LSU-Alabama SHOWDOWN with John Ryan

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  • John Ryan
    SBR MVP
    • 11-20-10
    • 2428

    #1
    LSU-Alabama SHOWDOWN with John Ryan
    This is going to be awesome week for all College Football fans as the two best teams in the land go head-to-head to determine, who is the best team in the nation. Even the loser may not be completely eliminated from the BCS Championship based on the remaining schedules. The winner could actually be in position to lose the SEC Championship game and still be ranked second and play for the BCS. I think these two teams have distanced themselves ahead of the rest of the field. Boise State has a 'strength of opponent' problem and Clemson is done with their loss Saturday. Stanford? Well, it took OT to defeat a freshman laced SC team Saturday. Oklahoma clearly showed they are a very good team with Saturday's blowout winner of K-State. A lot to discuss and debate so let's get right to it and start the thread with who you think will win this big showdown and what two teams will end up playing for the BCS Championship.
  • John Ryan
    SBR MVP
    • 11-20-10
    • 2428

    #2
    To Recap last weeks plays in CFB: 5-0 ATS with 5* Side Selections

    5* winner Troy university
    5* winner Pittsburgh
    5* winner Nebraska
    5* winner 'UNDER' Nebraska
    5* winner Oklahoma

    2* parlay Nebraska/UNDER wins 5.30* units
    3* Teaser Nebraska/UNDER Win
    3* Teaser Oklahoma/UNDER loses
    2* Parlay Oklahoma/Under loses
    Net profit on Parlays = 2.30 units
    Overall weekly profit = 27.30 * units.
    Comment
    • BigdaddyQH
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-13-09
      • 19530

      #3
      With little or no competition from the SEC East, the winner of this game will play in, and win the SEC title. The ONLY question is whether or not they run the table. LSU sill hosts Arkansas, and Alabama has a date at Auburn, so there are no guarantees, but it certainly appears that the winner goes to the NC game. Boise State needs everyone else to lose to get intp the Big game. If Oklahoma State or Stanford runs the table, they will advance. If both do, I give the edge to Oklahoma State based on their schedule.
      Comment
      • thortada
        SBR Rookie
        • 09-15-11
        • 15

        #4
        hey john, i've been following you through your NFL plays and have been reading up all your articles and insights for the weekly college game but where do you post your college game picks? i see a new thread weekly focused on one game but is there a thread that posts your college picks?
        Comment
        • cjjohn11
          SBR Rookie
          • 10-21-11
          • 14

          #5
          Originally posted by John Ryan
          To Recap last weeks plays in CFB: 5-0 ATS with 5* Side Selections

          5* winner Troy university
          5* winner Pittsburgh
          5* winner Nebraska
          5* winner 'UNDER' Nebraska
          5* winner Oklahoma

          2* parlay Nebraska/UNDER wins 5.30* units
          3* Teaser Nebraska/UNDER Win
          3* Teaser Oklahoma/UNDER loses
          2* Parlay Oklahoma/Under loses
          Net profit on Parlays = 2.30 units
          Overall weekly profit = 27.30 * units.
          John,
          I have a hard time finding the threads you post picks in sometimes. Did you release these somewhere? What's the best way to find your picks? Keep checking the threads? Thanks for the picks so far, you're awesome.
          Comment
          • joeytunes
            SBR Sharp
            • 12-29-10
            • 449

            #6
            nice
            Comment
            • John Ryan
              SBR MVP
              • 11-20-10
              • 2428

              #7
              Originally posted by cjjohn11
              John,
              I have a hard time finding the threads you post picks in sometimes. Did you release these somewhere? What's the best way to find your picks? Keep checking the threads? Thanks for the picks so far, you're awesome.
              They are articles; not threads. I will send out the links for all fo the 5* CFB plays and articles on this thread each day they are written.
              Comment
              • smflanagan
                SBR Rookie
                • 09-19-11
                • 31

                #8
                Thanks John! I can't wait to read over this weeks articles.
                Comment
                • John Ryan
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-20-10
                  • 2428

                  #9
                  Originally posted by thortada
                  hey john, i've been following you through your NFL plays and have been reading up all your articles and insights for the weekly college game but where do you post your college game picks? i see a new thread weekly focused on one game but is there a thread that posts your college picks?
                  I will keep you posted of all plays released through articles right here this week. Thanks. There will be a College Football thread set-up to re-cap plays as well starting soon. But, for now simply check back here.
                  Comment
                  • pc2006mg
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 11-21-10
                    • 51

