NCAAFB RLM plays

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  • detroitigerz
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-19-12
    • 865

    #1
    NCAAFB RLM plays
    Gunna post RLM plays in here and keep track of them throughout the season, see how this all works out.
  • detroitigerz
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-19-12
    • 865

    #2
    Up until today so far (Just going to do ATS and totals)

    Against the spread
    -Movement of at least .5 point or more - (3-1)
    -Static line and movement of at least .5 more more - (8-1)

    Totals
    -Movement of at least .5 or more - (3-1)
    -Static line and movement of at least .5 or more - (4-2)

    So far for the card tomorrow, (going to try and update from right around when game is about to start because some of these plays may become "not," plays according to the line movement up until game time.

    But for right now I am watching

    Utah State +7 (static line right now)
    Utah State under 54 (1.5 point move right now)

    bol all see you tmrw
    Comment
    • detroitigerz
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-19-12
      • 865

      #3
      Yep, the lines still holding true. In past (NCAAB) games with movements of at least .5 pt have done better (well had a better w/l record) than just static games. Two plays tonight in tonight's Utah game.

      Utah State +7 (static)
      Utah State/Utah under 54 (movement of 3.5 points now)

      gl tonight cheers
      Comment
      • AdamL2424
        SBR MVP
        • 08-24-08
        • 1175

        #4
        great thread will be watching closely!
        Comment
        • detroitigerz
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-19-12
          • 865

          #5
          Lot of games to watch today, and I'm guessing there has to be some regression to the mean coming soon but who knows. Seeing as how I think I am going to play these games today it will probably be today haha. I'm headin out for the day so here are the games I'll be putting $ on today or thinking about possibly.

          Against the spread plays
          Penn State +10 (static)
          Maryland +10.5 (1 pt move) (scary thought putting $ on shittiest team in ACC)
          Tulane +25 (1.5 pt move) (will more than likely play this one, even though RLM has performed poorly in the past with spreads this high)
          Air Force +21.5 (.5 pt move) (eek michigan scares me kind of)
          Central Michigan +24 (4 pt move) gunna play this one
          Western Kentucky +40 (2 pt move) staying away from anything with alabama in it
          Oregon State +7.5 (.5 pt move) will play
          Akron +23.5 (static)
          UL Monroe +30.5 (.5 pt move)
          Kent State +7 (.5 pt move)
          Missouri +3.5 (2 pt move) interesting game here, uga scares the shit out of me but apparently big money's on mizzou, probably going to take a small stab at this.
          Houston +3.5 (.5 pt move)
          Arizona +13.5 (3 pt move) going to play this

          Totals
          Ohio State under 50.5 (static)
          Tulsa under 58.5 (1.5 pt move)
          Central Michigan under 48 (static)
          Alabama under 52.5 (static)
          LSU under 53 (1.5 pt move)


          So to sum it up, I'm going to choose from these plays the ones that I like and play them. Probably going to have a big card today but will definitely not be taking ALL of these. (Although probably most)

          bol today fellas!




          UPDATED RECORD

          Against the spread
          -Movement of at least .5 point or more - (3-1)
          -Static line and movement of at least .5 more more - (9-1)

          Totals
          -Movement of at least .5 or more - (4-1)
          -Static line and movement of at least .5 or more - (5-2)
          Comment
          • detroitigerz
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-19-12
            • 865

            #6
            Games I decided to play today:
            Central Michigan +24
            Arizona +13.5
            Air Force +21.5
            Kent State +7
            Oregon State +7.5
            Missouri +3
            Tulsa under 58.5

            Houston +3.5

            Tulane +25

            bol to us all!
            Last edited by detroitigerz; 09-08-12, 08:44 AM. Reason: added tulane
            Comment
            • detroitigerz
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-19-12
              • 865

              #7
              Originally posted by detroitigerz
              Yep, the lines still holding true. In past (NCAAB) games with movements of at least .5 pt have done better (well had a better w/l record) than just static games. Two plays tonight in tonight's Utah game.

