Pags' Plays 11/1

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  • Lock-ness monsta
    SBR Rookie
    • 10-29-07
    • 26

    #106
    Pags,

    Loved the write-ups. I'm on Okie-State, Lsu, and Oregon State. Also, the Temple write was compelling and now I'm on that one, too. Thanks for the advice.
    Comment
    • pags11
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-18-05
      • 12264

      #107
      rixsaw,

      that is excellent advice...I completely agree with your line of thinking...

      lock-ness monsta,

      glad you enjoyed the write-ups and glad we will be on those games together...no problem, I like doing this...BOL to you this weekend...
      Comment
      • Dbldown11
        SBR MVP
        • 08-17-06
        • 3605

        #108
        just a heads up....that drug test was done back in september, the team has known the results for a while, it just leaked to the media. Those players ARE NOT suspended and will still be playing this weekend. It doesnt matter either way as North Texas is piss poor, the game is a no play for me. But i'd take Western KY before I'd ever think about taking North Texas. At least Western Kentucky has lost to good teams....they lost to Va. Tech on the road by only 7....there is no way you can say they are just as bad as north texas
        Comment
        • madstork
          SBR Rookie
          • 10-12-08
          • 27

          #109
          yes pags good job i also like michigan st -4 only one that scares me is cal but yheir are plenty of other games to bet on what do you think of south carolina i think tenn packed it in for the season
          Comment
          • DrLuck
            SBR Hustler
            • 09-06-07
            • 64

            #110
            Great write-ups pags...The last few lines in your Okla. St. write-up is exactly the reason I'm rolling with the Cowboys... Plus they prolly figure they need to put together another ass kicking to keep a smile on Mr. Pickens face after another 180 million I believe. Hopefully Auburn/Arizona St. have packed it in for the season, ontheotherhand Oreg. St. and Ol' Miss are extremly motivated to finish the season strong. LSU is angry so I wouldn't want to be visiting Baton Rouge after 2 losses... So this should set-up for a good weekend. GL pags
            Comment
            • pags11
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-18-05
              • 12264

              #111
              dbldown,

              I appreciate that information, wasn't aware of all that...

              madstork,

              thank you...I can understand your reasoning for liking Michigan St., just can't get a feel for that game...yeah, the Oregon vs. Cal game should be a battle tomorrow...I also don't have much of a feel for the Tennessee vs. South Carolina game, hard for me to tell how that one may playout...BOL this weekend...

              drluck,

              glad to hear you agree with my reasoning on the Oklahoma St. play...you are right that keeping Pickens happy is a major priority for Gundy and crew...I agree with the rest of what you've written as well...BOL to you tomorrow...
              Comment
              • Rixsaw
                SBR MVP
                • 10-23-08
                • 4532

                #112
                Sir Pags, very nice writeup. I don't know how you do it week in week out. I'll be on Ore St, OK St, Cal, A&M.
                I don't like Ole Miss because they haven't beaten any quality team by more than 5 points. Although Auburn is playing poorly, they haven't lost to team more than 5 pts with the exception of WV. I don't consider Ole Miss to be any where as good as WV. No play for me.
                I'm against you on Temple. I don't think Temple can hang with Navy on the road. I hate to be on the opposite side of you, but I had this game circled several weeks back. As always....BOL to you.... Btw Pags, Dr. Lou Holtz said Ole Miss will win this game.
                Comment
                • masr
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-20-07
                  • 4773

                  #113
                  Thanks for the write up...good stuff!! helps me finalize my card...
                  Good luck this week
                  Comment
                  • pags11
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-18-05
                    • 12264

                    #114
                    rixsaw,

                    thank you for the well wishes and also for all of your feedback...good to hear we will be on several together, we will have to agree to disagree on the Ole Miss game...sorry that we are against eachother in the Temple vs. Navy game...BOL to you tomorrow...

                    masr,

                    glad to hear you enjoyed my write-up...GL tomorrow bud...
                    Comment
                    • GoSooners
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 10-03-08
                      • 18

                      #115
                      Pags...I love the OSU and LSU plays..We're definitely on the same wavelength with these two games....I think your going to have a hell of a weekend...BOL my friend.
                      Comment
                      • gummo
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-04-06
                        • 6297

                        #116
                        Too much heavy chalk for my liking but best of luck pags.
                        Comment
                        • pags11
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 08-18-05
                          • 12264

                          #117
                          gosooners,

                          means a lot coming from you my friend...thank you very much for saying that and thank you also for all of your help so far this season...BOL to you this weekend as well...

