How Do You Handicap Baseball?

[HeeeHAWWWW]

I look at money line odds. Bet the ML fav of the day. Let the books do the work for you.

[rkelly110]

19 ML fav of the day wins in a row this month? 22-3 so far? Don't hurt your head.

[bozeman]

ask pimike how to do it - if anyone here knew they would leave the forum

[TheMoneyShot]

Almost willing to offer $100 to any of these posters... to post all your plays.... NO LIVE WAGERING.... and show me that you're PLUS at the end of the year...

I guarantee you I'll still have my $100 in my pocket.

[bozeman]

kid aint lying - it is 22-3 - average odd -220/-230

[Waterstpub87]

A 25 sample size is nothing. At one bet a day, call it 180 bets in a year, you would need to do this for like 10 years to have a decent sample size to know for sure.

Rkelly110 is a good dude. I hope he continues to win. But I doubt laying the largest favorite less than -200 each day is the holy grail and will profit long term. I would never tell anyone how to bet their money.

[LT Profits]

Almost willing to offer $100 to any of these posters... to post all your plays.... NO LIVE WAGERING.... and show me that you're PLUS at the end of the year...

I guarantee you I'll still have my $100 in my pocket.

I finished +93 units here in the forum two years ago and in a bad year last season, still managed to finish +5. Entered today -1 unit this season, let's see how the rest of the year goes.

[bozeman]

waterstpub i agree one shouldnt pick games just by odds comparison to other games played that day i think its in the line for resullts to even out eventually by the end of the season - i was just surprised there hasnt been more upsets - i bet houston under 4.5 runs yesterday and houston totally blew the game3-6 - glanced at who was the fav at -180

[rkelly110]

A 25 sample size is nothing. At one bet a day, call it 180 bets in a year, you would need to do this for like 10 years to have a decent sample size to know for sure.

Rkelly110 is a good dude. I hope he continues to win. But I doubt laying the largest favorite less than -200 each day is the holy grail and will profit long term. I would never tell anyone how to bet their money.

Thanks man. I do have 5 years of records. MLB is consistently over 60%

It's not all fun and games. While this month is doing good, last month sucked. 13-16

[bozeman]

rkelly - dont u think 60 percent is a bit too low hit percetntage for the biggest fav of the day?

[bozeman]

Baseball

Money Line

MLB

Game

5/25/2017 16:41

Detroit Tigers
J. Verlander must start.
-vs-
Houston Astros
M. Fiers must start.

Detroit Tigers
@ 2.070 D

Risk: CAD 100.00
Win: CAD 107.00

ID: 729662927

Pending

Baseball: Texas Rangers -vs- Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox Under 2.5 @ 2.180 D
Risk: CAD 100.00
Win: CAD 118.00

Pending

Baseball: San Diego Padres -vs- New York Mets
San Diego Padres Over 4 @ 2.020 D
Risk: CAD 100.00
Win: CAD 102.00

here's what i bet based on battors vs pitchers compatability

[chopperocker]

random # generator, looks like tomorrow i'm on Rotation #904 Pittsburgh Pirates

[oilcountry99]

random # generator, looks like tomorrow i'm on Rotation #904 Pittsburgh Pirates

Awesome!

[HeeeHAWWWW]

19 ML fav of the day wins in a row this month? 22-3 so far? Don't hurt your head.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variance

[tsty]

17092 posts and still has no idea lol

[rkelly110]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variance

17092 posts and still has no idea lol

I put myself out there. Where are your strategies? I'm plus units, have been the last 5 years in MLB.
What do you got? Put up or shut up. Simple.

[grey area]

Like rkelly style

[RangeFinder]

This means there are only bets of -222 or higher triggered?



At -222, a bettor needs to hit about 69% of the bets to break even. If that price is a minimum, you’re breakeven is much higher than the percentages above.

This seems to be a losing proposition, or am I missing something?

Keep an eye on break even points when betting moneylines, win percentages are near meaningless.

Listen to this guy and listen closely. He is one of the very few that knows how to win long term.

[stevenash]

Rule 1 for you to learn how to handicap MLB....Ignore this whole post
You'll be in good shape already

Rule two, fade this jackass, saves you hours of paperwork.
Guy is still buried from 2015 with the Mets.

[SBRMAN23]

Check stats weather lineups then flip a coin

[BennyBigNuts]

Rule two, fade this jackass, saves you hours of paperwork.
Guy is still buried from 2015 with the Mets.

Yeah, that's why I have a group and you're still stuck on here writing essays, giving out losers while saying "I was on the right side though, the stats told me so", and porking that grotesque pig of a wife.
Truth hurts brother.

[Da Manster!]

KVB... been on this site for many years. A lot of posters have come and gone... Not one poster has ever been + money at the end of the season wagering baseball. So why wager it? Clearly isn't beatable.

not true Tim...I finished 21 - 6 last year in my "Nail it, Pound it" plays for MLB...finished (+15 units) on the year...all validated and verified here on SBR...I played only totals and looked for certain numbers and applied my handicapping techniques to see if there was a good probability that wager would hit...i'm gonna start playing bases consistently real soon so be on the lookout for my "nail it, pound it" plays!...

[RisingDough]

Think