              Utah State +7 (static)
              Utah State/Utah under 54 (movement of 3.5 points now)

              gl tonight cheers
              Hoping to keep it going tonight!
              Comment
              • dredmahawkus
                SBR MVP
                • 12-26-09
                • 1803

                #8
                remember .5 point moves off the 3 and 7 are much bigger then 38.5 going to 39
                Comment
                • detroitigerz
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-19-12
                  • 865

                  #9
                  Originally posted by dredmahawkus
                  remember .5 point moves off the 3 and 7 are much bigger then 38.5 going to 39
                  Yeah thats a good point dred, and one I always forget to remember.
                  Comment
                  • detroitigerz
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-19-12
                    • 865

                    #10
                    UPDATED RECORD
                    Against the spread
                    -Movement of at least .5 point or more - (11-7)
                    -Static line and movement of at least .5 more more - (20-7)

                    Totals
                    -Movement of at least .5 or more - (7-1)
                    -Static line and movement of at least .5 or more - (9-2)


                    Pretty good week last week, totals went 3-0 (must have line movement), and 4-0(static and line movement)

                    I should have noted at the beginning of this thread, I use other requirements beyond just line movement. Also I look to make sure there are a fair number of bets made on the game, and that over 63% of the bets are on one side.

                    Going to keep up the thread and hopefully RLM will continue to perform.
                    Comment
                    • BlacK_HazE
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 03-22-12
                      • 363

                      #11
                      Originally posted by detroitigerz
                      UPDATED RECORD
                      Against the spread
                      -Movement of at least .5 point or more - (11-7)
                      -Static line and movement of at least .5 more more - (20-7)

                      Totals
                      -Movement of at least .5 or more - (7-1)
                      -Static line and movement of at least .5 or more - (9-2)


                      Pretty good week last week, totals went 3-0 (must have line movement), and 4-0(static and line movement)

                      I should have noted at the beginning of this thread, I use other requirements beyond just line movement. Also I look to make sure there are a fair number of bets made on the game, and that over 63% of the bets are on one side.

                      Going to keep up the thread and hopefully RLM will continue to perform.
                      Nice start so far! I'll be following, BOL this season
                      Comment
                      • detroitigerz
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-19-12
                        • 865

                        #12
                        Alright got one play tonight here it's looking like I'll try to get on here and say yay or nay before the game starts but if I don't say anything then it is considered a play.

                        USF under 46 (1 pt of line movement, 66% on the over((hence 34% on under)))

                        let's get it!
                        Comment
                        • detroitigerz
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 01-19-12
                          • 865

                          #13
                          USF under hit last night keeping totals lossless.

                          There is a play tonight also, I won't be playing it due to not quite enough action for my liking but it should be noted this play is RLM by my standards.

                          UNLV under 55.5

                          Cheers fellas
                          bol
                          Comment
                          • detroitigerz
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 01-19-12
                            • 865

                            #14
                            Just wanted to come back and say, game is no longer considered a play.
                            Comment
                            • dredmahawkus
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-26-09
                              • 1803

                              #15
                              I have been destroyed in baseball this year....it seems everyday I go like 1 for 6 or worse! I am just going to play tight and only play RLMs now.....although I dont think it did too good last week....I think I took cent mich arizona mizzou and houston and lost them all! lol thats my luck lately! If you play totals tomorrow I will follow.

                              the games tomorrow so far are cal pitt miss and SMU......the SMU line just dropped another half point from 14 to 10.5!
                              Comment
                              • chilidog
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 04-05-09
                                • 10305

                                #16
                                This happens every season. It's like people discover RLM and think they've found the holy grail. Over the years, many RLM threads have come and gone, and this one WILL go the same way. Every sports bettor knows about RLM, it's nothing new, and it does not work. I'm aware you had a good 1st week, but it will turn on you - 100% guaranateed.
                                Comment
                                • gojetsgomoxies
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-04-12
                                  • 4222

                                  #17
                                  love the thread. thank you op.

                                  what's a static line? would have thought no movement, but then it says "static line... and movement"

                                  thanks in advance
                                  Comment
                                  • detroitigerz
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 01-19-12
                                    • 865

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by chilidog
                                    This happens every season. It's like people discover RLM and think they've found the holy grail. Over the years, many RLM threads have come and gone, and this one WILL go the same way. Every sports bettor knows about RLM, it's nothing new, and it does not work. I'm aware you had a good 1st week, but it will turn on you - 100% guaranateed.
                                    Believe it or not I am aware of this, not expecting to hit every game either. Just wanted to track for college football to compare to other sports, I've heard RLM performs better for NCAA football so well see.
                                    Comment
                                    • detroitigerz
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-19-12
                                      • 865

                                      #19
                                      Just got back and haven't made a bet yet today. As of right now the games I think that are RLM that haven't started yet are pretty ugly for this evening so I'm taking small bets.

