Like the Bobcats to cover in this crooked league's championship game -- maybe even win SU.
Why? Because they shouldn't.
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#2
Also like South Florida this week, and a Virginia Tech/Wisconsin ML or tease play. That's about it.
Comment
sandman0713
SBR MVP
09-10-11
2036
#3
Originally posted by No coincidences
Also like South Florida this week, and a Virginia Tech/Wisconsin ML or tease play. That's about it.
i would worry about wisconsin if anyone. seems that is the one play everyone is completely certain on...i can only imagine how many parlays would be blown up if that ml doesn't come in. spartans ml may be worth a shot. outside of wind or wet weather, no chance i am betting on ohio. been sticking to the mac totals and doing well.
Comment
Cobra07751
SBR Wise Guy
11-19-10
777
#4
Didn't Northern Ill get upset last year in the MAC Championship game? They were like 3 TD favorites if I remember right.
Comment
PAULYPOKER
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-06-08
36581
#5
Originally posted by Cobra07751
Didn't Northern Ill get upset last year in the MAC Championship game? They were like 3 TD favorites if I remember right.
Yep lost to Miami Oh 26-21,line opened@-14.5 and closed at -19.5.............
Comment
Night-Tripper
SBR MVP
12-14-09
3205
#6
Originally posted by Cobra07751
Didn't Northern Ill get upset last year in the MAC Championship game? They were like 3 TD favorites if I remember right.
Yeah... and I lost a shytload of money because of it.
Comment
SportGTI
SBR MVP
04-05-11
1486
#7
I think Ohio is a live dog in the MAC championship game. I think N. Illinois is down from last year and even last year they tripped up in the MAC championship game. And like you put it NoCoin, it's the MAC, why the hell not. BOL to you this week
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#8
Originally posted by SportGTI
I think Ohio is a live dog in the MAC championship game. I think N. Illinois is down from last year and even last year they tripped up in the MAC championship game. And like you put it NoCoin, it's the MAC, why the hell not. BOL to you this week
Solich is a pretty solid coach. I wouldn't be surprised at all if Ohio won this one.
Comment
JT OZ
SBR MVP
08-16-10
2076
#9
Originally posted by sandman0713
i would worry about wisconsin if anyone. seems that is the one play everyone is completely certain on...i can only imagine how many parlays would be blown up if that ml doesn't come in. spartans ml may be worth a shot. outside of wind or wet weather, no chance i am betting on ohio. been sticking to the mac totals and doing well.
Isn't the MAC Title usually in Detroit making weather a non-issue, probably going with the over in this one but the MAC is a tricky proposition outside of those late-season score-a-thons.
Comment
sandman0713
SBR MVP
09-10-11
2036
#10
Originally posted by JT OZ
Isn't the MAC Title usually in Detroit making weather a non-issue, probably going with the over in this one but the MAC is a tricky proposition outside of those late-season score-a-thons.
had no idea man...have never even watched it...lol.
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#11
I don't know how eager I am to bet against Harnisch and the senior-laden team that's being given a second chance at the MAC Title after last year's disappointment. I actually like NIU here to win the game and think the line implies that the game will be closer than the outcome will actually be.
Comment
Xstream
SBR Wise Guy
06-28-11
963
#12
No significant key player injuries.
Offensive output fairly even;(36.0/38.2)ppg road .
Defensive PPG allowed favors Ohio in this game (NIU 41.5)ppg.
Note: If Ohio can contain Harnish's mobility outside the poket they will win this battle. His ability to break lose and run is the only reason they won last week (77 yards) as was the case in prior games.
Typical mac coin toss game.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#13
I think the best thing to do with this game is tease Ohio and the over.
The total is getting too high and if you didn't get Ohio at +4, you might have missed out.
Comment
thetrinity
SBR Posting Legend
01-25-11
22431
#14
this game is in detroit, at ford field, no wind, weather nothing. ohio if i had to play this one.
Comment
PAULYPOKER
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-06-08
36581
#15
I have Ohio capped at -3..........
Ohio is the slightly better team........
Only thing crooked is the line...........
Ohio's better overall defense will be the difference in this game..........
As far as the over/under goes I have it capped at 62.5....................WTF!
I despise totals but I would clearly play the under if I were to make a play on this............
Bottom line: Ohio ML is the best play.............
Comment
BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#16
OU, 39-36 or thereabouts. BOL, NC.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#17
Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
I have Ohio capped at -3..........
Ohio is the slightly better team........
Only thing crooked is the line...........
Ohio's better overall defense will be the difference in this game..........
As far as the over/under goes I have it capped at 62.5....................WTF!
I despise totals but I would clearly play the under if I were to make a play on this............
Bottom line: Ohio ML is the best play.............
See, I think the opposite direction. If I have a number capped much lower than what the books post, I play the over. Oddsmakers are smarter than me -- they know what's up. I think the number is high to lure people into taking the under, when in fact it will land right in the low-70's.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#18
Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
OU, 39-36 or thereabouts. BOL, NC.
Couldn't agree more.
Comment
Donnie Brasco
SBR Wise Guy
01-04-11
862
#19
Dont tell anybody, but i totally agree with pauly poker. Just joking pauly. I had this game right on his number of ohio -3/66. I posted it in lta's thread as a possible large play on ohio at -4. I missed 4, waiting and being greedy thinking pubes would push the line niu's direction. I am def leaning under the 71-71.5 range as i think ohio's def is underrated. I am seeing this one being a 35-31 kind of affair with ohio su. Lta scared me off a bit but if i see 4 again i am pounding ohio. Good luck boys, even u pauly!
