Quality input on KANSAS STATE +9.5 at TEXAS is appreciated!

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  • Urbanwildlife
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-06-11
    • 5958

    #1
    Quality input on KANSAS STATE +9.5 at TEXAS is appreciated!
    Quality input on Kansas State +9.5 at Texas is appreciated!
  • Coach Jake
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-24-11
    • 457

    #2
    Texas' 3 leading rushers are out....best one Whittaker is out for season
    Comment
    • Scuba Gooding Jr
      SBR High Roller
      • 09-18-11
      • 173

      #3
      If you're a trends guy

      Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
      Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
      Wildcats are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
      Wildcats are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
      Wildcats are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog.
      Wildcats are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf.
      Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
      Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
      Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
      Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
      Wildcats are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
      Wildcats are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 conference games
      Comment
      • Scuba Gooding Jr
        SBR High Roller
        • 09-18-11
        • 173

        #4
        Originally posted by Coach Jake
        Texas' 3 leading rushers are out....best one Whittaker is out for season
        Brown and Bergeron are day to day, Whittaker is the only one out for the year.
        Comment
        • Scuba Gooding Jr
          SBR High Roller
          • 09-18-11
          • 173

          #5
          interesting also that this line opened up at Tex -7.5 and immediately went to -9.5 ?
          Comment
          • Givemhell Horns
            SBR Sharp
            • 09-23-09
            • 424

            #6
            Fellas, take the the points. My Horns are banged up bigtime, down to 4th string RB..Shipley still day to day, LB Keenan Robinson out 1st Q against MU along with our starting LT they are questionable. The wildcat was a big part of this offense and that is out the window with Fozzy gone for the year. With a healthy Longhorn team -9 would be spot on but there are way to many injuries at this point for this game not to be closer to a pick'em. The Horns bowl game is where you can bet the house.
            Comment
            • Urbanwildlife
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-06-11
              • 5958

              #7
              38663789-111/14/2011 9:02AMParlay 509.00/2,912.47
              Football - 245 Minnesota Vikings +13 -110 for Game
              Football - 381 Kansas State +10 -120 buying ½ for Game
              Football - 399 Oklahoma -14 -110 for Game
              Comment
              • Givemhell Horns
                SBR Sharp
                • 09-23-09
                • 424

                #8
                Originally posted by Urbanwildlife
                38663789-111/14/2011 9:02AMParlay 509.00/2,912.47
                Football - 245 Minnesota Vikings +13 -110 for Game
                Football - 381 Kansas State +10 -120 buying ½ for Game
                Football - 399 Oklahoma -14 -110 for Game
                not sure about the ou bet, over the years they have been a terrible road team. Would not be surprised at all if Baylor took them to the wire. If not for ou coming off a bye week, Baylor without a doubt would be the play. GL though.
                Comment
                • RenoHightower
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 09-20-11
                  • 225

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Givemhell Horns
                  not sure about the ou bet, over the years they have been a terrible road team. Would not be surprised at all if Baylor took them to the wire. If not for ou coming off a bye week, Baylor without a doubt would be the play. GL though.
                  Coming from a Horn fan.
                  Comment
                  • brahmabull117
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 11-08-10
                    • 8622

                    #10
                    kansas state all the way in this one
                    Comment
                    • Givemhell Horns
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 09-23-09
                      • 424

                      #11
                      Originally posted by RenoHightower
                      Coming from a Horn fan.
                      Scratch that ...take the the team with the Office Max logo and the looney tune fight song played every 4 seconds. GL
                      Comment
                      • rbrown2007
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 10-13-11
                        • 37

                        #12
                        K State will most likely win this one SU, however I would still take the points and run with it before the line starts to move.
                        Comment
                        • TEViN-BRADFORD
                          Restricted User
                          • 01-30-10
                          • 730

                          #13
                          the under looks good
                          Comment
                          • Xstream
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 06-28-11
                            • 963

                            #14
                            Nice spot and line for K-State. Nice thread Urban!
                            Comment
                            • fecgp40
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-01-11
                              • 5750

                              #15
                              Why is K State such a big underdog in this one? I don't get it.
                              Comment
                              • PAULYPOKER
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 12-06-08
                                • 36581

                                #16
                                Texas...............
                                Comment
                                • matt892
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 11-07-11
                                  • 121

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                                  Texas...............
                                  Locked in K-State
                                  Comment
                                  • CBASS
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-22-10
                                    • 2613

                                    #18
                                    Still waiting for the 'quality input' I see....
                                    Comment
                                    • Cobra07751
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-19-10
                                      • 777

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Scuba Gooding Jr
                                      interesting also that this line opened up at Tex -7.5 and immediately went to -9.5 ?
                                      I was looking at my DBS3 (Don Best) screen when the lines first started poping up sunday evening, and it opened with Texas -9. The line has moved to 9.5 now.

                                      The linesmen do not respect K St even though they are like 8-1 ATS.
                                      Comment
                                      • Cobra07751
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-19-10
                                        • 777

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                                        Texas...............
                                        Did you watch Texas play at Missou last week? Both freshman QBs could not hit water let alone a receiver. They are down to their fourth string running back.

                                        The run defense is good but if you cannot score what is the point.

