Ml vs Spread Opinions Thread

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  • Bigbill365
    SBR MVP
    • 06-22-12
    • 4572

    #1
    Ml vs Spread Opinions Thread
    So what would be a better aproach to increasing your chance of winning.
    Betting the spreads at -110 or playing straight ML obviously youll increase your chance of winning on the Ml but wont get as big profit as if you played the spread (assuming your betting the fav.)I feel most gamblers lose on the spread %55-%60 so would it be a better stratagy to bet Ml with the same unit size and sacrifice profit whats your opinion?
  • mathdotcom
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-24-08
    • 11689

    #2
    You are wildly confused between probability of winning and expected profit

    Taking Federer at -1500 has a high probability of winning but probably very low expected profit
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