Pitt +4.5 angle and info...

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  • Aaron Stasko
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-06-12
    • 335

    #1
    Pitt +4.5 angle and info...
    First time poster here, however I have followed these threads for over 2 years now. Never really had the time to post my reasoning or plays due to school and work. I am here to talk football, sports, and angles on games. Best of luck on all your plays and a great ncaaf and nfl season.

    Now, on to the pitt/cincy game... Did any of you actually look at the boxscore of the pitt/young game? OR did you just look at the final score and say Pitt is pathetic Cincy will CRUSH them... listen pitt really didn't play that bad of a football game. tino posted 240 yards and a touchdown no ints. Graham also added 70 yards coming off an ACL injury. The thing that hurt them the worst in this game was turnovers! two inside the opponents 25 yard line. They also couldn't get the defense off the field. Youngstown had 5 scoring drives which all were over 70 yards. This not only makes a defense tired but also never let the offense get into a groove. I think Pitt overlooked this d2 game and figured it would be a cake walk. They were preparing for cincy week 2 in a big east rivalry game.

    I believe Pitt will come out and be ready for this PRIME time big east game. They got the first week rust off their chest and they are also returning suspended players which will help on the defensive end... A starting tackle and defensive end that will have to get pressure on cincy if they want a chance to stop cincys spread offense. I also see the offense opening up and spreading the ball around. I'm sure they didn't want to show to much on offense to give the bearcats much to scout. They have one game under their belt and it will surely help them rather than hurt them in this matchup against cincy who is bringing in a new quarterback and new skill position players. Take pitt plus the points and get your popcorn ready.

    • Road Team has won the last three games in the series
    • Pitt is 3-1 at Nibbert Stadium
    • Sunseri is 11-3 ATS in Big East Play
    • DOESN'T HURT THE PUBLIC IS ON CINCY 80%
  • hubie69
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-16-10
    • 7329

    #2
    Welcome to SBR. Good to see people join and have write ups.
    Comment
    • MTek
      SBR MVP
      • 11-18-08
      • 1381

      #3
      Welcome aboard, Good Info
      Comment
      • Iwinyourmoney
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-18-07
        • 18368

        #4
        Comment
        • balls2wall
          SBR MVP
          • 12-20-09
          • 2642

          #5
          welcome and good luck Aaron
          Comment
          • dshaffe4
            SBR High Roller
            • 11-08-11
            • 207

            #6
            Welcome Aaron, jumped on Pitt earlier at +4.5. Thanks for the writeup too!
            Comment
            • Snowball
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 11-15-09
              • 30064

              #7
              i dunno man. +4.5 ain't nothing in a college football game.
              Comment
              • Aaron Stasko
                SBR Sharp
                • 09-06-12
                • 335

                #8
                thanks for all welcomes... I'm still shopping around for more info on the game before i put a wager down. right now my site has +5... i could see it getting up to 6 by gametime with all the public on cincy.
                Comment
                • JohnBlaze
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 08-31-12
                  • 33

                  #9
                  really good info..i can get them +5. might bite!
                  Comment
                  • blowseq
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-06-09
                    • 1440

                    #10
                    Welcome Aaron and thanks for the info. its always good to read this kind of writeups! have a great football season!
                    Comment
                    • ridims
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-15-10
                      • 3863

                      #11
                      line took a big increase since the morning. i should have waited
                      Comment
                      • Joe D. 416
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-17-11
                        • 675

                        #12
                        Love Pitt tonight. My paesan Santino gonna have a field day!
                        Comment
                        • grind4moneyz
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 07-07-11
                          • 239

                          #13
                          Originally posted by JohnBlaze
                          really good info..i can get them +5. might bite!
                          FYI-Some books are at +6 now, if you are taking Pitt, I'd wait till Gametime as I expect the line to keep moving.
                          Comment
                          • Melda
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-27-11
                            • 1028

                            #14
                            good shit..I was thinking the same thing to all those points.. I may just put it in now at 5.5
                            Comment
                            • Romanov
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-08-10
                              • 4137

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Melda
                              good shit..I was thinking the same thing to all those points.. I may just put it in now at 5.5
                              Don't. If the you lose .5 and it falls to 5 you don't actually lose much. How often does a game land on 5? You stand to gain much more by waiting, taking the risk in hopes that it moves up to six. It is at -5.5(-109) at Pinny so it probably will hit 6 at some point.
                              Comment
                              • paranoyd androyd
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 10-01-11
                                • 6459

                                #16
                                gl Aaron
                                Comment
                                • Aaron Stasko
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 09-06-12
                                  • 335

                                  #17
                                  I agree no reason to jump at 5.5 wait it out for 6 which is very likely and even if it goes down to 5 your not losin much...
                                  Comment
                                  • Joe D. 416
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-17-11
                                    • 675

                                    #18
                                    Little Stevie? Gilda and Steve Vasko's son?
                                    Comment
                                    • blowseq
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-06-09
                                      • 1440

                                      #19
                                      The six players who were suspended from Pitt's opener against Youngstown State for "disciplinary reasons" have been reinstated. Redshirt junior defensive lineman Tyrone Ezell, redshirt senior defensive lineman Shayne Hale, sophomore wide receiver Ronald Jones and freshman running back Rushel Shell traveled with the team to Cincinnati and will be eligible to play.
                                      Redshirt sophomore DB Anthony Gonzalez and freshman WR Chris Davis have had their suspensions lifted, but were not on the travel roster this week.

