And Romanov Decides to Start a CFB Thread

[Romanov]

Plays will be based off of reading lines, consensus, $ and number shopping.

After the first weekend I am up exactly $1.00 so hopefully I can get something going during week 2.



As always, best of luck & keep your money in the community

[cant call it]

Good to see this.
Best of luck to you.

Can you explain your calculations to me?

[Romanov]

Good to see this.
Best of luck to you.

Can you explain your calculations to me?

Thanks. Which calculations? Most of the math I know about gambling is from a few stats courses, a few simple books and Ganchrow's posts in the think tank. I'm not a mathematician or anything.

The most complicated calculations I'll be applying can be roughly figured using sbr's half point calculator. I'll then take that and use some money management concepts to get bet sizes which I will round off to 1 unit, or 2 units, etc in this thread (for the sake of simplicity)

[Romanov]

Been looking at the games with a friend, some leans:

Miami/Kstate Over
Purdue/ND Under
Maryland +10

Nothing set in stone

edit: also thinking Over tonight in the NFL game

[Romanov]

Units are on a 1-5 scale. First play of this thread is actually an NFL play:

2u on Dal/NYG Over 45.5

[Romanov]

Taking on 1u on Dal +4

[Romanov]

Meh

NFL: 1-1 (-1.2 units)

How bad is Pittsburgh?

[AdamL2424]

I dont think they are nowhere near as bad as was shown last week. I mean i just dont understand if they are really that bad why they are ONLY 4-4.5 points dogs on the road coming off short week. Im really starting to like the Pitt plus the points pick.

[cant call it]

Gonna stay away from this thursday game. Already have three plays this weekend.
Good luck to you guys.

[Romanov]

Still researching and asking around.

I guess Pitt had quite a few guys out last week.

[Romanov]

Pitt +5.5 2u

[Romanov]

Sorry did not get up in time. Was on phone:

3 units on ksu over 56.5
1.5 on notre dame under 53.5
2.5 on maryland +10
3 on miss st -3
2 on ksu -6.5
1 on cent floriday +17
2 on toledo +3
3 on nc st -3
2 on iowa st +3.5
3 on airforce +21.5
2.5 on louisiana tech -3

[Romanov]

2 on cent mich +20
1 on syr +26
1 on west kent +40

[numismatist]

Good luck, I like these picks.

[Romanov]

Thanks numismatist. Good luck to you too today.

Considering:

Oregon St +7
Wake forest +10
Purdue +14

and considering betting off mich st and iowa st.

Halp!

[Romanov]

Fxcking hell. Miss St lets auburn return the 2nd half opening kick off... there that one goes

[Romanov]

Bet out of iowa st (so lost a lil juice)

Adding:

1 on Oregon St +7

[Brian891]

so romanov u r not taking cmu +20?

[Romanov]

so romanov u r not taking cmu +20?

I still am. I only got out of iowa st.

Thinking about Purdue +14 and UMASS/Ind Under...

[Brian891]

any chance indiana loses su? have em in a parlay. i know they arent very strong but umass looks terrible.

[Romanov]

any chance indiana loses su? have em in a parlay. i know they arent very strong but umass looks terrible.

Of course there is a chance, but it probably won't happen. I think it'll be a closer game than expected but you should be fine

[Romanov]

1 on ea:

texas tech -19.5
bowling green -17
missouri +1.5

[Romanov]

1 on kent st +7

[Romanov]

LSU over 53

2.5 units

[Romanov]

Updating record (before thursday, was down 1.2 units)

Pitt+5.5 (-2.2)

3 units on ksu over 56.5 (+3)
1.5 on notre dame under 53.5 (+1.5)
2.5 on maryland +10 (+2.5)
3 on miss st -3 (+3)
2 on ksu -6.5 (+2)
1 on cent floriday +17 (+1)
2 on toledo +3 (+2)
3 on nc st -3 (+/- 0)
2 on iowa st +3.5 (bet out of it so lost .2)
3 on airforce +21.5 (+3)
2.5 on louisiana tech -3 (+2.5)
2 on cent mich +20 (-2.2)
1 on syr +26 (+1)
1 on west kent +40 (+1)
1 on Oregon St +7 (+1)
texas tech -19.5 (+1)
bowling green -17 (-1.1... FXCKING COACH)
missouri +1.5 (-1.1)
1 on kent st +7 (-1.1)
2.5 on LSU over 53 (-2.75)

After a bad start, a great saturday (going 13-5) leaves me up overall +12.65 units! Yay!

Should have some NFL soon

[Romanov]

5u on Browns +10

[Romanov]

2.5 u on stl rams +9
3 u on miami +14

[Romanov]

4u on car -2.5
1u on gb -5.5

[Romanov]

-1.3u on Sunday... shoulda just skipped the later games. Overall records are:

CFB: 13-6 (+13.85u)
NFL: 3-4 (-2.5u)

[RyanLeafOfBets]

Good luck as you continue Romanov!

[Romanov]

Thx RLB

Got a Wednesday Lean for you guys:

Tennessee -3

[Romanov]

I will be on parlays for these games tomorrow. I am not sure if I will pair the fav with the over or dog with the under:

Florida St -27.5 Wake Forest Total 54
Michigan -45.5 UMASS Total 53.5
NC St -30 South Alabama Total 51
Texas Tech -32 New Mexico Total 62.5
Kansas State -28 North Texas Total 54.5
South Carolina -33.5 Ala-Birmingham Total 55
Georgia -42 Florida Atlantic Total 52.5
LSU -42 Idaho Total 54.5

[mebaran]

I will be on parlays for these games tomorrow. I am not sure if I will pair the fav with the over or dog with the under:Florida St -27.5 Wake Forest Total 54Michigan -45.5 UMASS Total 53.5NC St -30 South Alabama Total 51Texas Tech -32 New Mexico Total 62.5Kansas State -28 North Texas Total 54.5South Carolina -33.5 Ala-Birmingham Total 55Georgia -42 Florida Atlantic Total 52.5LSU -42 Idaho Total 54.5

Decided to only play the fave/over on Michigan, Georgia, and LSU. on these, sir

[Romanov]

Decided to only play the fave/over on Michigan, Georgia, and LSU. on these, sir

Any reasoning behind the selections besides the fact that they are all close to 80%?

[mebaran]

[QUOTE=Romanov;16014444]Any reasoning behind the selections besides. the fact that they are all close to 80%?[QUOTE].

My research showed that the bigger the favorite the better on these