#24 South Florida at Cincinnati

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  • sportsguy04
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-21-08
    • 11885

    #1
    #24 South Florida at Cincinnati
    USF - 3 or UC+3

    Who do you have and why?

    Thoughts?
    Analysis?
  • tab
    SBR MVP
    • 10-15-07
    • 1106

    #2
    Plus money play

    Cincy team total under 13 (1st half) at the greek
    -Cincy has really struggled on offense the last few weeks. In 3 of the last 4 games, Cincy has been held under 20 points. Cincy has had issues with keeping qbs healthy. USF will be without 3 starters on offense (RB Mike Ford, TE Trent Pupello, and RT Marc Dile). After Dile sustained an injury against Lousiville, the cardinals sacked QB Grothe 5 times. These injuries are going to hurt south florida on offense. USF DE George Selvie is finally 100% healthy for the 1st time. Last week, Selvie had 2 sacks.

    Cincy plays better defensivly at home. Cincy has given up 37 points in 3 home games in 2008.
    Comment
    • Beat up the book
      SBR Sharp
      • 08-21-08
      • 380

      #3
      USF-2.5 is the play here for me.
      I love cinci,even have a hat and a shirt to prove it,but not here.
      The bulls rebound from a tough loss and cover.
      Comment
      • sportsguy04
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-21-08
        • 11885

        #4
        Yeah Im a huge bearcat fan and usually hate betting against my team, but for some reason I got a feeling USF - 3 covers. Hopefully that goes down to -2.5.
        Comment
        • Beat up the book
          SBR Sharp
          • 08-21-08
          • 380

          #5
          Ben Maulk got the shit end of the stick.He was killer to watch.
          Bearcats have the worst QB luck ever.
          Comment
          • so-classy#23
            SBR High Roller
            • 06-16-08
            • 156

            #6
            you gotta take the more athletic team and the more experienced QB in Grothe instead of Cicinnati's squad....Cincinnati has a decent defense led my Mike Mickens and co. but South Florida has that speed known well in that state and if you got them earlier at -2.5 you are in the driver's seat
            Comment
            • bosterosoy
              SBR High Roller
              • 09-02-08
              • 156

              #7
              Forte is not out; he might start
              Comment
              • onlooker
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 08-10-05
                • 36572

                #8
                This is the way I have that game capped.

                South Florida 48
                Cincinnati PK

                I think this one will be a tight close game with either one being able to pull it out in the end. So with that being said, I would probably take the points with the home dog.
                Comment
                • THEGREAT30
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-04-08
                  • 8970

                  #9
                  I got the under both teams are banged up all across the field, but that could make for big play mistakes. Though, Im thinking it will make for a sloppy game with a lot of miscues which will keep it under.
                  Comment
                  • sportsguy04
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-21-08
                    • 11885

                    #10
                    If Pike is not playing tomorow then that means Chazz Anderson will be running the offense. He is a true freshman and a third stringer. If he is playing tommorow I like the Under 51. UC's defense is pretty good at home as I think this will be a defensive battle.

                    Thinking it will be a

                    21-17 type game.
                    Comment
                    • tab
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-15-07
                      • 1106

                      #11
                      Even if Pike starts, I do not think he will finish the game. Pike had numbness in his throwing hand last week at UConn. COld weather in cincy is not going to be a good thing for Pike. With or without Pike, this game stays under at the half (under 26) and the under for the game (51.5).
                      Comment
                      • pags11
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-18-05
                        • 12264

                        #12
                        should be a great game to watch...not a great game to bet IMO...
                        Comment
                        • I.R.B
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-12-08
                          • 3209

                          #13
                          Cinci looks like the play here.. If im not mistaking here the line opened at 3 but now at 2.5..