                    #10
                    John,

                    Any thoughts on tonight's games??
                    Comment
                    • John Ryan
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-20-10
                      • 2428

                      #11
                      I like FSU and central Florida no more than three stars
                      Comment
                      • pc2006mg
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 11-21-10
                        • 51

                        #12
                        Great! Thanks....
                        Comment
                        • jmathes
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-19-09
                          • 2385

                          #13
                          Originally posted by John Ryan
                          I like FSU and central Florida no more than three stars


                          John, whats your take on Texas A&M and Oklahoma? You started a thread but never followed up on it.
                          Comment
                          • John Ryan
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-20-10
                            • 2428

                            #14
                            I truly don't see how LSU will manage any type of run presence. The Alabama linebackers are huge extremely quick and disciplined. I am beginning to think I should increase my bet to 7 or 10 stars. 10 stars are 2-0 in the NFL and have not yet released one in cfb.
                            Comment
                            • CBASS
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-22-10
                              • 2613

                              #15
                              Originally posted by John Ryan
                              I truly don't see how LSU will manage any type of run presence. The Alabama linebackers are huge extremely quick and disciplined. I am beginning to think I should increase my bet to 7 or 10 stars. 10 stars are 2-0 in the NFL and have not yet released one in cfb.

                              Have you not seen LSU's fullback? Have you not seen the true-freshman Hilliard? Believe me, it won't be as difficult as you make it seem.
                              Comment
                              • ZBOIZ
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 06-22-08
                                • 21464

                                #16
                                How come LSU ran on them last year ?
                                Comment
                                • CBASS
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-22-10
                                  • 2613

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by ZBOIZ
                                  How come LSU ran on them last year ?

                                  ....without a passing game no less. Now they have a passing game, dual threat qb, and run game.
                                  Comment
                                  • ZBOIZ
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 06-22-08
                                    • 21464

                                    #18
                                    The problem is you people are druling over Bama players like LSU players are some punks. You people are not respecting LSU and I love it!

                                    Come Saturday night you'll be a believer
                                    Comment
                                    • moodyt2
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 11-04-09
                                      • 448

                                      #19
                                      LSU sucks
                                      Comment
                                      • CBASS
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-22-10
                                        • 2613

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by moodyt2
                                        LSU sucks
                                        Nice one! Alright! Cool!
                                        Comment
                                        • CBASS
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-22-10
                                          • 2613

                                          #21
                                          FYI: Did you know that LSU has more interceptions than completions allowed in passes for 10 yds or more?
                                          Comment
                                          • BobHarvey
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-08-08
                                            • 3987

                                            #22
                                            John,

                                            Good work on covering the game. I like Alabama and the 'under'. It's going to be a great game.
                                            Comment
                                            • CBASS
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-22-10
                                              • 2613

                                              #23
                                              Hey John, inbox me and I will give you more info on this game. Just a little more food for thought. You are having a great season my friend. Keep up the good work.
                                              Comment
                                              • JR007
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-21-10
                                                • 5279

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by jmathes
                                                John, whats your take on Texas A&M and Oklahoma? You started a thread but never followed up on it.
                                                he likes Okla
                                                Comment
                                                • DerekMadden
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-14-11
                                                  • 1361

                                                  #25
                                                  The over is the only play..

                                                  game could be a blowout either way
                                                  Comment
                                                  • king3chaz
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 08-31-11
                                                    • 524

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by DerekMadden
                                                    The over is the only play..

                                                    game could be a blowout either way
                                                    No way...It's going to be a defensive game 19-12 bama
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DerekMadden
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-14-11
                                                      • 1361

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by king3chaz
                                                      No way...It's going to be a defensive game 19-12 bama
                                                      every time there is a game that is supposed to be "defensive" it becomes a big scoring game
                                                      Comment
                                                      • pc2006mg
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 11-21-10
                                                        • 51

                                                        #28
                                                        John,

                                                        Any plays for tonight??? When will plays for tomorrow be up??
                                                        Comment
                                                        • John Ryan
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-20-10
                                                          • 2428

                                                          #29
                                                          They will be up by 10 PM ET tonight for any 5* CFB plays and NFL will be up at 7:00 PM ET on the NFL Thread.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BamaBill67
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 11-12-08
                                                            • 682

                                                            #30
                                                            Glad to see CBASS is on LSU .
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pc2006mg
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 11-21-10
                                                              • 51

                                                              #31
                                                              Thanks John! Looking forward to a good weekend...... GL
                                                              Comment
                                                              • DanoRoo
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 10-05-11
                                                                • 50

