Sat. 9/6 Value Plays--potential Upsets?

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • sweetpete57@
    SBR MVP
    • 11-09-06
    • 1116

    #1
    Sat. 9/6 Value Plays--potential Upsets?
    What do you guys think about these 'Dogs this week?

    BUFFALO +13 @ PITT
    I'm sure Pitt will rebound from last week a bit, but Buffalo is actually really good this year. I think this may be too many points.

    GA. TECH +7 @ B. COLLEGE
    I'm no treading much into BC's win last week, as Kent is simply awful. GA Tech is nothing special, but I just don't see BC blowing them out.

    TEMPLE +7 vs. UCONN
    Where's the love for Temple? This game was STOLEN from them last year! They're ready for this game. Plus, this could be their best season in decades. UConn was so overrated last year, and is projected to be near the bottom of the Big east this year. I think Temple wins outright. I'm getting in now while it's still +7.

    UL-MONROE +13 @ ARKANSAS
    ULM is much improved this year and Arkansas barely beat W. Illinois last week. LY ULM won @ Alabama! Arkansas will probably finish last in the SEC West. I think ULM could win outright


    Feel free to share your thoughts....
    Last edited by sweetpete57@; 09-03-08, 03:34 PM. Reason: add on
    "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
  • LINE-crush-ER
    SBR MVP
    • 01-04-08
    • 1445

    #2
    man your opinion is valued
    ul monroe is on a downfall
    arkansas plays terrible out of conference so did petrino what ever his name is louisville old coach ,arkansas has what you call a crowd pleaser game
    they will play the best the entire game this want be close
    ul monroe played auburn last week , not only did they get it handed to them but they are soar , that just happens when you play sec teams it take two weeks to get over it . bad bet on that one , sorry to tell you , no depth cant handle two sec teams back to back , hope i talked you out of this one and for whats it worth i disgree with georgia tech game also , boston college keeps ten point on tech the whole game , so no upset here , but can tech back door for the spread victory ?????
    Comment
    • teaserpleaser
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-14-08
      • 26016

      #3
      you know how i feel about Pitt ... im with you but i hate betting on MAC teams out of conf. If that line rises to +14 i have to take it. at 5 dimes it sitting at 13.5 right now. might just buy the .5
      Comment
      • manny24
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-22-07
        • 20046

        #4
        i like all three of these plays but i won't bet against uconn only because i think edsall is a really good coach (very strategic and manages the game clock/ play calling nicely) and it can make a difference in a game like this.
        Comment
        • sweetpete57@
          SBR MVP
          • 11-09-06
          • 1116

          #5
          Linecrusher---I did a little research into Ga Tech, and yeah, they probably won't be good enough to compete through 4 quarters. I always underestimate BC, anyway. That Va Tech game killed me last year. I still think ULM hangs tough. I really think Arkansas is going to be awful this year, and even a weak opponent like ULM will hang around. We'll see.
          "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
          Comment
          • Boy Jeenyus
            SBR High Roller
            • 08-29-08
            • 159

            #6
            Buffalo & Temple both made my short list for this weekend, but I probably won't pull the trigger on them.

            Right now I have only three games that I like and Arkansas is one of them. I don't know if it was Petrino trying to implement his passing schemes too rapidly, West Ill leading in the second half, or two true frosh rb's getting all of the carries, but Arky got outrushed 2/1 in their opener.

            With the talent they have returning on offense, Petrino should be able to figure out how to fix things in time to be ready for ULM. Their O-line returns four starters that blocked for two 1,000 yd rushers last season, including a first team All American center that won the Rimington Award. Their freshman rb Curtis is a stud. He ran for 36 yds on 6 carries last game and he should be on his way to establishing himself as their primary ball carrier.

            Meanwhile ULM gave up 7 yds/carry against Auburn while getting shut out themselves. The Hogs should be able to grind it out on the ground at will. Their QB did throw for 300 yds against the FCS team and even if Petrino wants to pass a bunch Saturday, he should be able to repeat it with a dominating ground game on his side.

            The new coach probably feels he has something to prove at home Saturday after an unimpressive opener. A quick look back at his Louisville days show that he's not bashful about running up a big score when he's got an advantage. Arky's close score last week has caused the line to be lower than it should (only 12' last time I checked) and I think there is value to laying less than 2 tds.

            My two cents.
            Last edited by Boy Jeenyus; 09-03-08, 07:29 PM.
            Comment
            • manny24
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-22-07
              • 20046

              #7
              i watched georgia tech play at home against virginia tech last year. i honestly felt like they were no better than most jv high school squads. i mean pathetic at every position and i can't believe they are that much better this year. for that reason only i would not ride with them even against a depleted b.c. team.
              absolutely loving buffalo!
              Comment
              • manny24
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-22-07
                • 20046

                #8
                was just going over a few things and now i'm not feeling so good about buffalo. i think they are for real this year but not this week. i don't necessarily believe in the "bounceback" effect but something tells me pitt. is going to cover this one. as you were
                Comment
                • LINE-crush-ER
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-04-08
                  • 1445

                  #9
                  im not saying ive changed my mind , about ul monroe , still think arkansas will do what they can to run up hte score to please the crowd after last week performance
                  . for for the benefit of my favorism towards the sec league , i wil most likely scratch this one hope you made me /saved me money
                  Comment
                  • nysmoneyman
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-13-08
                    • 3101

                    #10
                    ga tech new offense is going to drive boston college nuts

                    will tease them up to +20.5
                    Comment
                    • xyzky
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-23-07
                      • 1577

                      #11
                      Well I have already hit Vandy on a whim, sitting on Buffalo and Stanford..
                      Comment
                      • picantel
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-17-05
                        • 4338

                        #12
                        Temple has covered ATS against conn the last 4 games. I am taking the points for sure.
                        Comment
                        • xyzky
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-23-07
                          • 1577

                          #13
                          Hey, couldnt get the good number here, does that mean I still have to bet it??
                          Comment
                          • frostno98
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-11-07
                            • 9769

                            #14
                            I definitely like Buffalo +13.5. The other hidden one might be UAB +13 at FAU. Florida Atlantic shouldn't be favored by no more than -7 against anyone.
                            Comment
                            • teaserpleaser
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 08-14-08
                              • 26016

                              #15
                              Your going to laugh... But Washington Huskies (Jake Locker is a stud but lacks accuracy in his passing game) VS. BYU... Washington leads the series 4-2 with the home team winning 5-6, Washington is 17-8 vs MWC. The Huskies are always tough at home (Im waiting on Washington's Team total should be about 24 ish all on that.) (BYU has lost 6 straight road openers!!)
                              Comment
                              • sweetpete57@
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-09-06
                                • 1116

                                #16
                                Im liking Washington, too. They play tough enough at home I think to keep it close. I'll probably make a small play
                                "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
                                Comment
                                • Boy Jeenyus
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 08-29-08
                                  • 159

                                  #17
                                  Man, you were right on with these four-even Arkansas. Great job.
                                  Comment
                                  • sweetpete57@
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-09-06
                                    • 1116

                                    #18
                                    thanks--I hope we all cashed in on some of these
                                    "You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
                                    Comment
                                    SBR Contests
                                    Collapse
                                    Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                    Collapse
                                    Working...