Western Michigan +12.5 at Toledo

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  • lite1up
    SBR MVP
    • 10-27-11
    • 2459

    #1
    Western Michigan +12.5 at Toledo
    I can't figure out why the spread is so high in this game. Both teams are 5-4, and pretty evenly matched. Western Michigan has the better passing offense, Toledo has the better ground game...but we saw how Toledo was absolutely torched all game by Northern Illinois' passing attack. Western Michigan has a marked advantage in turnover differential and both teams have played similar schedules.

    No way can I lay 12.5 in any game involving MAC teams (unless it's involving Akron's opponent). I swore off the MAC after last week's games but man, the Western Michigan +12.5 and the over look like easy money in this game. Might even take a small flyer on the WMU moneyline.

    Thoughts?
  • Pickma$ter
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-15-10
    • 240

    #2
    Toledo's last game at home, senior day, they were embarrsed at home last game, coach is really pissed off due to the media calling him out about not using a time out, need to win to have any chance for conference title. Actually Toledo has more total yardage through the air and the ground and has committed less turnovers. Im staying clear of this game due to this.
    Comment
    • WinningIsKeY
      SBR MVP
      • 10-17-11
      • 1200

      #3
      DONT BET TONIGHT! SAVE $$$.. words from a friend. Wherever the $$$ is, it will go the other way, i promise
      Comment
      • maroona
        SBR Sharp
        • 07-13-10
        • 493

        #4
        If it will go the other way, why not just bet the other way, whatever that is..
        Comment
        • Seaton420
          SBR Sharp
          • 08-26-09
          • 303

          #5
          Originally posted by maroona
          If it will go the other way, why not just bet the other way, whatever that is..

          exactly. hate morons like this who think they are prophets.
          Comment
          • Seaton420
            SBR Sharp
            • 08-26-09
            • 303

            #6
            Toledo 49 W. Michigan 31
            Comment
            • lite1up
              SBR MVP
              • 10-27-11
              • 2459

              #7
              OK, you guys have talked me out of WMU, and I've been burned by betting spreads in these weeknight MAC games all year.

              You'll have a harder time talking me out of the over. Any argument for the under? Looks like clear & mild conditions at game time in Toledo, perfect for another shootout. Both teams average 30+ points a game and neither plays defense. The total is set at 68, which BOTH teams nearly cleared in last week's Toledo/NIU game. I'm about ready to double my balance and go all in on this play (not really, but it is tempting). How does this game possibly go under?
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              • DarkNite
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-12-09
                • 5023

                #8
                Toledo can win by 10 pts. Go ahead, make your day!
                Comment
                • robinhood
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-12-09
                  • 916

                  #9
                  You should probably bet whatever is most uncomfortable and the opposite of the public like winningiskey said. MAC is crooked. I wonder if Taledo starts out with five timeouts tonight?
                  Comment
                  • lite1up
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-27-11
                    • 2459

                    #10
                    Originally posted by robinhood
                    You should probably bet whatever is most uncomfortable and the opposite of the public like winningiskey said. MAC is crooked. I wonder if Taledo starts out with five timeouts tonight?
                    Parlay Toledo and the under? hahahahaha. You do have a point though, If I used this theory I'd be making a killing on MAC football rather than depleting my Saturday/Sunday winnings during the week.
                    Comment
                    • lite1up
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-27-11
                      • 2459

                      #11
                      Who is the public on in this game? I'll probably fade the public small and make the over my bigger play.
                      Comment
                      • Seaton420
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 08-26-09
                        • 303

                        #12
                        Over in the toledo game and id take N.ill -5
                        Comment
                        • Trmeyer
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-03-11
                          • 1836

                          #13
                          Not touching it. But if u have to, think outside the box. Under for a small bet
                          Comment
                          • daviddaman2
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 02-28-11
                            • 320

                            #14
                            WMU plus the points... don't over think it
                            Comment
                            • lite1up
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-27-11
                              • 2459

                              #15
                              This is one of those rare spots that I love my bodog account....line just went up to WMU +13 (-115 juice though). May wait and see if this line goes up even more. I'm definitely on WMU at +13 and the over, may parlay the two.
                              Comment
                              • lite1up
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-27-11
                                • 2459

                                #16
                                Parlayed WMU +13 and Over 69. $25 to win $64.23. I refuse to risk more than $25 on a MAC game ever again.
                                Comment
                                • thebestthereis
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-01-09
                                  • 11459

                                  #17
                                  lang in on western michigan, they might win by 40. when he is on a side you never bet the game. if you do at least hit the dollar tree for some rosary bleeds on your way out to place your wager

                                  Comment
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