advice on middle

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  • Med Zeppelin
    SBR Rookie
    • 09-12-10
    • 3

    #1
    advice on middle
    Had $80 in bets today on NFL
    Won $76.32 back so far
    Ravens cover +8 tomorrow night I win an additional $92.27

    Wondering if I should bet Jets tomorrow night and will have a pretty wide range to win both bets and also lock in a profit. If you have any advice or could point me to a formula where I can figure out optimal play it would be greatly appreciated. I would assume Jets -1 and Jets -2 makes a difference.

    Thanks
  • mminkovski
    SBR MVP
    • 06-22-07
    • 1077

    #2
    Why not placing around $50 on Jets -2 and pray for the middle? If not - you would win like $45 each way.
    Comment
    • Poogs
      SBR High Roller
      • 04-05-10
      • 116

      #3
      With such a small bet you should definetly let it ride. Market price for +8 on a +2 line is probably somewhere around -300 (rough guess) and you're getting -110.

      I'm in the boat; I have ravens +8.5 in the last leg of two pretty big teasers, so I might hedge a little bit.
      Comment
      • JustinBieber
        SBR Sharp
        • 05-16-10
        • 324

        #4
        Originally posted by mminkovski
        Why not placing around $50 on Jets -2 and pray for the middle? If not - you would win like $45 each way.
        Because a game lands on 2 around 3% of the time.
        Comment
        • DBurton81
          Restricted User
          • 11-15-09
          • 564

          #5
          Don't middle it man.....no way Ravens lose by more than 8 tonight and will win the game outright tonight!
          Comment
          • sharpcat
            Restricted User
            • 12-19-09
            • 4516

            #6
            Taking the middle here with NYJ ML I see more long term value in the middle.
            Comment
            • Pancho sanza
              SBR Sharp
              • 10-18-07
              • 386

              #7
              What % of your bankroll does the $92.27 Represent?

              If if its less than 10 %, dont bother hedging.
              Comment
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