FREAK PICS!!! (Week 6)

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  • Jimmydafreak
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-29-08
    • 324

    #1
    FREAK PICS!!! (Week 6)
    I usually don't post picks ths early in the week, but I usually don't have a "Best Bet" kicking off on Tuesday evening either. I'll post my Tuesday pick with writeup, and add to as the week progresses.

    Florida Atlantic (ML) @ Middle Tennessee State (Best Bet)

    FAU beat MTSU last year by 2 touchdowns and went on to win the Sun Belt Conference championship, and they had to beat Troy (at Troy) to do it.

    This year, FAU has almost their entire team coming back from that championship team including QB Rusty Smith. Also, Howard Schellenberger, IMHO, is the best coach in the conference.

    Coming into this game, FAU has played a brutal schedule having played @ Texas, @ Michigan State and @ Minnesota. Of course they lost all three, but they did cover the number against Michigan St.

    The toughest games MTSU has played is MD on their home turf (an impressive win for a Sun Belt team) and @ Kentucky (which they almost pulled out with a miracle hail mary). They covered the spread in both games. But MTSU's other two games were versus Troy (they lost by 2 touchdowns), and @ Arky State where they lost by 17. On both occasions they fail to cover the number by almost 10 points.

    My main concern in this game is that this will be FAU's 3rd consecutive road game, and I usually like to fade teams in this situation. Other than that, the fact that the game is on the road game is not a big concern for me. This game is also suppose to be a blackout (gee where have we heard that before), but fans choice in haberdashery won't keep the best team from winning this game.

    Last year, aside from beating MTSU by 2 TDs, on the last game of the regular season FAU had to travel to Troy, Alabama as 15-point underdogs, with the Sun Belt Conference championship hanging in the balance. They left town with a 38-32 victory and a conference championship (NOTE: Troy was really good last year). They went on to impressively defeat Memphis in the Liberty Bowl 44-27.

    FAU is the better team with the better coach and the better QB, and they're getting points. Don't make a mistake here. Schnellinberger will have his boys ready to play in this conference opener, and they'll win it by 2 touchdowns. FAU easy!!!

    FAU 34 MTSU 20

    BOL All!!!

    FREAK OUT!!!
  • Jimmydafreak
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-29-08
    • 324

    #2
    Hope you guys are on it!!!

    FREAK OUT!!!
    Comment
    • atlsportsfan
      SBR Sharp
      • 09-06-08
      • 482

      #3
      You were right on with this pick, this game shouldnt have been close. Turnover after turnover then give up a hailmary. Not your fault, Id take the same bet again.
      Comment
      • LINE-crush-ER
        SBR MVP
        • 01-04-08
        • 1445

        #4
        1 point looks like 50 in the books
        Comment
        • Jimmydafreak
          SBR Sharp
          • 08-29-08
          • 324

          #5
          Originally posted by LINE-crush-ER
          1 point looks like 50 in the books
          Yeah, I acutally bet 3k @ +2 and 3k on the ML so I got middled with a friggin' Hail Mary. Although I didn't win any monry, it's still about a 7k swing in bank, so that's still a bit hard to swallow.

          Hope you were on the winning side Crusher!!!

          FREAK OUT!!!
          Comment
          • Jimmydafreak
            SBR Sharp
            • 08-29-08
            • 324

            #6
            These are small plays for me tonight. Accordingly, l made 2 small parlay plays tonight. A 2-teamer and a 3-teamer. The 2-teamer is:

            Pitt Panthers +7.5 (1st Half) (Great Value)
            Memphis @ UAB (Under 29 1st Half)

            The 3-teamer is all of tonights dogs:

            Pitt Panthers +14
            UAB +3.5
            Oregon State +11.5

            BOL All!!!

            FREAK OUT!!!
            Comment
            • Jimmydafreak
              SBR Sharp
              • 08-29-08
              • 324

              #7
              Originally posted by atlsportsfan
              You were right on with this pick, this game shouldnt have been close. Turnover after turnover then give up a hailmary. Not your fault, Id take the same bet again.
              Well, FAU played not to lose in the 2nd half, and what usually happens when a team does that? They usually lose!!! Let's face it, FAU deserved to lose for their ultra conservative offensive game plan in the second half.

              FREAK OUT!!!
              Comment
              • Jimmydafreak
                SBR Sharp
                • 08-29-08
                • 324

                #8
                Pretty good night guys!!!



                Dang I wish I would have hit that UNDER 29 1st Half. Memphis/UAB scored 36 in the first half and 27 in the 2nd. It should have been the other way around and it would have been a 5 & 0 night!!!