                          gummo,

                          not sure how long you've been following my plays, but this is not a typical week for me in terms of the type of play I've made...that being said, I just try to pick the games I think will when even though I have more of a inclination to pick dogs than I do favorites...thanks though for your feedback and GL to you this weekend...
                          Comment
                          • pollopelon
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 10-31-08
                            • 20

                            #118
                            Pags11.
                            new here but been following you in other forums , thanks a lot!
                            Comment
                            • pico
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 04-05-07
                              • 27321

                              #119
                              pags, how about these plays

                              mich st -5.5
                              tulsa -7
                              bowling green -6.5
                              Comment
                              • Jimmydafreak
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 08-29-08
                                • 324

                                #120
                                Best of luck this week Pags!!! We're on Oklahoma State, LSU and Oregon State together this week. I hope they're all winners!!!

                                FREAK OUT!!!
                                Comment
                                • jackpot269
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 09-24-07
                                  • 12828

                                  #121
                                  As always pags, thanks for your picks, insight, and write ups!!!!!!! GL this wk
                                  Comment
                                  • racebannon
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 08-29-08
                                    • 11

                                    #122
                                    Hey Pags!

                                    Thanks for all the hard work this season, been tailing your picks combined with a few of my own and having a good season. Doing pretty good in the NFL too!
                                    I like all your plays, got Oregon state at -15 though, would like to have that one at -14. Five games I like except for yours are:

                                    Michigan state -5,5
                                    Kentucky +3
                                    Florida -6,5
                                    TCU -14
                                    Minnesota -7

                                    Looking to add two or three of these and would love to hear your thoughts!

                                    Thanks again!
                                    Comment
                                    • icemantbi
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 07-18-07
                                      • 944

                                      #123
                                      Looks like another nice weekend is shaping up Pags, thanks for the picks and writeups, time to kill our bookies
                                      Comment
                                      • pats3peat
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-23-05
                                        • 1163

                                        #124
                                        pags gl. on the lsu vs tulane thing....Tulane has their best receiver out and he is the best by far... and their best RB out who is their best by far. plus they are in a QB struggle. And they were mediocre even before that. Done, LSU will kick their ass. i think it doesnt even need more explanation than that

                                        but i did like a quote from the coach that said "we are a team that does not think they can overcome things." i wonder if he's trying to create bad media for the team in a manipulative way, or if hes just a plain moron.
                                        Comment
                                        • 10dimeplay
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 10-25-07
                                          • 28

                                          #125
                                          Originally posted by pags11
                                          drluck,

                                          that's good you were on those games before you saw my thread, it's good to know we are on the same wavelength...yes, this is the time of the year when lines start to get tighter and as part of my money management system I start to scale my units back...good observation...

                                          lout,

                                          first off, have you ever seen me post a play and say "This game is going to cover!"?...of course you haven't because I don't do that...I post plays that I think have a chance in covering, but as with any play it has a chance of not...that being said it is extremely disrespectful to come in someone else's thread (you can say whatever you want in your own thread) and guarantee (because that's essentially what you are doing here) that Oklahoma St. isn't going to cover this week...now you start talking that you "were personally told" information that has led you to believe that Oklahoma St. isn't going to cover the spread this week...do you have Mike Gundy's cell number or something?...c'mon dude...if you want to make the argument that the line's inflated that's your right...personally I think the oddsmakers did a great job in this game really making you think before betting the Oklahoma St. side (and it sounds like they have kept you and many others off the game because of it)...I notice you make no mention of Iowa St. heading straight into the toilet as of now, or the fact that even if Oklahoma St. runs more running plays that they could still cover this number, or that Oklahoma St. has only given up 57 combined points the last three games against one pretty good offense and two of the best offenses in the country...didn't people bet Baylor like it was going out of style against OSU ultimately to have OSU cover the game a couple of weeks ago in a "sandwich" spot?...I'll get more into this in my write-up on Thursday but it's very easy for you to come in here on Monday and say that this game won't cover, but the game hasn't even been played yet...c'mon man...

                                          tobycsh,

                                          glad you feel similiarly about the Texas A&M game this week, as you know I respect your opinion highly...GL bud...

