Plays I am liking - your thoughts?

[mogwai]

Central Michigan -3 1/2 over Toledo
Louisville +4 1/2 over South Florida (also like on ML)
USC -15 over Arizona
Tulsa -23 over Central Florida
Northwestern -8 1/2 over Indiana
Cincinnati -1 over Connecticut
Florida Atlantic -2 over LA Monroe

[casper]

I would be concerned about that USC-play. Arizona has a short, very good running back they unveiled Saturday vs. Cal. Arizona looks to have a decent line and I think they have the running game to go against USC. Arizona might challenge them a bit. I would probably stay away from it.