VTech/UNC

flocko76 · 11-17-11, 12:26 AM

any particular reason you like the tar heels? extra time to prepare? va tech looked good last week.

ncsubowen · 11-17-11, 11:53 AM

The people who post plays seem to be all over UNC. It's a hard game to play because I think UNC is too unpredictable. I'd look at a VT team total O28.5 if you like the game over.

footballfanstan · 11-17-11, 11:54 AM

Pretty much a dogshit bet to take the over. The total between these two teams almost always goes under.

ncsubowen · 11-17-11, 12:04 PM

covers.com/pageloader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/ncf/matchups/g8_trends_5.html

Covers has some pretty good stats supporting the Under here. That doesn't necessarily mean I support it (I still think the VT Team Total over is a good bet), but at least some food for thought.

ikamoku · 11-17-11, 12:09 PM

I usually bet pure instinct which is what this bet is. I read that both teams need wins and UNC has a chance to be good. Also Vtech and Gtech went over (I think) wen I thought it would go under. Thanks formthe feedback guys cuz the info I get from others usually saves me

ncsubowen · 11-17-11, 12:25 PM

Something that I've had success with are team totals. It negates a lot of the variance you get in game spreads and totals - you can afford to be very 1-dimensional in the stats you look at.

BLACKSHIRTS #1 · 11-17-11, 12:46 PM

tar heels just got shutout by a at best mediocre team in nc state and now they head to blacksburg i wouldnt recomend betting very much on the heels or the over just my opinion bol though

ikamoku · 11-17-11, 08:41 PM

So far so good but should went under maybe?

ncsubowen · 11-18-11, 08:40 AM

Yea, covered the point spread (shows that no game is over in the 3rd quarter, duh) but the over was pretty much dead from the 1q on.