Sat. games I like

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  • Dbldown11
    SBR MVP
    • 08-17-06
    • 3605

    #1
    Sat. games I like
    What's up everyone. Been gone for the last week or so. I needed a break. I started doing pretty poorly so decieded to step away from everything betting related and clear my mind haha. Here are games I'm looking at for saturday.

    Temple +7
    Hawaii -7
    Notre Dame -4.5
    Fresno St. -5
    San Jose St. -16.5
    Kentucky +3
    TCU -14
    Rice -2.5
    Florida Int. +7.5

    Let me know if you have any thoughts or opinions on any of these. Specifically why a pick might not be a good one
  • johnnymapalo
    SBR MVP
    • 06-14-08
    • 2999

    #2
    Man, I'm really loving:

    Boston college -4.5 vs clemson. clemson is pure dog sh!t. No offense and their defense is just as worse. I can't see them competing at all in any game. They suck!!!

    Florida State +110 ml to beat Georgia Tech out right. Tech is thrash and I think state will handle them easily.

    Florida -6 vs Georgia. Florida has too many weapons for Georgia. I see them crushing Georgia in this one..
    Comment
    • MSUSpartan32
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-01-08
      • 948

      #3
      Dbldown, the only pick I am skeptical of is the NDame game. The Irish seem to struggle vs. physical football teams. They were pounded during the MSU game this year as Ringer ran for over 200 yards. Having said that, what do we really know about ND? I saw a stat the other day that the opponents they have defeated have a record of 8-30 or somewhere in there.

      Pitt is just about as hard to figure out as ND. They are undefeated on the road this season, with a win over SF being the marquee win in that bunch.

      That is a game I am still unsure on.....but GLuck all weekend.
      Comment
      • Dbldown11
        SBR MVP
        • 08-17-06
        • 3605

        #4
        thanks msu.....am i wrong or isnt Pitts starting QB out???
        Comment
        • pags11
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-18-05
          • 12264

          #5
          GL dbldown...
          Comment
          • Dbldown11
            SBR MVP
            • 08-17-06
            • 3605

            #6
            adding Air Force -8.5
            Comment
            • Dbldown11
              SBR MVP
              • 08-17-06
              • 3605

              #7
              After narrowing down my list from above my final plays for Saturday are as follow:

              Hawaii -7 @ Utah St
              Notre Dame -4.5 vs. Pittsburgh
              San Jose St. -16.5 @ Idaho
              Kentucky +3 @ Mississippi St.
              TCU -14 @ UNLV
              Air Force -8.5 @ Army
              Comment
              • Albinorhino
                SBR Hustler
                • 10-10-08
                • 95

                #8
                I like the Hawaii and ND games a lot. But love the Florida St. and Boston College games. The bet on South Florida -3 is already in for me.
                Comment
                • Dbldown11
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-17-06
                  • 3605

                  #9
                  I decided to take temple out because they are too inconsistent.

                  I took Fresno St. out well.....cause theyve played in a lot of tight games with horrible teams, their defense is just putrid.

                  I took Rice out because while they should put up a lot of points their defense is suspect and UTEP should score a lot as well. they over may be a good play for this one.

                  And I took Florida International out because after looking over both teams again, I was just not as confident as I originally was.

                  I feel like my final 6 plays are all extremely strong, and am gonna ride the all with pretty good size wagers, and Ill probably throw $100 down on a 6-teamer as well. Good luck to everyone this week.
                  Comment
                  • strictlywinners
                    Restricted User
                    • 07-17-07
                    • 3377

                    #10
                    Notre Dame looking real good
                    I would reccommend staying away from Fresno and Rice.
                    Comment
                    • Dbldown11
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-17-06
                      • 3605

                      #11
                      yup strictly I deffinately agree with your comments....I took Rice and Fresno both out. I narrowed down my original list to SIX plays
                      Comment
                      • sweetpete57@
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-09-06
                        • 1116

                        #12
                        I think Pitt beats ND. The Irish haven't beat anybody good this year and healthy QB not, Pitt will run it down their throats. Plus, Pitts defense is probably better than any team ND has beaten.
                        "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
                        Comment
                        • strictlywinners
                          Restricted User
                          • 07-17-07
                          • 3377

