MAC championship: Ohio +4 vs. NIU

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    MAC championship: Ohio +4 vs. NIU
    Like the Bobcats to cover in this crooked league's championship game -- maybe even win SU.

    Why? Because they shouldn't.

  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #2
    Also like South Florida this week, and a Virginia Tech/Wisconsin ML or tease play. That's about it.
    Comment
    • sandman0713
      SBR MVP
      • 09-10-11
      • 2036

      #3
      Originally posted by No coincidences
      Also like South Florida this week, and a Virginia Tech/Wisconsin ML or tease play. That's about it.
      i would worry about wisconsin if anyone. seems that is the one play everyone is completely certain on...i can only imagine how many parlays would be blown up if that ml doesn't come in. spartans ml may be worth a shot. outside of wind or wet weather, no chance i am betting on ohio. been sticking to the mac totals and doing well.
      Comment
      • Cobra07751
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-19-10
        • 777

        #4
        Didn't Northern Ill get upset last year in the MAC Championship game? They were like 3 TD favorites if I remember right.
        Comment
        • PAULYPOKER
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-06-08
          • 36581

          #5
          Originally posted by Cobra07751
          Didn't Northern Ill get upset last year in the MAC Championship game? They were like 3 TD favorites if I remember right.
          Yep lost to Miami Oh 26-21,line opened@-14.5 and closed at -19.5.............
          Comment
          • Night-Tripper
            SBR MVP
            • 12-14-09
            • 3205

            #6
            Originally posted by Cobra07751
            Didn't Northern Ill get upset last year in the MAC Championship game? They were like 3 TD favorites if I remember right.
            Yeah... and I lost a shytload of money because of it.
            Comment
            • SportGTI
              SBR MVP
              • 04-05-11
              • 1486

              #7
              I think Ohio is a live dog in the MAC championship game. I think N. Illinois is down from last year and even last year they tripped up in the MAC championship game. And like you put it NoCoin, it's the MAC, why the hell not. BOL to you this week
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #8
                Originally posted by SportGTI
                I think Ohio is a live dog in the MAC championship game. I think N. Illinois is down from last year and even last year they tripped up in the MAC championship game. And like you put it NoCoin, it's the MAC, why the hell not. BOL to you this week


                Solich is a pretty solid coach. I wouldn't be surprised at all if Ohio won this one.
                Comment
                • JT OZ
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-16-10
                  • 2076

                  #9
                  Originally posted by sandman0713
                  i would worry about wisconsin if anyone. seems that is the one play everyone is completely certain on...i can only imagine how many parlays would be blown up if that ml doesn't come in. spartans ml may be worth a shot. outside of wind or wet weather, no chance i am betting on ohio. been sticking to the mac totals and doing well.
                  Isn't the MAC Title usually in Detroit making weather a non-issue, probably going with the over in this one but the MAC is a tricky proposition outside of those late-season score-a-thons.
                  Comment
                  • sandman0713
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-10-11
                    • 2036

                    #10
                    Originally posted by JT OZ
                    Isn't the MAC Title usually in Detroit making weather a non-issue, probably going with the over in this one but the MAC is a tricky proposition outside of those late-season score-a-thons.
                    had no idea man...have never even watched it...lol.
                    Comment
                    • suicidekings
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 03-23-09
                      • 9962

                      #11
                      I don't know how eager I am to bet against Harnisch and the senior-laden team that's being given a second chance at the MAC Title after last year's disappointment. I actually like NIU here to win the game and think the line implies that the game will be closer than the outcome will actually be.
                      Comment
                      • Xstream
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 06-28-11
                        • 963

                        #12
                        No significant key player injuries.
                        Offensive output fairly even;(36.0/38.2)ppg road .
                        Defensive PPG allowed favors Ohio in this game (NIU 41.5)ppg.

                        Note: If Ohio can contain Harnish's mobility outside the poket they will win this battle. His ability to break lose and run is the only reason they won last week (77 yards) as was the case in prior games.

                        Typical mac coin toss game.
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          I think the best thing to do with this game is tease Ohio and the over.

