Mr. Progression's College Saturday Mismatch

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  • Mr. Progression
    SBR Hustler
    • 09-29-08
    • 90

    #1
    Mr. Progression's College Saturday Mismatch
    I will post the entire card for saturday later in the week but this game is a must play.

    Vandy -2.5 (-1.10)

    I do not make a habit of playing road favorites but in this situation the line is too far off not to take.

    My computer model has Vandy (-10) thus a value of (+7.5pts) to be had on Vandy.

    Im not saying State cant win, so dont bet the farm on Vandy.

    Im saying its the highest rated play on my college board for saturday.

    1. Vandy -2.5 (-1.10) 5 units

    which means its a (5%) of my college football bankroll play, the highest that i go.

    more to come.

    Mr. Progression
  • themajormt
    SBR MVP
    • 07-30-08
    • 3964

    #2
    I actually am leaning towards Miss. St in this one... Vandy, fresh off the upset, on the road playing a team that has played well as of late but come up short...

    GL!
    Comment
    • Mr. Progression
      SBR Hustler
      • 09-29-08
      • 90

      #3
      i understand your thinking but my selection is based off a computer model.

      on a personal note, i hate playing any road favorite but ive learned to listen to my program.

      best of luck

      Mr. Progression
      Comment
      • TPowell
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-21-08
        • 18842

        #4
        I would play Miss. St, but I think that Vandy is FOR REAL right now. Vandy is 5-0 ATS so far. Miss. St played a solid game (the 3-2 loss to Auburn) in it's lone home game so far this season. No play for me as of now
        Comment
        • Mr. Progression
          SBR Hustler
          • 09-29-08
          • 90

          #5
          i understand, here are a few more.

          1. Vandy (-2.5) (-10) 5 units

          2. Georgia (-11) (-14) 1 unit

          3. LSU (+6) (+3) 1 unit

          i fudged and laid (-1.20) juice on the georgia game, dont know if we see an 11 or not.... i use a (3pt) difference to make a selection.

          still in the process of running saturdays card.

          no play on wake/clem for thursday night.

          Mr. Progression
          Comment
          • etothep
            SBR MVP
            • 09-14-07
            • 1299

            #6
            GL man....leaning toward vandy, but likely won't make a play on it
            Comment
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