Breakeven % for correlated teasers

[HedgeHog]

Assuming you could bet them, what is the BE correlation % for teasers (6 point side/total at even money)? Is there a formula to figure this? TY in advance.

[durito]

Is this necessary?

[HedgeHog]

Just looking for general info.

[infamousbacardi]

sounds like a mathematician would be in order

[Justin7]

I took a look at these, and they were very marginal.

Consider this game: OSU - 36 / Over 52.
Teasing to OSU -30 / Over 46.

If the first one hit 35%, maybe the second hits 52%. Maybe a bit more. There could be some value, but there's a ton more in betting it as a straight CP.

[HedgeHog]

Thanks, Justin. Obviously the correlated parlay would be a much better play if available. The example you gave was 69% correlated and yielded a very small edge for the teaser. Breakeven would probably be around 65-67% then.

[RickySteve]

The example you gave was 69% correlated

elohel

[HedgeHog]

elohel

I was just looking for some confirmation about the degree of correlation needed for teasers to be profitable. Obviously it's too simple a task for Durito or you to be bothered with; so rather than helping you scoff at the question. This is part of the reason the Think Tank is a dead zone...brainiac trolls.


PS Thanks again for you input, Justin.

[MadTiger]

brainiac trolls.

I don't 100% agree with that, but, I am giving you a point because it made me laugh.