Comment
gwills
SBR Wise Guy
10-22-11
948
#20
Am thinking under....
Comment
Mr Handicapable
SBR Hall of Famer
09-23-07
6067
#21
NI only won 1 road game out of 5 by more than a field goal. Ohio played alot of close ones too and has the better defense. I'm on Ohio +3.5 and a little on +145
Comment
daviddaman2
SBR Sharp
02-28-11
320
#22
tough to go against Harnish here... tonight's a chance for him to do what he couldn't do last year... win the MAC title.
Comment
Mr Handicapable
SBR Hall of Famer
09-23-07
6067
#23
Originally posted by daviddaman2
tough to go against Harnish here... tonight's a chance for him to do what he couldn't do last year... win the MAC title.
Ohio is hungry too....3rd time in the MAC Championship without winning & nobody wants to be the college Buffalo Bills.
I like Ohio +3.5 or 4 whatever I can get plus some ML too
A. NI only won 1 of 6 road games by more than a field goal. I played against them a few weeks ago with Ball State getting 16.5 and won easily 38-41.
B. Ohio has played better imo. They beat a good 8-4 Temple team (521 total yards) and hung with 8-4 Rutgers on the road (404 yds to 410 but -2 turnovers).
C. NI is much more 1 dimensional and Solich can coach defense. 22 ppg allowed is pretty damn good for the MAC where track meets break out every weekend.
Comment
face
SBR Posting Legend
01-31-11
14740
#24
indian cowboy is on ohio
Comment
Donnie Brasco
SBR Wise Guy
01-04-11
862
#25
I am locked:
Ohio +3.5 2x
Ohio ML 0.5 x
Under 72 1x
Good luck guys!
Comment
Night-Tripper
SBR MVP
12-14-09
3205
#26
Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
I have Ohio capped at -3..........
Ohio is the slightly better team........
Only thing crooked is the line...........
Ohio's better overall defense will be the difference in this game..........
As far as the over/under goes I have it capped at 62.5....................WTF!
I despise totals but I would clearly play the under if I were to make a play on this............
Bottom line: Ohio ML is the best play.............
Same/same... played Ohio +3 for three bucks last night with another buck on the moneyline @ +145. I'm hoping that the NIU money will pour in before kickoff to sweeten the moneyline. If that happens, I intend to balance out both bets.
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#27
This game reminds me of the Houston-Tulsa game. So many conventional reasons to like the small dog, but they're all wrong here. A short line in a game that, IMO, won't be close. I still think NIU wins this game.
Comment
Mr Handicapable
SBR Hall of Famer
09-23-07
6067
#28
I played a sweetheart teaser on Bodog @ +140
Ohio +10.5
Under 80
Michigan State +17
They call them teasers for a reason but I really really love these!!
Comment
Love The Action
SBR Posting Legend
11-08-10
10952
#29
Originally posted by Mr Handicapable
A. NI only won 1 of 6 road games by more than a field goal. I played against them a few weeks ago with Ball State getting 16.5 and won easily 38-41.
Irrelevent because this is not a road game. This is a neutral site game where the crowd will not a one-sided crowd in favor of Ohio. NIU travels quite well, especially where Detroit is only about a 3 hour ride by car from the NIU campus. It's a much longer drive for Ohio fans. Therefore, I would argue you might see a more favorable NIU crowd tonight.
B. Ohio has played better imo. They beat a good 8-4 Temple team (521 total yards) and hung with 8-4 Rutgers on the road (404 yds to 410 but -2 turnovers).
I would disagree. Look at common opponents. Ohio lost to Ball State and Buffalo, while NIU beat both of those teams.
C. NI is much more 1 dimensional and Solich can coach defense. 22 ppg allowed is pretty damn good for the MAC where track meets break out every weekend.
You mention the Temple game above. If you remember, this same Ohio defense gave up 31 points Temple and their snails-pace offense. What do you think the dangerous and fast-paced Huskies will do to this defense on the fast track indoor Ford Field turf?
I disagree with all of your points. NIU and over for me. Good luck sir
Comment
AceKingHigh
SBR MVP
10-23-09
3888
#30
NI -3.5 1X ! Good luck fellas !
Comment
thebestthereis
SBR Posting Legend
03-01-09
11459
#31
Lang is on Ohio if u have them I am sorry
Comment
Donnie Brasco
SBR Wise Guy
01-04-11
862
#32
Boom!
Comment
hydrosmak
SBR MVP
10-13-11
1908
#33
Originally posted by thebestthereis
Lang is on Ohio if u have them I am sorry
So is Indian Cowboy so hopefully that negates Lang.
Comment
ebelisle22
SBR MVP
10-27-11
4726
#34
Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
I have Ohio capped at -3..........
Ohio is the slightly better team........
Only thing crooked is the line...........
Ohio's better overall defense will be the difference in this game..........
As far as the over/under goes I have it capped at 62.5....................WTF!
I despise totals but I would clearly play the under if I were to make a play on this............
Bottom line: Ohio ML is the best play.............
Comment
PAULYPOKER
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-06-08
36581
#35
Originally posted by ebelisle22
You are clinically retarded, I have no doubt in this assumption....................