Bama/LSU the real question ? ? ? ? ?

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  • Ch Br
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-06-11
    • 425

    #1
    Bama/LSU the real question ? ? ? ? ?
    Is it just me or everyone betting on the play of the last meeting between these two only??

    ALL the media does is say Bama dominated the O-Line but couldnt convert FG's.....

    If this is true where where were the TD's.....

    Now suddenly the top two defenses are supposed to give up a cumulative 40pts???? and everyone is looking at the over like its a gimme....

    call it LAST-BOWL-GAME-MANIA but I think Vegas simply auto inflated the line by ~7-8 pts to rake in money for the over, and that was when it started at 40...... so now@ 41.5 its practically 9, almost 10 pts over where it should be

    IMO the real line is closer to 3 and 3-4 fg's.... which would put it 30 lowest and 34 highest

    I currently dont have a fav side..... but when i look at it statistically this is the case:

    ________________________________________ __________

    LSU_____37 sacks, 18int, 3 tds on D ___ 16fg [3/4 over 40] & 62/63 xpts

    [of the 56 offense tds, 35 are rushing with 4 players having 7 or 8tds, Ware, Ford, Blue and Hilliard]

    Bama___26 sacks, 12 int, 3 tds on D allowed ___ 16fg [0/2 over 40] & 52/53 xpts

    [of the 49 offense tds, Richardson has 23.... so in essence stop him stop half the pts]


    ________________________________________ __________

    Translation: both teams are gonna attack primarily on the ground, because that is WHAT THEY KNOW and gonna chew up clock.... aka UNDER

    anyone agree with this any of this??? or u all caught up in the media scorefest ????
  • mikeewyn
    SBR Hustler
    • 12-08-11
    • 74

    #2
    agree
    Comment
    • letsgo
      SBR MVP
      • 03-27-10
      • 2204

      #3
      I just watched ESPN for 3 hours and most people think it is going under, where are you hearing a media scorefest? Plus, I think 65% of bets are coming in on the under.
      Comment
      • Ch Br
        SBR Sharp
        • 12-06-11
        • 425

        #4
        Originally posted by letsgo
        I just watched ESPN for 3 hours and most people think it is going under, where are you hearing a media scorefest? Plus, I think 65% of bets are coming in on the under.
        the line keeps going up and up and up ...... it takes a LOT of WEIGHT to move a line of this magnitude 1/2 a point

        plus many 'expert' cappers are saying OVER with the farm lol
        Comment
        • Mikail
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 07-19-09
          • 21689

          #5
          I think we will see defensive TD's tonight.
          Comment
          • mikea33
            SBR MVP
            • 11-14-11
            • 2149

            #6
            I am defiently leaning under....but all line movement makes it seem the sharps are on the over which worries me. they lose sometimes too. I think 1H over might be the play
            Comment
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