screwing our edge?

[mikeanite]

what's the likelyhood the books see thousands of square pound them cuz the square learn something new and they take away that edge? are they going to adapt to the new enviroment or else they'll loss money?

[mikeybets]

doubtful

[Ruifgalmeida]

books dont lose money , if a square starts to win(big time) they will react with limits or showing them the door.
this all assuming that we as a edge over the book.

[Dark Horse]

For some time now I've seen the signs of this whole thing starting to dry up. If the trend continues we will end up with only sharps playing against sharps, all having to work much harder for a diminishing edge. The squares are the first to leave, but when the sharps start to walk away the books are in real trouble. The difference is like playing chess against a kid who's hardly ever played, or against a guy who sees five moves deep. If you have money these days it's much easier to make a profit in real estate. Unless the climate changes, or you're willing to put in the research into something that is twenty years ahead of its time, you're going to be swallowed up by the growing Excel crowd (even if you're part of it). Just a matter of time. After profiting handsomely from 20 pt overlays for NBA totals in the past, I stopped looking for them. Gone. Someone like RAS is no longer offering his WNBA service, after great success in the past. Edge gone. The trend is clear.

[hockeyhy]

obviously books don't lose money, thats'w hy i find it hilarious that people worry abaout payment.

[Dark Horse]

Plenty of books lose money. But the high rated books most likely won't.

[Wrecktangle]

Between the Hezbollah wing of the Repub party and the Global-warming Stalinists of the Demos, your gamblin' days are looking done Amerika...

Go east young man.

[mikeanite]

i'll say go north where the polar bear lives at least they'll let you gamble.

[goblue12]

what's the likelyhood the books see thousands of square pound them cuz the square learn something new and they take away that edge? are they going to adapt to the new enviroment or else they'll loss money?

Sharps rarely bet square sides (although enough square $$$ will move lines).

[sharpcircle]

How about this.

Arbers/scalpers moving sharp pinny lines and making them less sharp...

[mikeanite]

there won't be any more square money left if things are going the way it is. if everyone is so interested, they should spend some countless hours dipping into the tank.

[suicidekings]

The sports evolve over time. Think about the juiced ball era of McGwire/Sosa/Bonds. And the annual rise and fall of teams' ability to compete. It may well be as DH says and the good days are waning, but with the nature of sports being what they are, the variability will always exist to exploit. The squares aren't going anywhere, and very few ever learn to think outside the box. So even if the Excel crowd does swell in numbers, the talented handicapper will always have a place.

If one sport becomes harder to beat, then it might be necessary to diversify the portfolio.

[That Foreign Guy]

Everything was always better in the past.

[Duff85]

Interesting thread. But that said not everyone has the lack of ego, smarts and fortitude to make money at sports. I believe a sharp could explain their methodology to 10 squares - 2 of those squares will successfully implement the game plan and make money long term. The rest will fail for a variety of reasons, even after being told how to win.