If you could bet without vig

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  • gamecock0118
    SBR Rookie
    • 10-26-10
    • 9
    #1
    If you could bet without vig
    I am in a group where we all can bet ATS or Totals (NFL, and NCAAF only) without juice. Of course we are all responsible for our share of the house at the end of the season, but nevertheless it makes for a situation with many +EV plays.

    My original thought was to predict early line movements to create some hedging opportunities with zero risk. Also just the general thought of making a lot more bets than usual (provided you are confident they are still +EV).

    I am really interested to hear some thoughts/opinions on the best way to go about this.
    Tags: None
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963
      #2
      This is a case where it might actually be worthwhile to wait until close to game time and bet all lines with a market price tag of -120 or higher (usually around the 3) and bet them heavily at +100.
        Comment
        • jolmscheid
          Restricted User
          • 02-20-10
          • 3256
          #3
          Good point LT...it would definitely be a good idea to see which side the big boys are leaning and bet that way if you can get +100 odds..
            Comment
            • illfuuptn
              SBR MVP
              • 03-17-10
              • 1860
              #4
              Follow RLM and bet those games.
                Comment
                • That Foreign Guy
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 07-18-10
                  • 432
                  #5
                  no vig doesn't = +100 unless people are stupid.
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963
                      #6
                      Originally posted by That Foreign Guy
                      no vig doesn't = +100 unless people are stupid.
                      Guess we need clarification from OP, could also be his guy keeps games at +100 by moving, say, +3 -125 to +2.5, thus blowing up what I said.
                        Comment
                        • gamecock0118
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 10-26-10
                          • 9
                          #7
                          Originally posted by LT Profits

                          Guess we need clarification from OP, could also be his guy keeps games at +100 by moving, say, +3 -125 to +2.5, thus blowing up what I said.
                          To clarify. I can bet any game using the lines from SBGGLOBAL.com at +100. For example, I took Dallas -3 tonight. I get it for +100, even though it is currently listed at -125
                            Comment
                            • LT Profits
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-27-06
                              • 90963
                              #8
                              Originally posted by gamecock0118
                              To clarify. I can bet any game using the lines from SBGGLOBAL.com at +100. For example, I took Dallas -3 tonight. I get it for +100, even though it is currently listed at -125
                              So what I said stands then.
                                Comment
                                • jolmscheid
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 02-20-10
                                  • 3256
                                  #9
                                  Originally posted by gamecock0118

                                  To clarify. I can bet any game using the lines from SBGGLOBAL.com at +100. For example, I took Dallas -3 tonight. I get it for +100, even though it is currently listed at -125
                                  Wow...money printing machine then
                                    Comment
                                    • LT Profits
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-27-06
                                      • 90963
                                      #10
                                      One of the rare times when you want to work with mature efficient NFL lines.
                                        Comment
                                        • u21c3f6
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 01-17-09
                                          • 790
                                          #11
                                          Originally posted by gamecock0118
                                          To clarify. I can bet any game using the lines from SBGGLOBAL.com at +100. For example, I took Dallas -3 tonight. I get it for +100, even though it is currently listed at -125


                                          How do I sign up?

                                          Joe.

                                          PS. I would of course hedge, but that is the way I play.
                                            Comment
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