                          The total is getting too high and if you didn't get Ohio at +4, you might have missed out.
                          Comment
                          • thetrinity
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-25-11
                            • 22431

                            #14
                            this game is in detroit, at ford field, no wind, weather nothing. ohio if i had to play this one.
                            Comment
                            • PAULYPOKER
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 12-06-08
                              • 36581

                              #15
                              I have Ohio capped at -3..........

                              Ohio is the slightly better team........

                              Only thing crooked is the line...........

                              Ohio's better overall defense will be the difference in this game..........

                              As far as the over/under goes I have it capped at 62.5....................WTF!

                              I despise totals but I would clearly play the under if I were to make a play on this............

                              Bottom line: Ohio ML is the best play.............
                              Comment
                              • BiffTFinancial
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-29-09
                                • 22670

                                #16
                                OU, 39-36 or thereabouts. BOL, NC.
                                Comment
                                • No coincidences
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-18-10
                                  • 76300

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                                  I have Ohio capped at -3..........

                                  Ohio is the slightly better team........

                                  Only thing crooked is the line...........

                                  Ohio's better overall defense will be the difference in this game..........

                                  As far as the over/under goes I have it capped at 62.5....................WTF!

                                  I despise totals but I would clearly play the under if I were to make a play on this............


                                  Bottom line: Ohio ML is the best play.............
                                  See, I think the opposite direction. If I have a number capped much lower than what the books post, I play the over. Oddsmakers are smarter than me -- they know what's up. I think the number is high to lure people into taking the under, when in fact it will land right in the low-70's.
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                    OU, 39-36 or thereabouts. BOL, NC.
                                    Couldn't agree more.

                                    Comment
                                    • Donnie Brasco
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-04-11
                                      • 862

                                      #19
                                      Dont tell anybody, but i totally agree with pauly poker. Just joking pauly. I had this game right on his number of ohio -3/66. I posted it in lta's thread as a possible large play on ohio at -4. I missed 4, waiting and being greedy thinking pubes would push the line niu's direction. I am def leaning under the 71-71.5 range as i think ohio's def is underrated. I am seeing this one being a 35-31 kind of affair with ohio su. Lta scared me off a bit but if i see 4 again i am pounding ohio. Good luck boys, even u pauly!
                                      Comment
                                      • gwills
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 10-22-11
                                        • 948

                                        #20
                                        Am thinking under....
                                        Comment
                                        • Mr Handicapable
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-23-07
                                          • 6067

                                          #21
                                          NI only won 1 road game out of 5 by more than a field goal. Ohio played alot of close ones too and has the better defense. I'm on Ohio +3.5 and a little on +145
                                          Comment
                                          • daviddaman2
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 02-28-11
                                            • 320

                                            #22
                                            tough to go against Harnish here... tonight's a chance for him to do what he couldn't do last year... win the MAC title.
                                            Comment
                                            • Mr Handicapable
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-23-07
                                              • 6067

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by daviddaman2
                                              tough to go against Harnish here... tonight's a chance for him to do what he couldn't do last year... win the MAC title.
                                              Ohio is hungry too....3rd time in the MAC Championship without winning & nobody wants to be the college Buffalo Bills.

                                              I like Ohio +3.5 or 4 whatever I can get plus some ML too

                                              A. NI only won 1 of 6 road games by more than a field goal. I played against them a few weeks ago with Ball State getting 16.5 and won easily 38-41.

                                              B. Ohio has played better imo. They beat a good 8-4 Temple team (521 total yards) and hung with 8-4 Rutgers on the road (404 yds to 410 but -2 turnovers).

                                              C. NI is much more 1 dimensional and Solich can coach defense. 22 ppg allowed is pretty damn good for the MAC where track meets break out every weekend.
                                              Comment
                                              • face
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-31-11
                                                • 14740

                                                #24
                                                indian cowboy is on ohio
                                                Comment
                                                • Donnie Brasco
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 01-04-11
                                                  • 862

                                                  #25
                                                  I am locked:
                                                  Ohio +3.5 2x
                                                  Ohio ML 0.5 x
                                                  Under 72 1x
                                                  Good luck guys!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Night-Tripper
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-14-09
                                                    • 3205

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                                                    I have Ohio capped at -3..........