                                      (against the spread)
                                      Arizona state
                                      Troy
                                      Marshall
                                      Western Kentucky
                                      Mississippi
                                      Utah
                                      SMU

                                      (totals)
                                      Georgia under 53
                                      Lsu under 54.5
                                      Michigan state under 46

                                      As I said before pretty ugly in my opinion but I'm going to play the totals And maybe pick 2 or 3 ats plays. Also Stanford is considered a play as of right now but I've gotta go against that one and I'm taking USC -7.5,

                                      Best of lck tonight fellas
                                      Comment
                                      • detroitigerz
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-19-12
                                        • 865

                                        #20
                                        whew last saturday wasn't all that great, still hitting pretty much right at 66% though in all 4 categories so I'm continuing the tail... have to say some of the losses I put in were in the games against really good teams... i think using rlm to narrow down the search for the right bets is a good place to start and am by no means suggesting playing all the games.

                                        UPDATED RECORD
                                        Against the spread
                                        -Movement of at least .5 point or more - (22-11)
                                        -Static line and movement of at least .5 more more - (32-17)

                                        Totals
                                        -Movement of at least .5 or more - (12-6)
                                        -Static line and movement of at least .5 or more - (17-9)


                                        as of right now no plays for wednesday or thurs
                                        Comment
                                        • detroitigerz
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 01-19-12
                                          • 865

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by BlacK_HazE
                                          Nice start so far! I'll be following, BOL this season
                                          go noles, despite my avatar (alma mater) I am a huge seminoles fan... goin to the clemson game this weekend comin home with scalp
                                          Comment
                                          • hunter8720
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 09-15-09
                                            • 98

                                            #22
                                            any plays for today?
                                            Comment
                                            • EXhoosier10
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-06-09
                                              • 3122

                                              #23
                                              I've been tracking straight RLM with 1.5 to 2 pts movement in the "2012 RLM Thread," but am interested in how plays with "static" lines, as you put it, do.
                                              Comment
                                              • Blazermaniac
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 10-30-08
                                                • 556

                                                #24
                                                RLM plays will even out as the season goes on but if you factor in other variables you will come out on top 60 to 40.
                                                Comment
                                                • detroitigerz
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 01-19-12
                                                  • 865

                                                  #25
                                                  Been busy with work, I'm gunna update the spreadsheet tonight. I know RLM did extremely well for me last weekend and I even used it for nfl parlay last night (Seahawks ats and under). I'll post later.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • detroitigerz
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-19-12
                                                    • 865

                                                    #26
                                                    Updating the spreadsheet as we speak, just wanted to say there are 2 RLM plays tonight....

                                                    Washington +7
                                                    Washington under 49.5

                                                    im not playing either cause washington cant play defense for shit
                                                    Comment
                                                    • biggatone
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 09-05-12
                                                      • 10

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by detroitigerz
                                                      Updating the spreadsheet as we speak, just wanted to say there are 2 RLM plays tonight....

                                                      Washington +7
                                                      Washington under 49.5

                                                      im not playing either cause washington cant play defense for shit
                                                      Winner Winner Chicken dinner...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • detroitigerz
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 01-19-12
                                                        • 865

                                                        #28
                                                        Hawaii under 50.5 is RLM tonight.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • detroitigerz
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 01-19-12
                                                          • 865

                                                          #29
                                                          Shiiiiit hopefully this streak keeps up, I know this stat is probably total bullshit but RLM games through the week haven't lost yet this season, about 8-0... Gunna be busy tomorrow (going to the ucf vs mizzou game) but I will try to post games as I see them.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • detroitigerz
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 01-19-12
                                                            • 865

                                                            #30
                                                            Pretty decent day so far, plays tonight so far as I see them right now are

                                                            Wisconsin +13
                                                            Oklahoma State +3
                                                            San Diego State +8
                                                            Louisville under 49.5

                                                            Bol guys
                                                            Comment
                                                            • detroitigerz
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 01-19-12
                                                              • 865

                                                              #31
                                                              Only play tonight is:

                                                              UCF under 48
                                                              Comment
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