Ark St -11.5

[Justin7]

Going, going...

My only lock-board play this week.

[thegambler86]

Going, going...

My only lock-board play this week.

Thanks justin. I like the videos. Have you made any recent ones?

gambler

[diogee]

Good luck Justin7...jumped on them when I saw 13 everywhere on the live lines but Match still had some 11.5 -110

[pags11]

GL justin...

[onlooker]

Good deal Justin, good luck.

[MattyBoy]

I made a play at -13. I feel this game is a mismatch and LA Monroe's horrid run defense will show Sat.

[Dbldown11]

I love this play as well Justin

[tab]

I like Arkansas St in this one. Arkansas is coming off a loss to memphis and a bye week while Monroe played last week and lost 44-35. Arkansas St will run left, middle and right all day long. They can tell Monroe on each play that they are going to run. Monroe will not be able to stop the run even if they knew arkansas st was running the football. Play action fake will really work when Monroe cannot stop the run. Good luck and lets cash in with this pick. May be a revenge game. In 2007, Monroe defeated Arkansas St 31-14.

prediction:
Arkansas St 38
Monroe 14

[onlooker]

Monroe's QB is Questionable as well.

UL Monroe-QB-Lancaster-Questionable

[M.W.]

My numbers say ASU is the play, but I admit I don't know these teams too well. Are there any injuries for ASU that I may be overlooking?

Btw, thanks for the info on K Lancaster.

[Justin7]

Dr. Bob seems to like it, but not at -11.5... -13!

[picantel]

was gonna bet it but intertops has it at -14.5. ugg

[I.R.B]

Im on this... GL Justin

[LT Profits]

Dr. Bob sucked all the value out of this one, unless you had Justin's foresight and bet early.

[xyzky]

Got it 2 hours before it jumped to -14.5, -13, 4 units!!

[BeatTheJerk]

Justin please don't use the word "lock" , you lose all your Creditability when you say such things.

[Justin7]

Justin please don't use the word "lock" , you lose all your Creditability when you say such things.

I didn't say lock... I said "lock board". There's a big difference. The lock board, whose contents are normally hoarded by the Fishtank Syndicate, has a long history of hitting 57% or better. It's actually hit closer to 60%, but 57% is the cutoff.

Besides... Credibility is overrated.

[BeatTheJerk]

I didn't say lock... I said "lock board". There's a big difference. The lock board, whose contents are normally hoarded by the Fishtank Syndicate, has a long history of hitting 57% or better. It's actually hit closer to 60%, but 57% is the cutoff.

Besides... Credibility is overrated.

I don't have a response to this comment posted above ............ But GL with your play you definately got the best line for the side you chose.

[Justin7]

GL with your play you definately got the best line for the side you chose.

If you look at my spreadsheet, I'm beating the line moves about 85% of the time on NCAF.

[BeatTheJerk]

Ouch !!! backdoor cover ............ so much for the board lock play of the year or what was it again ??? fishtank cleaners syndicate or w/e the fuk. anyways don't hang your head, get em next time Mr. Justin7

[SlickFazzer]

15-3 4th quarter, fukk.

[Justin7]

I lose almost half my plays, even when on the right side. You can get rich hitting 53%, and 57% is like bank robbery every year. I actually play a LOT more than what I put on my spreadsheet, but I'm just putting the best stuff on the SBR sheet to inflate my win rate This, notwithstanding this week's disappointment.

[BeatTheJerk]

well yeah your a sharp guy Justin7 i'm sure you do quite well in this industry ! keep bringing us winners your spreadsheet is looking good

[fiveteamer]

backdoor cover?

[betplom]

backdoor cover?

It's not what your thinking, you silly homo.

[Brock Landers]

Going, going...

My only lock-board play this week.

you missed NW/MSU over the total, that stuck out on the board like a turd in a punchbowl

[pico]

It's not what your thinking, you silly homo.

backdoor cover are the best

[hhsilver]

Ouch !!! backdoor cover ............

I don't think this was a backdoor cover.
LaMonroe got within 8 ( one score! ) with 7:31 to go. I think they got the ball one more time after that score.


from boxscore :
TD 07:31 Zeek Zacharie 1 Yd Pass From Kinsmon Lancaster (Radi Jabour Kick) 29 37