College betting model

**wrongturn** · 09-26-11, 04:11 PM

you are expected to report f/u's here, not d/o's.

**Zojo274** · 09-26-11, 09:32 PM

OK did you read first post of thread

**WendysRox** · 10-01-11, 09:39 AM

so, the lsu and tennessee games would qualify this week, no?

**Zojo274** · 10-03-11, 06:50 PM

yes i know LSU did they coverd spread but went under. So far I have only won on UTEP last week see post but seems to be a good way to play to minimize risk

**Zojo274** · 10-11-11, 08:32 PM

indiana v. wis ltr 1.5 fyi

**SmartInvestment** · 10-11-11, 10:05 PM

Zojo I saw that too. Are you betting 1st half lines or full games? Boise looked good too I think

**RickySteve** · 10-12-11, 12:32 PM

Please lord, make it stop.

**Zojo274** · 10-18-11, 08:20 AM

Originally posted by Zojo274

indiana v. wis ltr 1.5 fyi

Dog loss Over win

**Patrick McIrish** · 10-19-11, 04:36 PM

Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker

And why would I read your damn book, Justin? How often do you think chefs read the McDonald's cookbook?

**cyberbabble** · 11-08-11, 04:50 PM

BTC game of the year .......

On 11/8, Western Kentucky @ LSU(-41), total 49.
First half point spread will be about .6*41 = 24.6
First half total line will be about .5*49 = 24.5

**ziptoe** · 11-08-11, 11:57 PM

sorry for being so simple, can anyone give me the formula or a link explaning ltr ? thanks..

**C.S.** · 11-09-11, 12:26 AM

Cliff Notes: Stay away unless you like burning money.
BTC likes to bet Dog and Over as two separate straight bets on the 1st half. when the spread is at least half the total. Like -17 & 30
The reasoning is because most games go either Fav/Over or Dog/Under so when the usual result comes in you're only losing juice. Which leaves the times when it comes in Fav/Under or Dog/Over. Because of a small window of scores that would need to hit to Fav/Un, that Dog/Ov will hit at a higher rate, and what you lose in juice you'll make up when you hit your Dog/Ov because it is the more likely result. I believe BTC had good results (or concluded from past results he would have made money) the past few seasons. I think the system took a bath this year though I could be wrong. It wasn't doing so hot early in the season when this thread was getting bumped.