Where can I find ATS info on the 2012/2013 NFL season?

[ClimbSomeRocks]

I have consistently beaten the NFL the past 3 years and want to create a statistical model to inflate my winnings next year. I believe that if I can compare the opening line, closing line, and actual score in my model that I can hit 60% or more with possibilities to middle during live game betting.

Any help is greatly appreciated!

[brettd]

If you can't derive this yourself, I'm absolutely certain you don't have a model that will hit 60%, live game or not.

covers.com would be a start

[statnerds]

and if you are hitting near 60% why the fukk would you ever sacrifice long term profit with middling attempts, unless those middling opps are +EV in and of themselves.

[ClimbSomeRocks]

unless those middling opps are +EV in and of themselves.

My live betting plays went 13-5 this year and inflated my overall winning percentage. I want to create this model so that I can supplement my game analysis and weed out some of my losing plays while increasing the units on my winning plays.

[Topo]

A few hours of typing will get you that data, but you probably don't want it. There is nothing in that data that will reveal betting value in an efficient market like the NFL. The most likely thing it will show is where the past results deviated from the expected norm. These fluctuations have very little (if any) predictive value.

[Miz]

Sigh

[k13]

http://www.statsprofessor.org/p/stats.html

Some good info here.