                          #13
                          Very good double down, I will be hammering ND with you. As for Fresno game leave alone is good choice, but with Rice, I suggest you look into betting on El Paso, that is very strong play for me.
                          Comment
                          • Dbldown11
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-17-06
                            • 3605

                            #14
                            Originally posted by sweetpete57@
                            I think Pitt beats ND. The Irish haven't beat anybody good this year and healthy QB not, Pitt will run it down their throats. Plus, Pitts defense is probably better than any team ND has beaten.
                            The only team Pitt beat was South Florida, they played a tight game with a horrible Syracuse team and lost at home to a horrible Bowling Green Team. Pitt's QB is also questionable for the game with a concussion he got last saturday.

                            Notre Dame almost beat a good North Carolina team on the road, they beat a good Stanford team at home, and they are playing better each and every week.
                            Comment
                            • LOWRIDEVBV2001
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 10-30-08
                              • 19

                              #15
                              My th n saturday picks

                              S Florida -2.5
                              S Florida Over 51
                              Colorado st +14.5
                              Boise st -20.5
                              San Jose st -16.5
                              Navy -7
                              Comment
                              • SoonerGreg
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 10-16-08
                                • 825

                                #16
                                Not sure about Hawaii, Kentucky, and Air Force.....Will be with you on Notre Dame, San Jose St., and TCU. GL
                                Comment
                                • Dbldown11
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-17-06
                                  • 3605

                                  #17
                                  Hawaii -7 @ Utah St.:

                                  Hawaii has a record of 4-4 this year. Their losses have come to Florida, Oregon St. Boise St. and San Jose St. All very respectable teams. They have beaten Nevada and Fresno St. this year. Utah St. is not a respectable team. They are 1-7 with their one win coming against Idaho (A team that many Div. II schools would beat). Of their 7 losses only one has come by less than 7 points and that was a 2 point loss to Fresno St. last weekend. Fresno St. is a team that enjoys playing really tight games this year so that's not surprising.

                                  Notre Dame -4.5 @ Pittsburgh:

                                  For starters Notre Dame is 4-0 at home this year with their smallest margin of victory being 7 points (against a good stanford team and they were up much more until late in the fourth). This is a good team they people are still uncertain of because of last year. Their defense is solid, and their offense is improving week in and week out. Pittsburghs defense has struggled lately, and they gave up 54 points at home to a rough Rutgers team last week. This Notre Dame team is probably the toughest team theyve played all year (including an overrated South Florida team), and their starting quarterback is questionable with a concussion. get on this line now as it is the play even if their starting QB plays, and if it is announced that he is out the line is gonna jump.

                                  Air Force -8.5 @ Army:

                                  Army has put together a few wins lately, but dont let that fool you, it has been against Eastern Mich, Tulane, and Louisiana Tech all very bad football teams. They are still a bad team (they lost to new hampshire at home this year by 18 and Akron by 19). Air Force is the best team they have faced up to this point. Air Force has 2 losses this year. A hard back and forth battle with Navy, and a 7 point loss to Utah. Expect this one to get ugly quickly.

                                  Kentucky +3 @ Mississippi St.:

                                  Kentucky is a solid team that people are starting to write off becaus of recent struggles. They were embarrassed last week granted, but their recent struggles have come against Alabama, South Carolina, and Florida...three very tough teams. They will right this ship this week and get back on the winning track. I love when a team I'm almost sure will win is getting points. Mississippi St. is a bad football team. They beat an overrated vanderbilt team and thats about it. Mississippi St. got blown out by Tennessee 34-3...anyone that knows CFB this year knows that tennessee cannot score so when they put up 34 you know the team is bad, Tennessee only scored 13 at home against Northern Illinois for god sakes and NIU put up at least 9 points with their 3rd string QB. What's all that mean? There is a chance this could be ugly for both teams. However Mississippi is gonna have a hard time scoring and they are gonna give up some points, so Kentucky getting points is the easy pick here.

