Long time Lurker...Can anyone convince me not to drop my nuts on this teaser?

[degeninla]

WagerType:4T NCAA FB SPECIAL TEASER Ties loseDate:Team:

Nov 12CFB [151] TOTAL o45-110 (B+13) (TCU vrs BOISE STATE)
Nov 12CFB [152] BOISE STATE -2½-110 (B+13)
Nov 12CFB [168] ARKANSAS -1½-110 (B+13)
Nov 12CFB [186] MISSISSIPPI STATE +31-110 (B+13)

Anyone have any reason for me not to load up on this teaser? Looks pretty amazing to me.

[warriorfan707]

odds of it hitting are 51.8%

[degeninla]

How is it so low?

[Big Bear]

Mississippi state might lose by 35