im no pro by any means, but one thing i can smell is a trap game (Michigan vs Iowa)

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  • rb3b3
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 10-03-10
    • 962

    #1
    im no pro by any means, but one thing i can smell is a trap game (Michigan vs Iowa)
    For all the great cappers on this form, can one of you explain to me how this michigan game in iowa is not a trap? michigan is ranked 13 in the nation with a 7-1 overall record, and iowa is 2-2 in the conference. i just dont know why michigan is only a 4 pt favorite in this game. This game to me has trap written all over it. Like i said im a tailer i dont even cap games myself because im horrible at picking games just looking for a great cappers take on this game, and i see alot of people on michigan. can someone tell me what pct of the public is on michigan? TRAP!!!!!!!!!!! I dont even know how to find out what pct the public is on but i would have to believe it would be over 75% if not more. can someone tell me how to find that info out? Thank fellas!!
  • dynamite140
    SBR MVP
    • 07-05-08
    • 4958

    #2
    No Coincidences is that you?
    Comment
    • rb3b3
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-03-10
      • 962

      #3
      Originally posted by dynamite140
      No Coincidences is that you?
      no just a tailer looking for some insight that all bro.
      Comment
      • romoney
        SBR MVP
        • 02-12-09
        • 3581

        #4
        IOWA ALL THE WAY!!! plus the pts that is...
        Comment
        • paranoyd androyd
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 10-01-11
          • 6459

          #5
          this game has been discussed at length since the line opened, classic RLM game with lots of sharp $ on iowa. this line stinks beyond something awful, that much is known. however, iowa's d doesn't match-up well against mich offense. will hit mich for one unit at -3 or better as a value play, otherwise pass.
          Comment
          • ExperienceWins
            SBR MVP
            • 08-23-11
            • 1972

            #6
            Line stinks for sure, but Mich rolls. Watch what I tell you. Mich by double digitis. Iowa does not have the depth to go toe to toe for 4 quarters in this one
            Comment
            • PAULYPOKER
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-06-08
              • 36581

              #7
              Comment
              • rb3b3
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 10-03-10
                • 962

                #8
                Originally posted by paranoyd androyd
                this game has been discussed at length since the line opened, classic RLM game with lots of sharp $ on iowa. this line stinks beyond something awful, that much is known. however, iowa's d doesn't match-up well against mich offense. will hit mich for one unit at -3 or better as a value play, otherwise pass.
                thanks for the insight paranoyd, can you tell me what pct of the public is on michigan? also how can i find that out for myself? thanks man! and gl with your plays tomorrow!
                Comment
                • romoney
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-12-09
                  • 3581

                  #9
                  i got 78 percent on Mich in my book..thats spread...
                  Comment
                  • blackeyeshamus
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-19-11
                    • 6632

                    #10
                    70% public bets on michigan -3.5
                    according to www.thespread.com
                    Comment
                    • rb3b3
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 10-03-10
                      • 962

                      #11
                      Originally posted by romoney
                      i got 78 percent on Mich in my book..thats spread...
                      romoney is there a website that tell you what sides the public is on? if so can you share it?
                      Comment
                      • paranoyd androyd
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 10-01-11
                        • 6459

                        #12
                        this morning it was 75%+ on mich as romoney said, however more total dollars wagered (i.e. from sharps) may be on iowa
                        Comment
                        • romoney
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-12-09
                          • 3581

                          #13
                          Originally posted by rb3b3
                          romoney is there a website that tell you what sides the public is on? if so can you share it?
                          your book should have a betting trend link, or you can use SBR odds, or sportsbook.ag/betting trends..
                          i have local and my online book...BOL to you bud
                          Comment
                          • rb3b3
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 10-03-10
                            • 962

                            #14
                            Originally posted by blackeyeshamus
                            70% public bets on michigan -3.5
                            according to www.thespread.com
                            thanks alot for the link man, i really appreciate it. i thought something smelled funny in this game!
                            Comment
                            • face
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-31-11
                              • 14740

                              #15
                              scary game. something's going on. a lot of good cappers like arkansas. might play them instead.
                              Comment
                              • Pride
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-12-10
                                • 4238

                                #16
                                Yah iowa all the way of course this is a trap hah good catch im locked in for everything i own
                                Comment
                                • romoney
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-12-09
                                  • 3581

                                  #17
                                  vegas= here fishy fishy...
                                  Comment
                                  • I see the future
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 10-14-10
                                    • 116

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by ExperienceWins
                                    Line stinks for sure, but Mich rolls. Watch what I tell you. Mich by double digitis. Iowa does not have the depth to go toe to toe for 4 quarters in this one
                                    Totally agree, Denard does his thing and big blue rolls. Michigan has a lot to play for. Still in the hunt for a conference championship game. Michigan pulls away in the 4th, and wins by 10-13. The emergence of Toussaint should help them dramatically as well.
                                    Comment
                                    • Pride
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-12-10
                                      • 4238

                                      #19
                                      Dont fuk me here man. Im all in cause of you
                                      Comment
                                      • I see the future
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 10-14-10
                                        • 116

                                        #20
                                        You guys know sometimes the public is right!
                                        Comment
                                        • suicidekings
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 03-23-09
                                          • 9962

                                          #21
                                          Michigan needs to do two things early and often to roll in this game.

                                          1) Pressure Vanderberg. He's a pocket passer that's been flushed out a lot this season and doesn't run well.
                                          2) Establish their running game. Robinson becomes a much better QB when he's not the primary focus.

                                          If they don't do both of these things early on, the game will be close. I lean towards Michigan steamrolling Iowa in spite of any line movement BS, but Iowa will be playing mad after what happened last week.
                                          Comment
                                          • romoney
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-12-09
                                            • 3581

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by I see the future
                                            You guys know sometimes the public is right!
                                            yep... we do know that...however..its not bout the pub on this one,,,
                                            Comment
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