                FREAK OUT!!!
                Comment
                • pags11
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-18-05
                  • 12264

                  #9
                  good job tonight freak...keep up the good work this week...
                  Comment
                  • xyzky
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-23-07
                    • 1577

                    #10
                    I dont know what it is, but, I sure do love the dogs on Thur. nights!! Great job Freak, I was only on Pitt and OrSt.
                    Comment
                    • Jimmydafreak
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 08-29-08
                      • 324

                      #11
                      Originally posted by xyzky
                      I dont know what it is, but, I sure do love the dogs on Thur. nights!! Great job Freak, I was only on Pitt and OrSt.
                      Hey, hard not to huh? Having said that, I didn't just close my eyes and pick all dogs, I had solid reasoning for all of them. My favorite was Pitt. The team with the better defense was getting 2 touchdowns.

                      UAB has dominated the series with Memphis (won and covered 7 of the last 8 in the series before last night) and UAB was getting points at home on a Thusday night. What's not to like?

                      I never understood the OSU/Utah line. I saw absolutely nothing from either team that would justify a Mountain West team giving 12 points to a PAC 10 team. Has that ever happened before? I thought from the moment that line came out it should have been more like Utah -6.5. I was questioning myself thinking I was missing something.

                      Hope you had a good night!!!

                      FREAK OUT!!!
                      Comment
                      • themajormt
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-30-08
                        • 3964

                        #12
                        I said the same thing in my post... I thought Utah shouldve been -7 at the MOST...

                        Glad you had a good night, went 4-2 myself but took USF which was one of my worst picks in awhile...
                        Comment
                        • Jimmydafreak
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 08-29-08
                          • 324

                          #13
                          Originally posted by themajormt
                          I said the same thing in my post... I thought Utah shouldve been -7 at the MOST...

                          Glad you had a good night, went 4-2 myself but took USF which was one of my worst picks in awhile...
                          I don't necessarily think USF was a terrible play because the Bulls have been very at home in conference play. Part of that is that all the other teams are in the northeast, so it's a pretty hefty trip to Tampa. I typically like USF at home and would have last night had the line been set a little closer to reality. If it were 6.5, I probably would been on USF, and would have lost my money. Thanks Vegas!!!

                          BOL!!!

                          FREAK OUT!!!
                          Comment
                          • Jimmydafreak
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 08-29-08
                            • 324

                            #14
                            Originally posted by pags11
                            good job tonight freak...keep up the good work this week...
                            Thanks as always Pags!!! I couldn't do it without you!!!

                            FREAK OUT!!!
                            Comment
                            • Jimmydafreak
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 08-29-08
                              • 324

                              #15
                              Tonight I think that Utah State will be able to score into 20s at home tonight, and I think that'll be good enough to cover the number, and good enough to push the number over 59.

                              Utah State +28.5 versus BYU

                              Utah State/BYU OVER 59

                              BOL to all!!!

                              FREAK OUT!!!
                              Comment
                              • M.W.
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-07-08
                                • 1668

                                #16
                                Pitt Panthers +14
                                UAB +3.5
                                Oregon State +11.5
                                Ha - nice Thursday! That Pitt game looked like it was gonna be a Wannstedt Special with that blocked punt, but what a quick turnaround with the long pass play. Never in doubt after that. Oregon State was clearly the right side as well.

                                Hope USU comes through for us tonight. Good luck.
                                Comment
                                • pags11
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-18-05
                                  • 12264

                                  #17
                                  freak,

                                  good luck tomorrow my friend...
                                  Comment
                                  • Jimmydafreak
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 08-29-08
                                    • 324

                                    #18
                                    SATURDAY PLAYS

                                    Early Games

                                    Iowa +7 (Bought 1/2) @ Michigan State (Best Bet)

                                    Georgia Tech -13.5 versus Duke

                                    Iowa State +11.5 versus Kansas

                                    Mid-Day Games

                                    Arizona State +8.5 @ California

                                    Stanford +7 (Bought 1/2) @ Notre Dame

                                    Alabama -15.5 versus Kentucky

                                    Night Games

                                    Tennessee -16 versus Northern Illinois (Best Bet)

                                    Oklahoma State -25.5 versus Texas Tech

                                    Tulsa -16 versus Rice

                                    Several people have asked me to post my 3-team parlay of the week, so here it is

                                    Iowa +7 (Bought 1/2)

                                    Tennessee -16

                                    Tulsa -16

                                    to all!!!

                                    FREAK OUT!!!
                                    Comment
                                    • Jimmydafreak
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 08-29-08
                                      • 324

                                      #19
                                      That's suppose to say:

                                      Oklahoma State -25.5 vesus Texas A&M

                                      NOT Texas Tech!!! Y'all know what I mean!!!



                                      FREAK OUT!!!
                                      Comment
                                      • Marigold HD
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-03-07
                                        • 5053

                                        #20
                                        I like your picks......esp. Tennessee
                                        Comment
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