                                      post-gazette.com
                                      Comment
                                      • JerseyLove
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-15-10
                                        • 2183

                                        #20
                                        Why not use the free half point from bet islands make it 6
                                        Comment
                                        • hubie69
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-16-10
                                          • 7329

                                          #21
                                          Just hit 6, might be able to see it go to 7 before game time.
                                          Comment
                                          • aufordboy
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-22-06
                                            • 519

                                            #22
                                            Local has them +7....loaded up
                                            Comment
                                            • Aaron Stasko
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 09-06-12
                                              • 335

                                              #23
                                              If i could get +7 i would pound and pound then think about it and pound some more...
                                              Comment
                                              • jscene
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 04-29-12
                                                • 40

                                                #24
                                                "(Cincy) bringing in a new quarterback"

                                                He played in 6 games last year and started in 3. Is that "new"?
                                                Comment
                                                • TheFlash
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 08-29-12
                                                  • 694

                                                  #25
                                                  This game has bad feeling written all over it. In your OP you said Pitt didnt play that bad, but then said their defense couldnt get off the field....defense is a pretty big part of the game and against a div 2 team id say thats pretty bad. If they bring that defense again cincy will win easily.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Jago2008
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-18-11
                                                    • 3047

                                                    #26
                                                    Yeah its up to 6 now at most sites. GL
                                                    Comment
                                                    • venture
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-25-09
                                                      • 1158

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by blowseq
                                                      The six players who were suspended from Pitt's opener against Youngstown State for "disciplinary reasons" have been reinstated. Redshirt junior defensive lineman Tyrone Ezell, redshirt senior defensive lineman Shayne Hale, sophomore wide receiver Ronald Jones and freshman running back Rushel Shell traveled with the team to Cincinnati and will be eligible to play.
                                                      Redshirt sophomore DB Anthony Gonzalez and freshman WR Chris Davis have had their suspensions lifted, but were not on the travel roster this week.



                                                      post-gazette.com
                                                      Thanks was looking for that. Adding the DL depth will help in stopping those 70 yard drives. Also Snell is the real deal, will help to keep Graham fresh. I like pitt +6
                                                      Comment
                                                      • brigade125
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 07-03-11
                                                        • 685

                                                        #28
                                                        Im taking pitt...the dogs seem to cover on these espn weekly night games..the dogs are 3-0 so far(vandy..boise..gtech)...it going to be close ...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jayec
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 09-06-12
                                                          • 104

                                                          #29
                                                          New to the forum, but I've been wagering for years...I don't know how you can say they didn't play that bad...ill take comfy and give 5. Good luck to everyone
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Aaron Stasko
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 09-06-12
                                                            • 335

                                                            #30
                                                            They had half their defense missing and learning about the suspensions right before the game probably had a negative feeling within the team... The defense will be ready tonight... I'm all over Pitt plus the 6 points. They have a good chance of winnig outright... Take the points trust me flash
                                                            Comment
                                                            • aufordboy
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 11-22-06
                                                              • 519

                                                              #31
                                                              Back down to +4.5 at lots of books! Glad I got in while I did....I also threw Pitt in a few teaser plays.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Snowball
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 11-15-09
                                                                • 30064

                                                                #32
                                                                Over 50 here -110
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Aaron Stasko
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 09-06-12
                                                                  • 335

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Locked in Pitt +6 for 2u... Site is already back down to 5... I'm glad I jumped on it. Good luck with all your plays whether u faded or tailed... Be back at game time
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • venture
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-25-09
                                                                    • 1158

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Aaron Stasko
                                                                    Locked in Pitt +6 for 2u... Site is already back down to 5... I'm glad I jumped on it. Good luck with all your plays whether u faded or tailed... Be back at game time
                                                                    I got on it at +6 also, saw it drop on pinnicale from 6 to 5 in about 5 min so i jumped on it. GL
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BRUTUSB33FCAKE
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 08-17-12
                                                                      • 565

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Aaron Stasko
                                                                      They have a good chance of winnig outright...
                                                                      I'm riding the moneyline at +195. I'll take my chances for the double payout.
                                                                      Comment
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