Finland U20 (Handicap Betting)	12/26/2012	None	-2500	To Run
2	Canada U20 +0.0	Germany U20 vs Canada U20 (Handicap Betting)	12/26/2012	None	-5000	To Run
3	Sweden U20 +0.0	Czech Rep U20 vs Sweden U20 (Handicap Betting)	12/26/2012	None	-357	To Run
4	Russia U20 +0.0	Slovakia U20 vs Russia U20 (Handicap Betting)	12/26/2012	None	-1250	To Run

Parlays
4 Play Parlays	1	200.00	200.00	293.30

Total Risk: 200.00

I am also leaning Canada over 7.5 -168 with Subban starting today - think they finally start clicking.
I see value in Fin / Lat under 7.5 +100.
I like Czh / Swe under 6.5 -105
Leaning Rus / Slo over 7.5 +100

Merry Christmas & Enjoy the Games!