                          74% on S.Florida but the line moves down 1/2 point.
                          Comment
                          • I.R.B
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-12-08
                            • 3209

                            #14
                            Also 63% on Over 51.. Not that big of a number but i would lean to the under. JMO.
                            Comment
                            • head_strong
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-02-08
                              • 4318

                              #15
                              Underdogs are 10-1 vs spread so far in Big East conference games, 6-1 on road, 4-0 at home.
                              Comment
                              • head_strong
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-02-08
                                • 4318

                                #16
                                Bearcats are 0-25 on 3rd down in the last two games.
                                Comment
                                • AUSSIE_PUNTER
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 10-30-08
                                  • 678

                                  #17
                                  CINCI STRAIGHT OUT $2000@ $2.10 ON BETFAIR EASY MONEY
                                  Comment
                                  • teaserpleaser
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 08-14-08
                                    • 26015

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by head_strong
                                    Bearcats are 0-25 on 3rd down in the last two games.
                                    That is one of the reasons im on USF -2.5.... hard to win with that 3rd down conversion % 28.7% 3rd conversion rate isnt going to get it done
                                    Comment
                                    • CaneDawg
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 08-25-08
                                      • 6256

                                      #19
                                      Took the under

                                      Small Play

                                      Good Luck Guys
                                      Comment
                                      • I.R.B
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-12-08
                                        • 3209

                                        #20
                                        Thinking of Parlaying Cinci and the under..
                                        Comment
                                        • awhitejackson
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-15-07
                                          • 2265

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by head_strong
                                          Bearcats are 0-25 on 3rd down in the last two games.
                                          Now that is a stat you can work with .......WOW!!!!! South Florida -2.5... well
                                          Comment
                                          • AUSSIE_PUNTER
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 10-30-08
                                            • 678

                                            #22
                                            adding $4000 on cinci cant help but take money from my bookie
                                            Comment
                                            • L2Gunz
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-23-08
                                              • 2199

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by AUSSIE_PUNTER
                                              adding $4000 on cinci cant help but take money from my bookie

                                              Aussie your full of shit!!!!!!
                                              Comment
                                              • L2Gunz
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-23-08
                                                • 2199

                                                #24
                                                so by lookin at all your bets today (nba, ncaafb) Aussie has like 50k all on todays bets. yeah rights your full of kah-kah.
                                                Comment
                                                • strictlywinners
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 07-17-07
                                                  • 3377

                                                  #25
                                                  He may be but I am not, I will have 5k on Cinci tonight.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • tab
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-15-07
                                                    • 1106

                                                    #26
                                                    South Florida team total under 13 1st half
                                                    -With key injuries to 3 starters on offense, USF is going to struggle. THe key injury is starting RT senior Pile. Without him, look for cincy to bitz Grothe like they did in the 2007 game. After Pile was injured in last weeks game at Lousiville, the cardinals sacked Grothe 5 times. Watch for cincy to bring their blitz packages and go after Grothe. Cincy also plays much better defense at home than they do in away games. Cincy defense gave up most of their points this season in two away games at Oklahoma and at UConn. I also like the fact that Cincy will run the football more tonite with a freshman qb, Anderson. I think USF is going to conribute more to the total under staying under 26 in the first half.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LOWRIDEVBV2001
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 10-30-08
                                                      • 19

                                                      #27
                                                      south florida to win

                                                      Hello everybody am new here.... ok I got South Florida -2.5 and Over ..i estimate 63 points.....this is going to be a good game and both teams move ball fast.....
                                                      Comment
                                                      • bdat2d
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 10-13-08
                                                        • 150

                                                        #28
                                                        small play tonight...got all weekend. I'm taking cinci and the under
                                                        Comment
                                                        • yisman
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 09-01-08
                                                          • 75682

                                                          #29
                                                          I wouldn't touch either side as I have the final result falling right at the spread.
                                                          [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                          [/quote]

                                                          [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                          Comment
                                                          • starboots
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 10-15-08
                                                            • 184

                                                            #30
                                                            Yeah, I don't think I will be touching this one either. Plenty of NHL and NBA going on tonight.
                                                            Comment
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