                                        I will ride with the team that has is 8-1 ATS.
                                        Comment
                                        • Urbanwildlife
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-06-11
                                          • 5958

                                          #21
                                          I am having a hard time for some unknown reason putting confidence in Kansas State, but all they do is continue to cover like Cobra07751 pointed out, and that is why I was asking for some quality input on why people feel Texas or Kansas State will cover on this game. It looks very appealing, but ?????
                                          Comment
                                          • rcjiii
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 11-02-11
                                            • 244

                                            #22
                                            Texas stinks. They looked awful against Missouri last week. KSU's biggest weakness is the pass defense. UT's quarterbacks can't throw accurate passes. 9 points is a gift with all of UT's injuries.
                                            Comment
                                            • tcarn01
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-27-09
                                              • 1993

                                              #23
                                              live in Austin. Texas will lose this game SU. They are beaten down. K State will play like it's a bowl game. klein and company will beat this injured team and has tons more heart than any team in the conference....

                                              Kstate ML
                                              Kstate +8.5 for me..
                                              Comment
                                              • weatherhawg
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 10-15-11
                                                • 103

                                                #24
                                                This is the second consecutive "strange" line involving Kansas State in the past two weeks. Looking back at the A&M game last week I see that A&M was poised to go up three scores before an interception and a short field changed the game and allowed KSU to come back. Turnovers and missed opportunities killed the Aggies...

                                                I think Texas' defense will have a say in who wins this game. Just can't bring myself to bet KSU here...
                                                Comment
                                                • csknight3
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 03-19-10
                                                  • 629

                                                  #25
                                                  Im still not convinced of this Kansas St team as much as everyone else but plus 9.5 against Texas is a joke when you look at what KSU has already done. They have beaten Missouri (a team that just convincingly beat Tx), they beat an under accomplished but very talented A&M team, and not to mention they had a shootout against Ok State which they almost won. I have to put my money on K State for this one.

                                                  Texas looked awful last week and if Brown and Bergeron can't go full speed this game, it could be ugly. Even if Texas does win this one which I doubt they will, no way will they win by more than a TD. They just don't have the offensive of power to do it. Only way I see Texas winning is if their D plays amazing. If thats the case then it will be low scoring and Texas might barely get this one but I doubt it.

                                                  Get it while you still can. I think the line has dropped to 8.5. Still a great bet. So is the ML.

                                                  11/19/11 8:00pm College Football 381 Kansas State +290* vs Texas

                                                  11/19/11 8:00pm College Football 381 Kansas State +9½ -110* vs Texas
                                                  Comment
                                                  • bet_that_all
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 11-21-10
                                                    • 298

                                                    #26
                                                    easy money on over
                                                    Comment
                                                    • nj1035
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-19-09
                                                      • 902

                                                      #27
                                                      Opinion coming from a lifelong Texas fan having watched the Big 12 all year -

                                                      At first glance, I would favor KSU by -1 or -2. So this line is WAY off. Texas offense is literally nothing without Brown, Bergeron, and Whittaker. Whittaker is gone for the year and Brown and Bergeron are questionable. On the passing side, our QB play has been very bad. We simply don't have anyone who can make a play passing the ball. Our QB's can't make reads, aren't very accurate, and get flustered in the pocket. Seriously it's embarrassing to watch.

                                                      Now, Texas defense is seriously legit. I will say that. So if Brown and Bergeron both come in healthy, Texas could win. But even then, I don't see it by more than 10. If Brown and Bergeron are out, K-State by 10+. Hate to say it, but it's the truth.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • kiknit
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 12-20-09
                                                        • 116

                                                        #28
                                                        Texas posted 880 rushing yards 2 weeks ago and fell on their faces last week with only 28 in their loss...same trend for the rushing game: 152 yards 2 weeks ago to 76 last week in that 5-point mess against Missouri. Kansas St has come around nicely in the second half of the season. Theyve given up some points: 58, 52 and 50 in the last 3 games but are 2-1 ATS. QB Klein has tossed for more than 1500 yards and 1000 rushing...not to mention Kansas State is +68.5 points in all road games this season.

                                                        They may not win, but Kansas State to cover.

                                                        Comment
                                                        • PAULYPOKER
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 12-06-08
                                                          • 36581

                                                          #29
                                                          Honestly Urban,I'm not jackin you when I say this,I think K-state will get murdered..................
                                                          Comment
                                                          • No coincidences
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-18-10
                                                            • 76300

                                                            #30
                                                            Public dog burial coming.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • sandman0713
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-10-11
                                                              • 2036

                                                              #31
                                                              most people fall into these same bets every week...and i think that is how the books get people. you can always pick a couple of lines that stick out bigtime and are just begging for action...last week nebraska and this kstate team. nebraska failed to cover for most last week, and kstate was in a position to lose badly before the a+m 2nd half woes took over again. i think this week all the people that were on kstate will just be even more bold...with many going all-in. people who have been doing this many years know from past experience to just leave these games alone...if it looks too good to be true, it prolly is. people will get busted on one of these again soon...maybe this game. btw...i don't think vegas has their hand in the outcome of this game. i just think they see a really strong run d in texas...and it has been shown a strong run d can shut down this kstate o and make them look bad. who knows...maybe it is free money again, but i feel this entire game will likely look something like the start of the a+m game last week, minus the 2nd half collapse. hope you guys cash as i only have the under...but i doubt it. i actually agree with coin this week, and i have thought about betting the texas spread, depending on what it does tomm. i just didn't want to post it early so i wouldn't have to argue with people all week.
                                                              Comment
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