                                                    Ohio is the slightly better team........

                                                    Only thing crooked is the line...........

                                                    Ohio's better overall defense will be the difference in this game..........

                                                    As far as the over/under goes I have it capped at 62.5....................WTF!

                                                    I despise totals but I would clearly play the under if I were to make a play on this............

                                                    Bottom line: Ohio ML is the best play.............
                                                    Same/same... played Ohio +3 for three bucks last night with another buck on the moneyline @ +145. I'm hoping that the NIU money will pour in before kickoff to sweeten the moneyline. If that happens, I intend to balance out both bets.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • suicidekings
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 03-23-09
                                                      • 9962

                                                      #27
                                                      This game reminds me of the Houston-Tulsa game. So many conventional reasons to like the small dog, but they're all wrong here. A short line in a game that, IMO, won't be close. I still think NIU wins this game.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Mr Handicapable
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 09-23-07
                                                        • 6067

                                                        #28
                                                        I played a sweetheart teaser on Bodog @ +140

                                                        Ohio +10.5
                                                        Under 80
                                                        Michigan State +17

                                                        They call them teasers for a reason but I really really love these!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Love The Action
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-08-10
                                                          • 10952

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Mr Handicapable

                                                          A. NI only won 1 of 6 road games by more than a field goal. I played against them a few weeks ago with Ball State getting 16.5 and won easily 38-41.
                                                          Irrelevent because this is not a road game. This is a neutral site game where the crowd will not a one-sided crowd in favor of Ohio. NIU travels quite well, especially where Detroit is only about a 3 hour ride by car from the NIU campus. It's a much longer drive for Ohio fans. Therefore, I would argue you might see a more favorable NIU crowd tonight.

                                                          B. Ohio has played better imo. They beat a good 8-4 Temple team (521 total yards) and hung with 8-4 Rutgers on the road (404 yds to 410 but -2 turnovers).
                                                          I would disagree. Look at common opponents. Ohio lost to Ball State and Buffalo, while NIU beat both of those teams.

                                                          C. NI is much more 1 dimensional and Solich can coach defense. 22 ppg allowed is pretty damn good for the MAC where track meets break out every weekend.
                                                          You mention the Temple game above. If you remember, this same Ohio defense gave up 31 points Temple and their snails-pace offense. What do you think the dangerous and fast-paced Huskies will do to this defense on the fast track indoor Ford Field turf?

                                                          I disagree with all of your points. NIU and over for me. Good luck sir
                                                          Comment
                                                          • AceKingHigh
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-23-09
                                                            • 3888

                                                            #30
                                                            NI -3.5 1X ! Good luck fellas !
                                                            Comment
                                                            • thebestthereis
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-01-09
                                                              • 11459

                                                              #31
                                                              Lang is on Ohio if u have them I am sorry
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Donnie Brasco
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 01-04-11
                                                                • 862

                                                                #32
                                                                Boom!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • hydrosmak
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-13-11
                                                                  • 1908

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by thebestthereis
                                                                  Lang is on Ohio if u have them I am sorry
                                                                  So is Indian Cowboy so hopefully that negates Lang.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ebelisle22
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-27-11
                                                                    • 4726

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                                                                    I have Ohio capped at -3..........

                                                                    Ohio is the slightly better team........

                                                                    Only thing crooked is the line...........

                                                                    Ohio's better overall defense will be the difference in this game..........

                                                                    As far as the over/under goes I have it capped at 62.5....................WTF!

                                                                    I despise totals but I would clearly play the under if I were to make a play on this............

                                                                    Bottom line: Ohio ML is the best play.............
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • PAULYPOKER
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 12-06-08
                                                                      • 36581

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by ebelisle22


                                                                      You are clinically retarded, I have no doubt in this assumption....................
                                                                      Comment
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