                                  San Jose St. -16.5 @ Idaho:

                                  This line is puzzling to me. San Jose St. has proven to be a decent team this year. And when you put a decent team against Idaho that team should be at least a 3 touchdown favorite....Idaho has two wins this year against Idaho St, and New Mexico St...Two piss poor teams. Their 7 losses come at an average of 32.28 points per. Only one loss was by less that 17 and that was a 13 point loss to that same Fresno St team mentioned above that likes playing close games to bad teams. This team lost to Utah st by 25 and San Diego St. by 28 and both of those teams are just horrible. San Jose St. is the easy play here.

                                  and last but not least....

                                  TCU -14 @ UNLV:

                                  TCU is for real. They have one of the best defenses in the nation and an offense that has found it's groove. They have a scoring margin of +25.3 and thats including their 25 point loss to Oklahoma. If you take that game out they have won all their games by an average of 31.6 games. They have only played one game where they won by less than 14 and that was a 6 point victory at CSU in which they only allowed 7 points and for whatever reason only scored 13. UNLV does not have the offense or the defense to cover this spread.
                                  Comment
                                  • BravoWhiskey
                                    SBR Hustler
                                    • 10-17-07
                                    • 80

                                    #18
                                    Be careful on FSU-GT

                                    Originally posted by johnnymapalo

                                    Florida State +110 ml to beat Georgia Tech out right. Tech is thrash and I think state will handle them easily.
                                    Coming from someone who follows the ACC intently, and Georgia Tech in particular, I think it is very risky to bet against the Jackets this weekend. The real problem matchup in this game is FSU's young offensive line (3 TRUE freshman and 2 sophomores starting) vs. the veteran GT defensive line (3 seniors, all of which will be drafted in April, and a true sophomore in Derrick Morgan who may just be the best of the bunch) FSU's top 2 RB's are banged up, which makes the likelihood of them establishing any kind of running game unlikely. GT has injury problems in the secondary right now, with starting corner Jahi Word-Daniels sidelined by a hamstring injury suffered in the Clemson game. However, safety Morgan Burnett is leading the country in interceptions and fellow safety Dominique Reese has interceptions in each of the last 3 games. Ponder will be under tremendous pressure in this game, and he will be throwing against a very opportunistic secondary. Turnovers (most of them of the unforced variety) have been an issue for GT this season, which is understandable considering the radical change in offensive philosophies going from the pro style attack of Chan Gailey to the spread option offense brought in by Paul Johnson. The last time GT was coming off a loss was the one to VT at Blacksburg. GT proceeded to rip Miss States defense for 428 yards rushing - the majority of that total coming with the second string QB in the game (starter Josh Nesbitt went down with a hamstring strain on the first offensive series in that game) FSU has only played one "true" road game at NC State 2 Thursdays ago and struggled mightily away from Doak Campbell Stadium. I feel like I have a very good handle on this Georgia Tech team, and believe they take the Seminoles down in Atlanta on Saturday.
                                    Comment
                                    • Rixsaw
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-23-08
                                      • 4532

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by strictlywinners
                                      Notre Dame looking real good
                                      I would reccommend staying away from Fresno and Rice.
                                      Why no Rice? I love Rice to fry Tex El Paso today. You no say no to fry Rice.
                                      Comment
                                      • Dbldown11
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-17-06
                                        • 3605

                                        #20
                                        because rice gives up a lot of points and utep can put up points.....could be a shootout and whoever has ball last wins...
                                        Comment
                                        • veto
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 09-12-08
                                          • 109

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by sweetpete57@
                                          I think Pitt beats ND. The Irish haven't beat anybody good this year and healthy QB not, Pitt will run it down their throats. Plus, Pitts defense is probably better than any team ND has beaten.
                                          Pitt injury report
                                          - Quarterback Bill Stull (10/26, concussion/sore neck) is questionable for Saturday's game against Notre Dame. Cornerback Buddy Jackson (10/26, shoulder) is questionable for Saturday's game against Notre Dame. Linebacker Adam Gunn (9/4, fractured vertebra in neck) is out indefinitely.

                                          RUTGERS! put up 6 touchdowns on pitt in the first half last week.

                                          Notredame has beaten underrated michigan and purdue teams. Their only losses were to michigan state and UNC. both good squads. careful with taking pittsburg.
                                          Comment
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