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by DerekMadden
                                                                every time there is a game that is supposed to be "defensive" it becomes a big scoring game
                                                                Not this game. There will be fewer than 42 scored here.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • suicidekings
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 03-23-09
                                                                  • 9962

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by CBASS
                                                                  FYI: Did you know that LSU has more interceptions than completions allowed in passes for 10 yds or more?
                                                                  Against WHO? They've faced ONE quality QB this season in Geno Smith (463 passing yards vs LSU), compared to 3 rookie QBs (Matt Simms (Tennessee), Jacoby Brisset (Florida), Moseley/Frazier (Auburn). Take out Smith and the FCS team and LSU's opponents are only putting up 191 yards per game on the season, so I think it's pretty fair to say LSU's secondary has not really been challenged yet.

                                                                  By comparison, McCarron is averaging 228ypg against teams allowing 207ypg. Not that I'm saying McCarron is a stud QB, but he's better than the majority of the opponents LSU has faced this year.

                                                                  Originally posted by CBASS
                                                                  Now they have a passing game, dual threat qb, and run game.
                                                                  Do they? LSU is putting up 183 passing yards per game (100th in FBS) against opponents allowing 199 per game. Even if you blame that low total on LSU being a run-heavy offense, LSU is putting up 372 ypg of total offense against teams allowing 358ypg. Their run game is good for 189ypg (30th in FBS) against opponents allowing 159ypg for 4.3ypc (54th in FBS). That's not that impressive for an elite team.

                                                                  By comparison, Alabama is running for 229ypg (14th in FBS) against opponents allowing 154ypg and 5.8ypc (6th in FBS).

                                                                  If you want to talk defense, Alabama is allowing opponents 181 ypg in total offense vs teams that average 323ypg of offense. LSU is allowing 251 ypg against teams that normally put up 382ypg. A differential of +142 for Alabama and +131 for LSU. Virtually dead even. So for all the talk about how good LSU's defense is, Alabama's defense is just as good in total defense, and better than LSU's in many key statistics.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • bigkrezca32
                                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                                    • 10-14-10
                                                                    • 88

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                    Against WHO? They've faced ONE quality QB this season in Geno Smith (463 passing yards vs LSU), compared to 3 rookie QBs (Matt Simms (Tennessee), Jacoby Brisset (Florida), Moseley/Frazier (Auburn). Take out Smith and the FCS team and LSU's opponents are only putting up 191 yards per game on the season, so I think it's pretty fair to say LSU's secondary has not really been challenged yet.

                                                                    By comparison, McCarron is averaging 228ypg against teams allowing 207ypg. Not that I'm saying McCarron is a stud QB, but he's better than the majority of the opponents LSU has faced this year.



                                                                    Do they? LSU is putting up 183 passing yards per game (100th in FBS) against opponents allowing 199 per game. Even if you blame that low total on LSU being a run-heavy offense, LSU is putting up 372 ypg of total offense against teams allowing 358ypg. Their run game is good for 189ypg (30th in FBS) against opponents allowing 159ypg for 4.3ypc (54th in FBS). That's not that impressive for an elite team.

                                                                    By comparison, Alabama is running for 229ypg (14th in FBS) against opponents allowing 154ypg and 5.8ypc (6th in FBS).

                                                                    If you want to talk defense, Alabama is allowing opponents 181 ypg in total offense vs teams that average 323ypg of offense. LSU is allowing 251 ypg against teams that normally put up 382ypg. A differential of +142 for Alabama and +131 for LSU. Virtually dead even. So for all the talk about how good LSU's defense is, Alabama's defense is just as good in total defense, and better than LSU's in many key statistics.

                                                                    For those of you that trust in the advanced efficiency stats, ALB is #1 in SP+ Rush D, #14 is SP+ pass D, #1 in SP+ total D. LSU is #2 in all those categories.

                                                                    Of course, ALB is also #2 in offensive rush efficiency, #8 pass efficiency, #3 total offense efficiency. That offense, combine with home field, is what makes Alabama the play.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • adrenalinerush
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 11-13-10
                                                                      • 140

                                                                      #35
                                                                      John,
                                                                      Where will your picks be posted? I'm looking here, I'm looking in the Oklahoma thread, I'm looking in the articles, and I'm looking in the NFL thread, and I don't see them. Looks like you're on Bama, Oklahoma, Kansas State, KS parlay w/Over, and UAB.

                                                                      Am I missing anyhting?

                                                                      Thanks for the picks!
                                                                      Comment
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