                                          trey,

                                          USF-3 @Cnincy (slight lean to Cincy but I'm 0-4 in weeknight games so don't take much stock in that)
                                          Ole Miss -6 vs Auburn (I'm on Ole Miss -5.5)
                                          South Carolina -6.5 vs. Tenn (no play)
                                          MichSt -5 vs Wisconsin (no play)
                                          Rice -2 @ UTEP (no play)
                                          Mizzou -21 @ Baylor (no play)
                                          Houston/Marshall U 62.5 (no play)
                                          Minny -6.5 vs. NW'ern (no play)

                                          hope this helps you...

                                          taurus,

                                          appreciate your belief in me...yes, I checkout your threads each week, you are money with those FCS plays...thank you...

                                          spongerat,

                                          as part of my money management system I start to scale my units back towards the end of the season...just have learned over the years that the lines get tighter and it's best to scale it back during this time of year...

                                          soonerbs,

                                          thank you...glad to hear that you are on Texas A&M as well...was looking for your plays last night, and will be sure to go check out your thread here shortly...GL this week...
                                          hey pags, if the okst game is a "sandwich game" then call me Jared and take me to subway. great play pags your the man!!!!
                                          Comment
                                          • Bouga
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 10-10-08
                                            • 28

                                            #126
                                            You really know your shit guy, nice picks.
                                            Comment
                                            • james4512
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-27-08
                                              • 3707

                                              #127
                                              nice picks so far this weekend pags do you know your total overall record?
                                              Comment
                                              • tobycsh39
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 06-04-08
                                                • 114

                                                #128
                                                check out his thread from last weeks plays man
                                                "Nobody in football should be called a genius. A genius is a guy like Norman Einstein." - Joe Theismann
                                                Comment
                                                • SportsLockPicks
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-03-07
                                                  • 3386

                                                  #129
                                                  5-0 so far Pags...not something to shake a stick at...props...and i like oregon st,
                                                  Comment
                                                  • icemantbi
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 07-18-07
                                                    • 944

                                                    #130
                                                    Fantastic afternoon Pags! Let's get the sweep tonight!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • crackerjack
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-01-06
                                                      • 3366

                                                      #131
                                                      If there are any Pags doubters out there, this week is pretty convincing that he is the real deal. I think he's only had one, maybe two, losing weeks all season. 5-0 so far today.

                                                      Damn if Temple isn't the most snakebit team in the nation...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • strictlywinners
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 07-17-07
                                                        • 3377

                                                        #132
                                                        Wow great day!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Jesse Black
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 06-02-08
                                                          • 129

                                                          #133
                                                          Great Day ! I got Oregon St. minus 13, I would usually buy a piece back, but I have to roll with you tonight. Thanks for being so generous to the group.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • laxdjock
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-15-07
                                                            • 4074

                                                            #134
                                                            Way to step up Pags!

                                                            TCU is my big bet for the day, so I'm rooting hard for it.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • yisman
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 09-01-08
                                                              • 75682

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by Lout84

                                                              The only play I do not like is Oklahoma St.
                                                              I believe this is the week Oklahoma St will not cover the spread. -31 is too inflated. OSU got a little beat up by Texas last week, so their plan against Iowa St is to take it easy and run the ball to get out of this game quick so they can rest up for Texas Tech next week. This is a sandwich game and OSU WILL NOT cover this spread.

                                                              I hope you didn't make this pick purely because OSU is 100% ATS this year.
                                                              [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                              [/quote]

                                                              [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                              Comment
                                                              • yisman
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 09-01-08
                                                                • 75682

                                                                #136
                                                                I like Oregon State as well. -14
                                                                [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                                [/quote]

                                                                [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Rixsaw
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-23-08
                                                                  • 4532

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Sir Pags, did I say I hate to be on the opposite side of you on Temple? I still hate myself Good call Pags. OR State is having a slowwwww start.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • icemantbi
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 07-18-07
                                                                    • 944

                                                                    #138
                                                                    So close in the LSU game, lost by the hook. Hoping we get a big 4th quarter by Oregon St. for the cover
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • WSU_Tbone
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 10-08-08
                                                                      • 124

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Great week Pags.....Keep it up...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • yisman
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 09-01-08
                                                                        • 75682

                                                                        #140
                                                                        for Oregon State
                                                                        [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                                        [/quote]

                                                                        [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                                        Comment
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