Does this middle have any value?

[TMoney33]

Local is offering JAX @ +20, while online I can get SEA @ -18. Is there any value in going fo the middle, or would it be a waste of juice on the loser. Also, If the line on SEA managed to come down to -17 would it then be worth it?

Thanks

[EXhoosier10]

check out % of times a game ends up on 19. Seems like a pretty random number to me

[Poogs]

You get half of 18 and 20 and all of 19. You can do it yourself from there. Dont have the numbers in front of me but I'd say no.

[ManOfValue]

Id saw its not worth it.

[YourAllAmerican]

About a 1.1% chance of winning both sides; a little less than a 6% chance of getting a middle or a side. So not much value at all.

http://cleanuphitter.com/nfl/stats/nfl_common_scores.php

[RonPaul2008]

At -110 on each side it is not worth it. -17/+20 is probably slightly -ev.
-16.5/+20 should be +ev.

[TMoney33]

Thanks for the help guys

[dolyms]

Perhaps, but this is scarey game. feels trappy

[SteveRyan]

Interesting middle.

Jags have not scored a TD this season. Lets assume they manage to put up only 9 points in this matchup which I could easily see happening.

Seattle scores 4 TD's and she hits.

28-9

[Sawyer]

Odds are -110 for both bets? If yes, then no value.

But something like that would be worth of it, Jax +20 @ +100 and Sea -18 @ -102