Noobish moneyline question

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  • Spektre
    SBR High Roller
    • 02-28-10
    • 184

    #1
    Noobish moneyline question
    Suppose my model predicts a true moneyline -170 +170. The book has the line set at -175 +160.

    What's the play? The underdog at +160 because of the vig, or is this a no play?

    Thanks
  • bztips
    SBR Sharp
    • 06-03-10
    • 283

    #2
    You need to go back and learn what the odds mean; you're beat on both sides.
    Comment
    • FourLengthsClear
      SBR MVP
      • 12-29-10
      • 3808

      #3
      No edge = no play.
      Comment
      • Zuon
        SBR Hustler
        • 03-06-11
        • 93

        #4
        Originally posted by Spektre
        Suppose my model predicts a true moneyline -170 +170. The book has the line set at -175 +160.

        What's the play? The underdog at +160 because of the vig, or is this a no play?

        Thanks
        you can play it if you have an edge.
        In this case you can't play this match
        Comment
        • Blax0r
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-13-10
          • 688

          #5
          The -175 bet is slightly less -EV than the +160, but this is definitely a no-play.
          Comment
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